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2008 Republican Presidential Primary - Giuliani 28% McCain 15% Thompson 12%
Rasmussen ^ | 4/24/07

Posted on 04/24/2007 5:35:01 AM PDT by areafiftyone

Last week, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Senator John McCain both gained support in the race for the GOP nomination. This week, the top four contenders all lost ground. But, through it all, Giuliani remains on top with a double digit lead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national poll shows Giuliani with 28%, thirteen points more than McCain’s total of 15%. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains undeclared but in third place with 12% support. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney remains slightly behind Thompson at 10%.

The stability in the GOP competition stands in stark contrast to the Democrats where Illinois Senator Barack Obama has gained ground steadily and is now tied with New York Senator Hillary Clinton.

Giuliani has regained his status as the most popular candidate in either party—62% now have a favorable opinion of him. McCain is viewed favorably by 55%, Thompson by 35%, and Romney by 32%. See updated favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Republican and Democratic candidates

A separate survey found that 29% of all voters say they would definitely vote for Giuliani if he is on the ballot in November 2008. Thirty-four percent (34%) would definitely vote against him. Those numbers are a bit weaker for Giuliani than they were a month ago, but they are still the best of any Republican Presidential hopeful. For McCain, the numbers are 23% definitely for and 35% definitely against. Those figures have changed little over the past month.

Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) draws the best overall numbers of any candidate at this time—33% definitely for and 33% definitely against.

Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays. The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 579 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted April 16-19, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. (More Below)



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008poll; anotherstupidpoll; autocrat; duncanwho; fred; fredthompson; giuliani; gungrabber; mccain; rasmussen; rudy; rudy2008; rudyisademocrat; rudyisaloser; rudysaliberal; runfredrun; sickofrudy; thompson; verysickofrudy; veryverysickofrudy; zotbait
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To: Jake The Goose

... and statistically he has the same third of the Republican electorate that will not support him no matter what as McCain and is climbing faster in that regard.


81 posted on 04/24/2007 6:36:28 AM PDT by Ingtar (...right wing conservatives are growing tired of crawling on bloody stumps looking for scraps - JRob)
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To: garv

You have to consider the views and opinions of everyone in the GOP. It is the GOP you know.

Be careful not to be vertical or isolationist with respect to others.

That’s all I ask.

The process of selecting a candidate for the GOP is very healthy.

With a few exceptions - we usually pull out the best candidate for the general election.

State your view - but allow others to state theirs.

The GOP will be just fine - it is the Republican Party right?

..... did we change to the Conservative Party - when I wasn’t looking?


82 posted on 04/24/2007 6:39:17 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: Jake The Goose
The GOP will be just fine - it is the Republican Party right? ..... did we change to the Conservative Party - when I wasn’t looking?

No one is denying there are a lot of liberals in the GOP, and they've cause no end of trouble over time. But this website is and always has been CONSERVATIVE, not Republican.

83 posted on 04/24/2007 6:42:14 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: Jake The Goose

Exactly. If the GOP candidate can’t show a strong backbone by primary time, how will he ever take on the Dims ?


84 posted on 04/24/2007 6:43:15 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Oh. Pre-announcement polls don’t really count. Last poll I saw was limited to Ohio and he had 12% there, which isn’t bad for a blue state. I still think Thompson has a chance, and if he teamed up with Guiliani, we might have a LOCK on ‘08, which if “real conservatives” had ONE OUNCE of pragmatism, should be what we’re ALL working for: a LOCK on the election. That is what the Democrats are working for.


85 posted on 04/24/2007 6:43:19 AM PDT by cake_crumb (NO BLOOD FOR CONGRESSIONAL PORK! WAR IS POPULAR ONLY TO TERRORISTS!)
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To: JohnnyZ

Wow...

Come on now - don’t be that way.

If everyone in a conversation says the same thing - there is no conversation.

Isn’t that kind of obvious.

Excluding McCain - I like all our candidates - I don’t slam any of them.

Relax and enjoy the process - it’s good fun.


86 posted on 04/24/2007 6:45:05 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: areafiftyone
When you have something intelligent to say rather than snickering like a five year old who just pulled a girl’s hair, let me know.

As we say down here in Carolina, that was uuuugly.

87 posted on 04/24/2007 6:45:13 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (A member of the Frederalist Party)
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To: cinives

Yes indeed - we need our candidate to be fully tested.

Most of all - we need to all recognize that 1 year from November we have to be on the same team.


88 posted on 04/24/2007 6:46:14 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: cake_crumb

If a Dim candidate wins - the Dim party wins.

