Posted on 03/01/2007 7:20:52 AM PST by Valin
HH: As you know, for the last eight weeks, an hour a week, Ive been talking with Thomas P.M. Barnett about his book, The Pentagons New Map, about the thrush, this rush of global connectivity, technology exploding and being given out in the third world, the second world, the fourth world, wherever. And yesterday, I passed along a presentation by some technophiles who point out that China and India and all these great parts of the world are connecting up, and knowledge is explosively expanding, 3,000 books a day are being published, the amount of information that is traveling, the potential is skyrocketing. Whats it all mean? Shift Happens is what it means. Everything is shifting. But is it good? To discuss that question, I brought in our two renaissance men. From the United States Naval Academy, Professor David Allen White, scholar of Shakespeare and much else, and from Biola University, where he leads the Torrey Honors program, Professor John Mark Reynolds. Gentlemen, welcome. I think Ill start with John Mark Reynolds, since hes the technophile. What do you think, Professor Reynolds? Is all this connectivity a good thing for the world?
JMR: It is a wonderful thing. And though as a conservative, I dont believe Utopia will ever come until as a Christian, God comes and rules and reins on the Earth, I think that this is going to be an overwhelmingly positive thing for Western civilization, and in the history of humankind.
HH: And why is that?
JMR: For two reasons. First of all, the kind of people whove had a monopoly on ideas, and a monopoly on the ability to talk, have not been people friendly to a traditionalist, traditional Christian point of view. And as a traditionalist, and also as a Christian, any breaking open of the barrier to communication has to be positive. But secondly, I believe that though all men and women are fallen, and so the ability to talk will allow bad people to talk more. I also believe in aggregate, that our bentness, our brokenness, is actually washed out more, so that if more people are able to talk, if we have more conversations, in aggregate, the stupidity and sinfulness will check and balance itself in the same way that the founding fathers thought that the more people we put in government, the more branches we had, in aggregate, the fact that men are not angels, would be checked and balanced a little bit more.
HH: Professor David Allen White, your reaction to the first question to John Mark Reynolds explication of his point of view?
DAW: Well, I watched the presentation, Hugh, and was quite overwhelmed by it. I mean, the numbers are staggering. But I think what troubled me is it was all numbers. The entire presentation was dealing in quantitatives, this incredible outburst of you know, I cant recount them all, fiber optics, the number of computers, the bits of knowledge. But what is left out, it seems to me, is any sense of the qualitative. And my concern is precisely that, that there is less and less chance, I think, for real reflection or meditation, given the speeding up of everything in our world, from the amount of information on the information highway, to what I see whats happening in the Beltway around Washington, D.C. Everything is indeed going faster and faster and faster, from fast food to fast romances and fast marriages, and fast college degrees, but I have a very real question about the quality of whats being done, the necessary calm that has to be there for reflection, in order to develop an inner life. And thats what I find most disturbing about what I see happening around me.
HH: John Mark Reynolds, your response to that?
JMR: Yeah, Im not disturbed by it at all, because the fact that I can do a thing doesnt mean that I have to. And it is certainly true that when we invented the electric light, families were able to scatter to every different room of the house, and not be in the great common room, which we had to be in, because of the expense of heating and lighting the entire house. But what calm and reflective people can do, people will be leaders anyway. If youre not calm and reflective, if you make big, important decisions on the fly, at the speed of the internet, youre going to make a fool out of yourself. Leader types, the kind of people who will be calm and reflective anyway, will go on being calm and reflective, will just waste much less of our time that could be spent being calm and reflective, getting information. It took me, Hugh, seven years during grad school in the late 80s and early 90s to get access to one particular book which I could now purchase almost immediately online today. And that gives me more time to read the book and think about it. The second thing thats true, and this is excellent news for a classicist like myself, and like my colleague, is that brands with built in identity, like Plato and Shakespeare, and yes, Elvis, are going to do better in this new world, because in the swamp of mediocrity, preexistent brands like Plato and Shakespeare, that people know are smart, and that smart people know they should read, are going to be dominant. People are going to look for quality. My only concern is that itll be harder to find a new Shakespeare. But you know what? The new Shakespeare will be known in aggregate, and will eventually rise to the surface. I think well find more Shakespeares, because more people will have a shot at becoming one.
HH: David Allen White?
