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Ahead of Iowa, Repbulican Race is Wide Open (Romney Pulls Ahead Nationally)
The Wall Street Journal ^ | 12/20/07 | JOHN HARWOOD

Posted on 12/19/2007 5:14:45 PM PST by Reaganesque

WASHINGTON -- Two weeks before the Iowa caucus, the race for president, while tightening among Democrats, is wide open on the Republican side, highlighting the unusual fluidity of the first campaign for the White House in over a half- century that doesn't include an incumbent president or vice president.

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows that Rudy Giuliani has lost his national lead in the Republican field after a flurry of negative publicity about his personal and business activities, setting the stage for what could be the party's most competitive nomination fight in decades.

After holding a double-digit advantage over his nearest rivals just six weeks ago, the former New York City mayor now is tied nationally with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 20% among Republicans, just slightly ahead of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 17% and Arizona Sen. John McCain at 14%. Other polls show Mr. Giuliani's lead shrinking in Florida, one of the states he has based his strategy around.

With the poll's margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.1 percentage points, that puts Mr. Huckabee, who had only single-digit support in the previous poll in early November, within striking distance of the leaders. Mr. Romney's national support has also nearly doubled since then...

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ia2008; lead; national; polls; repbulican; romney
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While national polls are still not entirely relevant at this point, this does show enormous progress for the Romney campaign. Things can still change but, Romney is headed in the right direction while Mr. Giuliani is not. All in all, things are looking up at Romney HQ.
1 posted on 12/19/2007 5:14:47 PM PST by Reaganesque
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To: Abbeville Conservative; asparagus; Austin1; bcbuster; bethtopaz; BlueAngel; Bluestateredman; ...
Mitt Ping!


• Send FReep Mail to Unmarked Package to get [ON] or [OFF] the Mitt Romney Ping List


2 posted on 12/19/2007 5:15:34 PM PST by Reaganesque (Charter Member of the Romney FR Resistance)
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To: Reaganesque

“Two weeks before the Iowa caucus, the race for president, while tightening among Democrats, is wide open on the Republican side,”

Doesn’t the “race tightening” on one side and being “wide open” on the other side....mean pretty much the same thing?


3 posted on 12/19/2007 5:18:13 PM PST by Dreagon
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To: Reaganesque
In Massachusetts where they KNOW Romney he can't even beat Hillary Clinton.

Therefore Romney is THE choice of the DNC because he has NO (zero, zed, nada) chance.

James Carville: "It's a feel-good story, this Romney thing. Romney is an ascendant guy."

4 posted on 12/19/2007 5:18:47 PM PST by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: Reaganesque

What a change from a few weeks ago!

Go Mitt!


5 posted on 12/19/2007 5:21:17 PM PST by TheLion
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To: Reaganesque

Huckabee has peaked, now it’s Romney’s turn. It’s either him or Giuliani, depending on whether this is a false move for Romney.


6 posted on 12/19/2007 5:25:26 PM PST by Brilliant
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To: Reaganesque

This is good news. It’s so obvious he’s the best of the bunch I’m surprised there’s even a contest. And he could handle Obama or Hillary in a debate very easily. I think America will be looking for a fresh, non-Washington face and someone with executive experience who knows how to manage and has the brains and the team to handle the unforseen crises we will inevitably face. Romney is the only one who fits the bill. He’s running a disciplined, organized campaign and is displaying determination and the willingness to work hard. That ought to count for something, even with Mormon-haters.


7 posted on 12/19/2007 5:25:38 PM PST by WestSylvanian
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To: Reaganesque

Wow!!! We’re sending our petitions to place Mr. Romney on the Ohio congressional district ballots to Columbus tomorrow!


8 posted on 12/19/2007 5:29:37 PM PST by GOP_Lady
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To: Reaganesque

I am watching is webcast “Path To Victory” now.


9 posted on 12/19/2007 5:30:27 PM PST by GOP_Lady
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To: Diogenesis

At one point, his numbers vis a vis Rudy were similar to the ones in the graph. I’m still undecided, but don’t count out Mitt yet. He is a good manager who knows when to peak.


10 posted on 12/19/2007 5:30:44 PM PST by paudio
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To: Diogenesis

At one point, his numbers vis a vis Rudy were similar to the ones in the graph. I’m still undecided, but don’t count out Mitt yet. He is a good manager who knows when to peak.


11 posted on 12/19/2007 5:30:47 PM PST by paudio
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To: Reaganesque

The voters are now paying closer attention to the races, after months of meaningless polls which reflected mostly name recognition. They’ve looked at Giuliani and don’t like what they see. The same is happening with Huckabee, and already happened with McCain.

It’s be between Romney and Thompson.


12 posted on 12/19/2007 5:30:56 PM PST by Will88
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To: Will88
It’s be between Romney and Thompson.

Between a RINO and a true conservative?

13 posted on 12/19/2007 5:37:05 PM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: EGPWS
Between a RINO and a true conservative?

Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney are both moderate conservatives. Fred Thompson's vote on campaign finance reform alone means that he can never really be considered a "true conservative." The primary difference between them is executive experience, and in running for an executive office, Mitt Romney's executive experience makes him the better candidate.

Bill

14 posted on 12/19/2007 5:43:29 PM PST by WFTR (Liberty isn't for cowards)
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To: Reaganesque
Woo hoo, Go Mitt!

Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com

15 posted on 12/19/2007 5:44:01 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch
LOL!!!

My favorite is the "Not Sure" line -- male vs. female.

So true!!!!!

16 posted on 12/19/2007 5:52:00 PM PST by rhinohunter (Thompson/Steele '08)
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To: Diogenesis

If Massachusetts voters would elect Romney over Clinton then we have a problem! These are the same voters that “know” Kennedy and keep electing him!


17 posted on 12/19/2007 5:54:46 PM PST by loreldan (Without coffee I am nothing.)
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To: Diogenesis
No Republican can win a presidential election in MA. I have a friend there who says GOP governors do well because they like divided government and keep the legislature with the Rats.

So your comment is irrelevant from that standpoint.

However, I will say that SurveyUSA's state-by-state, head-to-head polls suggest that Romney is the weakest of three candidates vs. Hillary. McCain beats her in enough states to win the presidency, including OH, NM, FL, and ties her in WI and OR (!!!). Rudy comes close, losing OH, winning most of the other "red" states; Mitt gets beat pretty much across the board. In no way do I think him doing better is a "conspiracy." It is the natural result of Rudy having a bad month with the financial business and his ex-wife. There is also some spinoff from the Huck boom (which is now fading, I think).

What is obvious is that FRED has not made any inroads in ANY state whatsoever. If you go to realclearpolitics.com and look at the dates of the polls, he's losing ground everywhere.

The really bad news is that McCain may be a default choice for a lot of people.

18 posted on 12/19/2007 5:55:56 PM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: LS

Ronald Reagan won in MA - twice.


19 posted on 12/19/2007 6:01:16 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: WFTR
Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney are both moderate conservatives.

Track record of the two proves your statement to be wrong.

20 posted on 12/19/2007 6:01:58 PM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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