If Rudy or Mc Cain win, the Dim party wins.

Electing a RINO is worse than electing a DIM. We still don’t get conservative SCOTUS appts, we won’t gt tax reform or lower taxes, and we sure won’t get lower spending.

What do you think we gain by electing a RINO ?


89 posted on 04/24/2007 6:53:18 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: mainepatsfan

why is ANYONE even worried about ANY of this right now? I could care less if our poll numbers are low. It is April, 2006 last time I checked. So much will happen between now and next year when everyone starts getting serious about the election. These number are meaningless.


90 posted on 04/24/2007 6:54:23 AM PDT by chad_in_georgia
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To: Jake The Goose

Yep, altho if Rudy or McCain is the GOP choice I may as well sit out the Pres election. There is no difference between Rudy and Hillary or Obama.


91 posted on 04/24/2007 6:55:18 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: cake_crumb

I like Fred, but I see things about him that indicate he is not really enthusiastic in his quest.

If he were so sure of his candidacy, he would have announced several weeks ago. He knows his immediate success, but I believe he was EXPECTING to jump to the front immediately. But since Rudy has remained in the lead and he has stayed neutral, I think he is having second thoughts.

There is his new and young family who needs him, he has Lymphoma and stress tends to make it aggressive. He also has his private life in tact and may be reluctant to give that up for a few short years of complete turmoil.

It is also getting late for any viable candidate to get into the race since most of the large financial commitments have been been made to other candidates. The primaries have also been moved up which makes the timeline even tighter.

Many things to consider, these are a few that I can think of.


92 posted on 04/24/2007 6:55:33 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP
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To: cake_crumb

Hey now - logical post cake_crumb.

Nice to meet you.

Wow - pragmatism - here - inside FR - I love it.


93 posted on 04/24/2007 6:55:53 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: areafiftyone

I am shocked. You are lying again.


94 posted on 04/24/2007 6:57:57 AM PDT by Politicalmom (Better a democrat with an energized opposition than a leftist “Republican” with no opposition.)
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To: Politicalmom

PLEASE STOP CALLING ME A LIAR! You constantly do that. If you don’t agree with me just debate the issue and stop calling people names. Thank you.


95 posted on 04/24/2007 7:00:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone (“.....We mourn and hurt and will never forget, but we don’t live under fear....” Rudy Giuliani)
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To: cinives

Let me offer an alternative possibility if I might.

Let’s just say that Rudy gets the GOP nod.

Your mission should be to lock his ass into as many true
conservative obligations as possible.

PLEASE - NEVER SIT OUT AN ELECTION...... make yourself count - even if you don’t like the candidate.

Your vote is so precious - it’s so important.

FIGHT - every single day - and if you lose your GOP candidate - make sure your views are never fogotten.

Remember - the election process really never ever ends.

Once in office - you still carry the weight of you views.

Phones - local elections - letters - protests.

Never quit -


96 posted on 04/24/2007 7:01:07 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: proud American in Canada
Some very good people have left or been shown the door. That's not something I think is a cause for celebration. IMO.

I agree. As much as I disagree with Rudy on many positions, supporting him is not some heinous crime against conservatism.

97 posted on 04/24/2007 7:02:44 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right

Nicely said.

In the end - I predict we will all earn a solid GOP candidate.


98 posted on 04/24/2007 7:05:35 AM PDT by Jake The Goose
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To: Jake The Goose
Most of all - we need to all recognize that 1 year from November we have to be on the same team.

Fear not, we shall, my experience has taught me that during the primaries most people feign principles with the usual "if candidate A gets the nomination, I'll stay home".

But fortunately, the VPs are generally not picked until the convention and this leads to the canned excuse "I wasn't going to vote for him/her but because he picked so-and-so as his running mate, I've changed my mind".

In the end it all works out.
99 posted on 04/24/2007 7:06:51 AM PDT by HEY4QDEMS (Sarchasm: The gulf between the author of sarcastic wit and the person who doesn't get it.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

It has been said repeatedly that he CAN NOT ANNOUNCE until the Law and Order season is over. That would mean that the rest of the new episodes couldn’t be shown. Maybe commitments mean nothing to you, but they do to Fred Thompson.

Sixty percent of the money normally in the campaign is being withheld. Funny how you leave out all the fact that are against your liberal candidate.


100 posted on 04/24/2007 7:08:11 AM PDT by Politicalmom (Better a democrat with an energized opposition than a leftist “Republican” with no opposition.)
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