DAW: Well, the past only gave us one, and I think that was pretty spectacular to begin with.
JMR: Agreed.
DAW: My fear, I guess its sort of Greshams Law, of the new communication media, and the information highway, that I would disagree. It seems to me whats going to happen is that the bad currency is going to drive out the good currency, just as it does in economics. You know, its interesting. I watched the presentation, and it seemed to me that what was going on, in the comments about the job market, that within the first a man of 35 years of age is going to have at least five different jobs.
HH: Yup.
DAW: I find that stunning, and its the reason why I go into the wine store, I never see the same people twice. When I go into the restaurant, I never see the same people twice. I would very much disagree with the notion that were going to become more connected by becoming more isolated. I think that common room of the family being together was essential, and I also think commonality in the social order, knowing people in the neighborhood, having somebody at a job who can master the job, and really become a craftsman over time, I know for a fact in anything Im good at, I learn by watching others who are good at it, and it took a lot of time. It just seems to me its going to bring instability, and on top of that, the isolation, I think, is creating this incredible hunger for celebrity. I checked out Google to see what people were actually searching for. The numbers were incredible, you know, millions of searches on Google every minute or something. So I checked out last week. The top ten searches were: Britney Spears, Antonella Barba, Bridget Moynihan, American Idol, Tom Brady, Dancing With The Stars, Black Snake Moan, I dont know what that is, I cant imagine. There was lunar New Year, Ash Wednesday and Lent in there as well. But it just seems to me in the same way that we now have My Space, I was stunned. 106 million My Space users? And each one of those My Space sites is hit 30 times a day? Thats suggesting incredible loneliness, isolation, and I fear were turning into an atomistic society of little tiny atoms spinning around on our own.
HH: Well, Ill go to John Mark Reynolds in a moment, but I do want to ask you, yesterday, for lecture purposes, I had to assemble, and was able to do it in about ten minutes, examples of Monets Haystacks, Bierstadts Rockies, a picture of David, Moses and St. Peter in the Chains, you know, a half dozen pieces of art that I needed to talk to law students about. And then, someone pointed out yesterday that all the works of Shakespeare are in the public domain, and are available to anyone with a mouse and a connection, Professor White.
DAW: Absolutely.
HH: Isnt that a good thing?
DAW: No, because easy accessibility seems to result in less interest. And there is the sense that that which is most valued, and most prized, demands a bit of work. If it is that easily accessible, it seems to me there is going to be less interest in it, rather than more, and youre going to have more people downloading info on American Idol, especially the young. I mean, I guess I see it, and it frightens me with my students, who are more and more interested in pop culture, and the battle to try to get them interested in anything of substance is very difficult, as well as their own ability to concentrate, and really discover what it is that these great works have to offer.
HH: 45 seconds to the break, John Mark Reynolds.
JMR: I couldnt disagree more. I dont think people in the Victorian Era were thinking about things we hoped they would think about. I think now, we know what students are thinking about, and we dont like what we see, but I doubt that would have been any different if Mr. Chips could have read his students minds. The second thing is I dont think accessibility will cause lack of interest. My students become more interested in the authentic. If accessibility caused lack of interest, Britney Spears would have no career, because shes the most accessible in every way of anyone I know. Her whole career seems to be based on total public exposure. You know, the fact that she could be popular isnt shocking to me, because in a fallen world, most people make bad choices.
- - - -
HH: When we were going to break, we were talking about whether or not the technology explosion, and this volcano of information and the ability to get it and access it, is it a good thing or a bad thing, John Mark Reynolds, I think Professor White made a good point before we left that this is all indicative of narcissism
JMR: Yeah.
HH: that all these My Space pages being visited 30 times a day, 29 of those are probably the person who put it up there, and that narcissism works a true evil on peoples souls. Your reaction?
JMR: Well, I think people were narcissists before My Space was invented. Now, they just get to publicly expose their narcissism, which might have the benefit of causing other people to point it out to them. I think the second thing thats true is I just dont think its right that you cant form real community to a certain point online. I have my current job, and one of the deepest friendships Ive ever formed with Philip Johnson at U.C. Berkeley, because as an isolated grad student, I got this weird thing called e-mail. And when I heard Phil Johnson debating on National Public Radio with Eugene E. Scott, I contacted him by this weird thing called e-mail. We have been engaged in a conversation thats now multiple notebooks long, hundreds, thousands of pages of dialogue between the two of us. Eventually, because were human beings, we met. Humans have bodies, and so you need for deep friendships and deep teaching, to meet people. But I would never, Hugh, had been able to do what Im doing now if it werent for the miracle of the internet, which put an isolated Republican philosopher in a department where people were fair to him, but not agreeing with him, in front of a mentor across the country who could spend time with him, helping him grow and start something like Torrey.
HH: David Allen White?
DAW: Well, there used to be things called letters, Hugh, and I guess one of the things that troubles me about e-mail is that it will all vanish. In 99% of the cases, thats very good. And I wont get into the question as an English professor of whats happening to spelling, grammar, punctuation, in e-mail messages. Thats a nightmare of huge proportions. But I will say this. The sad thing is, given that kind of friendship, relationship communication that Professor Reynolds was just speaking of, which is obviously a very good thing, it is extremely unlikely that that sort of thing will be preserved the way it used to be. Letters were precious, because they were rare. And it wasnt that long ago when a volume of the letters of Evelyn Waugh was brought out, and I remember one reviewer saying its sad to recognize this may be among the last books of letters that we will find, that the letter is vanishing, and the notion of following a human personality develop over time, through correspondence, or even a book of correspondence just between two people, the wonderful volume of the letters of Walker Percy and Shelby Foote is something I fear that soon may be lost to us, and I believe thats a real loss.
HH: Now John Mark Reynolds, I did hear Doris Kearns Goodwin give a lecture on Lincoln a couple of weeks ago
JMR: Yes.
HH: where she remarked upon the 300 odd letters that Seward had exchanged with his daughters.
JMR: Yeah.
HH: And there is not going to be that record anymore.
JMR: No, theres going to be something better, and far from losing history, were going to have so much, that the only danger I see is that well overinterpret. I dont know about anyone else, but I wrote a really unfortunate letter at one point defending the Green Bay Packers head coaching staff against charges of incompetence, that appeared on Packer Plus, and my students occasionally dig it out to snort at my belief that Brett Favre didnt have the goods mentally to be a first rate quarterback in the NFL. The closest thing to immortality, in fact, almost scarily so, are what I write on a blog, because the internet just goes on preserving things. So my students who blog, and many, or it not most of them do, are going to have a record and a transcript of discussions that they were involved in, infinitely more detailed, varied, and I think, often interesting. I have first rate students who say first rate things to each other online. Were almost going to know too much about their intellectual development. If Tom Ward, one of my students who just did an Oxford first in philosophy, and is now at UCLA, ever becomes famous enough so that somebody writes a biography about him, the problem is going to be youre going to know too much about his online life, and its going to be hard to separate out what you want to write about.
HH: Now let me throw a statistic at you from todays Wall Street Journal, both professors. Microsoft is aiming to sell 12 million Xbox 360 video consoles this year, Sony expects to ship 6 million PS3 units by the end of March, and Nintendos sales target is 6 million Wii consoles by the end of March. Obviously, the number of hours that each of those consoles represent is hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of hours of time spent playing games, Professor White. Your reaction?
DAW: And they will go to the kids.
HH: Yes.
DAW: These are the children who will be spending their formative years, those precious years, playing pointless games. And whats beginning to alarm me is that the one result of this is a detachment from anything like reality. We bandy the phrase virtual reality around, but that is becoming the world in which more and more of these kids live, and you see them when theyre out in what I think of as the real world, theyre not quite sure how to function, or they are still carrying with them that phony virtual reality world that they have grown up in, and spend much of their day in. Another real worry of mine is not just alienation from family, neighbors, friends, the restaurant down the block, but also the fact that we are becoming more and more alienated from the rhythms of nature, and once you get away from those rhythms, youre getting away from that which was designed by the Highest Creator of all, to shape the way we live our lives from day to day, to month to month, year by year, and these children are growing up without that knowledge, and I find it very disturbing.
HH: John Mark Reynolds?
JMR: Yes, maybe it was because I grew up near rural West Virginia, or spent a lot of time there, and had a grandmother who was so happy to leave the country, and the rhythms of nature, that her goal, successful, was to die under a streetlight, because she viewed the profligate energy pouring from it as one of the great signs of Western civilization, that I say thank God for the Nintendo Wii. My in-laws just visited. We had more in common as we sat around playing Nintendo Wii Bowling, which my sixty-some year old father-in-law, who has a very different profession than my own, and I, and my children, my smallest children, were able to play together. If I could send Nintendo more money for the Wii, I think I would, just as a thank you. The second thing is, of course technology can be abused. Of course I have students struggling with internet pornography. Of course if you let your son or daughter play hundreds of hours of unsupervised video games by themselves, thats bad.
HH: Break, break, break.
- - - -
HH: I just received an e-mail from my tech guru, gentlemen, named Hal, not for the computer in 2001: A Space Odyssey. As someone who has labored, however insignificantly in the trenches of the computer revolution since the 1960s, the phrases that both of your guests is looking for is self-organizing social networks, and they are already very much prevalent among the under 20s, and yes they are Second Life, World of Warcraft, the Walled City, a radical shift in the way we humans will relate with each other. But whether the wheel or fire or moveable type printing presses, they say with a legion, march or die. John Mark Reynolds, it is possible now for everyone to find the people they like the most, to isolate with them, to conspire or aspire with them, and to cut everyone else out. Doesnt that fray our ability to live with each other?
JMR: Yes, I think what we need to realize is that anytime we give people tools, its scary. Im for people being able to own guns. I also admit that if people are no good, giving them guns is scary. But I believe in the right to bear arms. In the same way, were giving people the right to information. Were giving people the ability to isolate themselves only with people they like. And bad people are going to go to hell in a hand basket faster than they used to. But the fact that I can sit with my kids, and watch a Shakespeare video that in a previous generation, only the wealthy would have been able to afford to see, means that for those who will step back and use these tools appropriately, were not entering a golden age, but were entering the potential of a golden age. And the other thing thats true is exactly what Hal is pointing, which is this. This revolution is here to stay, and though it may have unintended negative consequences, the best way to fight them is to embrace the revolution, preserve like a good conservative, the best of the old, and move forward. Its Disraeli, along with Trollope, who said if it has to be buried, let it be my hands that bury it, because Ill save what can be saved.
HH: David Allen White?
DAW: Hugh, I will grant look, let me grant a couple of things. Absolutely, its great to have access to information. A colleague of mine gets sick, they need someone to cover her Victorian literature class, shes teaching Tennysons Tithonus. I cant find the poem on my shelf, I dont know where the book is. I can call it up on the internet, have it in a minute, walk into class to teach it, taught it many times before. That is a great convenience. But again, your point of little isolated communities is absolutely true. And what is happening is that when we then get out in public and have to deal with each other in public, you can see the rage increasing. From road rage to rudeness in the supermarket to people in its turning up everywhere. And part of it is were used to talking at a distance with others like us, and we are not used to being with other people, even in our own families, which is one reason Im convinced that the family itself is coming apart now. I cannot see, I cannot see how sitting at a keyboard and a screen, going clickety-clickety-click has the same kind of effect as a group of people sitting together in a room talking or walking. When I grew up, before the TV invaded, every night after dinner, the neighbors walked up and down the street, there used to be this thing called front porches, and people would stop, go up to the front porch, and talk. I can still go through, I can name all the neighbors, all the way around all four sides of the block. Now, I cant name more than two neighbors that live within five miles of me.
HH: John Mark Reynolds?
JMR: I agree with that totally, and authentic community, if you want to call it this, incarnate education, teaching people how to recapture those values, is going to be, I hate to call it a market for the future, but a market. Its going to be something people desperately need and want. So as we get new tools that enable us to abuse those tools, one big thing educators are going to have to do is reintroduce students to some of these joys. And I want to tell you something, Hugh, I have students who when they become introduced to sitting in a room and discussing things with people and telling stories, they dont bring their I-pods to class. They turn everything off. Tonight, Im going to have scores of students sitting in a room voluntarily, for no college credit, simply hanging with each other, doing theater, doing authentic dialogue about things like Shakespeare, because theyve learned to love it in a sea of inauthenticity. So really, this is the Churchs moment to shine if well grab it, or traditionalists.
- - - -
HH: Gentlemen, youre both classicists, so Ill raise this with a little bit of introduction. From Platos Republic, at the very end, there comes the Myth of Er. And in the Myth of Er, souls that have lost their lives are choosing their next life from among a variety of lives spread out before them. And the last to choose is Ulysses, and the valiant one hunts around and rummages around and finally picks the life of a quiet, remote, anonymous farmer. John Mark Reynolds, it would seem to me that Plato, at least, would be with David Allen White here.
JMR: I dont think so, because Plato also embraced the new preserved media. He moved from the Homeric oral culture to the more written culture of philosophy, while embracing also a knowledge of its falsities and its defects. He wrote in a dialectic style that would engage the middle class Athenian, and pull them into a discussion. Now its certainly true that if someones going to become frantic and busy, and be consumed by their tools, be dominated by them, that theyre in bad shape. But I believe that Im empowered as a lover of Plato to not be controlled by people who used to control me through the control of access of information. But instead, I can stand in front of them and say no, I will choose this quiet life, and I wont be cut off from information, or from great theater, or from anything else, because you no longer have that power over me.
HH: David Allen White?
DAW: Well, Hugh, my sincere hope is that one day, we all have to make that choice that Ulysses makes. Let me give you Whites crackpot theory. Ive been putting out this crackpot theory for a long while, everybody thinks Im nuts, but with each passing day, I believe it more and more. And its simply this. We, as a society, as a world, have become totally dependent on these machines. From the refrigerators to the computers to the televisions to the microwaves, you name it, and it all depends on one thing, and that is electricity. And I am absolutely convinced the day is coming soon, how I couldnt tell you, when I couldnt tell you, the powers going out. And when the power goes out, well then find out what is in people, and how they are able to deal as human beings in a simple world, when all the toys and gadgets are taken away. Im uneasy, but I think in terms of basic survival, itll be a grand time, and farming will be essential if people are going to eat, and well get back to the basics.
HH: Well, Frank Gaffney calls it the Electro-Magnetic Pulse. Its the EMP weapon, so you should consult with him. Hes worried about it, too, David. Now but put that aside. I want to get to the other one, which is given that the seven deadly sins my friend once told me that the Devil arranged for the collapse of the Berlin Wall, because he was doing better on our side. And given that all of the seven deadly sins are certainly accelerated on the internet, and I mean them all, doesnt that necessarily mean, John Mark Reynolds, that more souls are in more peril than ever before?
JMR: More souls are in more peril than ever before, because more souls exist. But no, exactly the opposite is true, because anything is really good, because if it exists, its good. It can only be twisted by the Devil. So all this information, all this sea of creativity, is fundamentally, at the deepest level, a reflection of the image of God in people. And the Devil may twist it, he may break it, he may try to use it to corrupt us, but in the end, this fundamental crying out towards God, this fundamental cry of existence, will cause it to be a more positive thing in aggregate than a negative. You know what? People have been predicting the end of the world and the fall of the West based on technology for 150-200 years now. But I would rather be alive today, with the problems we have today, than in 1950, or in 1920. Id rather be facing the problems we face, and they are great and mighty, than facing the problems that faced the United States in the 20s and 50s. Our best days are ahead of us, Hugh.
HH: Professor White?
DAW: Well, sufficient unto the day is evil thereof. I mean, this is the time that we were chosen to live in, so here we are. I do think it is true that one of the horrors of the internet is easy access Ive a friend whos a priest who said that what is going on in terms of internet pornography and souls is positively frightening, and I dont have to repeat
JMR: I agree with that, by the way. I think thats right.
DAW: I dont have the details, but hes a very good man, and Im sure he didnt make it up. The other thing is, you know, I have the question of truth out there. I mean, I have students who will take anything off the internet. Got a paper on Shakespeares Sonnet number 22, a student telling me it was written to Marguerite. It was news to me. I went to the website, Ben Jonson wrote the plays of Shakespeare, all the sonnets were attributed, written to various women. And when I told the student that this was hooey, he looked at me as if, Who are you, compared to whats out on the internet. And the website was spectacular. So it is a perfect place for the father of lies to operate. And again, in virtual reality, its a wonderful place for lonely, isolated children to be taken advantage of, and boy, we dont even know whats going there as well.
HH: John Mark Reynolds, you get the last minute of this segment.
JMR: I cant argue that there are horrible things going on in the internet, and I agree that parents need to take caution. It puts a bigger premium on personal relationships and parenting. But Ill say this, the access to information, just like the access that came with free markets to the ability to produce wealth, will in the end, by Gods help, produce a great burst of freedom, liberty and opportunity on the planet.
HH: You know, I dont disagree with that. Obviously, productivity, David, youre not making the economic argument, because its just undeniable that the more technology you spread among more people, the more productivity you get.
DAW: Well, its very clear right now. Its one of the things on the presentation, the Shift Happens presentation, Chinas now ruling the world. Their stock market sent rumbles throughout the world yesterday, and in terms of the amount of our debt that they control, whoa, yeah, were interconnected in that way. Again, Im not sure its a good thing.
JMR: And China is rapidly Christianizing from the bottom up, and so if I had to bet on anything, Id bet that the people who care most about the great things, the Western things, are going to be found amongst all those Chinese honor students. And what we need is for our secular elites to get their heads out of the sand, and stop following Al Gore down the doom and gloom path, begin to have the confidence to have children again, classicly educate them, embrace technology in the future.
- - - -
HH: I want to thank Dr., Professor John Mark Reynolds, from Biola University, where he heads the Torrey Honors program, and Dr., Professor David Allen White, where he has been teaching Shakespeare at the Naval Academy for 25-plus years, both good friend of mine, a great conversation. Gentlemen, this all got started by this lecture that I started, and then I read the Shift Happens website, which will be linked along with a transcript of your conversation today at Hughhewitt.com later tonight, but it all began by trying to contrast beauty with obscenity, and by getting my law students to answer that question whats the most beautiful piece of art theyve ever seen. And so I was fascinated by their responses, so I want to ask both of you. John Mark Reynolds?
JMR: The most beautiful thing Ive ever seen personally is Michelangelos David.
HH: That was on my list, yeah. David Allen White?
DAW: Curiously, Hugh, its also in Italy, its Giottos Arena Chapel in Padua, done for the Scrovegni family, and paintings of the life of Christ, absolutely stunning.
HH: So you will take those paintings or the chapel as a whole?
DAW: Im going to call the whole chapel a work of art, but if I had to choose one of the many, many paintings in there, it would be the Deposition From The Cross, just an incredibly, exquisitely beautiful and heartbreaking moment.
HH: Well, fascinating. Thank you both, gentlemen, always a great pleasure. I appreciate it, look forward to talking to you again on this, and well continue the conversation.
JMR: It was great fun.
End of interview.
Does it really matter if it's a good thing or not. It's just the way it is.
And has been since we discovered fire and the wheel.
"If it can't be expressed in figures, it is not science; it is opinion."
--Robert A. Heinlein
It's bad only if you become dependent upon it - and too many people cannot function and survive beyond the reach of an electrical extension cord.
Do you have any figures on how far an extension cord can function?
My daughter's electric rate is about one third what I'm charged, and I'm wondering...
How does 150 miles sound?
bump for later read.
It's bad only if you become dependent upon it - and too many people cannot function and survive beyond the reach of an electrical extension cord.
Thus it was always so.
That's a bit more concise than the quote by Lord Kelvin that we have hanging in nearly every office around here:
"In physical science the first essential step in the direction of learning any subject is to find principles of numerical reckoning and practicable methods for measuring some quality connected with it. I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely in your thoughts advanced to the state of Science, whatever the matter may be."
My daughter's electric rate is about one third what I'm charged, and I'm wondering...
How does 150 miles sound?"
You'd never recover the cost of the cord in your lifetime. But without a calculator to do that math, it's unfair to expect people to realize that.
It should be noted that there are leftist predictions of the future and right ones. And I mean right with both meanings.
Leftists are pessimists about the future. "We will all have to do with less. We are running out. Things are getting worse. Disaster is on the way. We will all be miserable. Give us money and power."
Invariably they are wrong, but it doesn't stop them from making new pessimistic predictions, and being irate when the facts are pointed out to them, and ignoring them.
The right, however, are optimists. "Science, technology, and confidence in progress are always giving the world new possibilities. There are no problems, only solutions. A rising tide raises all ships."
And with a few setbacks, the right are, generally, right.
And with a few setbacks, the right are, generally, right.
We also have our doom and gloom types. Any thing goes wrong and they're ready to declare the end of western civilization.
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