Posted on 08/31/2006 11:46:13 AM PDT by .cnI redruM
U.S. Senator Lincoln Chafee may lose his seat to challenger Steve Laffey, according to a new statewide Republican primary voter poll released today by the Bureau of Government Research and Services at Rhode Island College.
The survey was conducted August 28-30, 2006, at Rhode Island College by Victor L. Profughi, director of the Bureau of Government Research and Services. It is based on a statewide random sample of 363 likely Republican primary voters in Rhode Island. The sample was proportioned among the state’s geographic regions to reflect the likely voter contribution from each portion of the state. Overall, the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points.
If the September 12 primary were held today, 51 percent say they will vote for Steve Laffey, 34 percent support Senator Chafee, and 15 percent are undecided. A BGRS survey of Republican voters conducted in June had Laffey at 39 percent and Chafee at 36 percent. Chafee’s base is virtually unchanged since the June survey, while the number of Laffey supporters has grown 12 percentage points.
In the current poll, Laffey buries Chafee among male voters by nearly a 2 to 1 margin, 58 percent to 32 percent, with only 9 percent undecided. This gap has widened from 10 percent in June to 26 percent today. Among women, Chafee’s support has remained stagnant, while Laffey’s has increased. In June, 37 percent favored Chafee, compared with the current 36 percent. Laffey’s support among women has gone up from 35 percent in June to 45 percent.
Regionally, Laffey leads Chafee in Newport County (58 percent to 25 percent), in the Providence Suburbs (56 percent to 33 percent), Blackstone Valley (49 percent to 32 percent), Washington County (48 percent to 39 percent), and Western Rhode Island (42 percent to 37). Chafee is ahead only in the city of Providence (53 percent to 40 percent) and the East Bay (40 percent to 36 percent). Among unaffiliated voters, Chafee’s support has slipped from 49 percent in June to 43 percent now, while Laffey’s strength has gone up 10 percentage points (31 percent to 41 percent).
“Since early summer, Senator Chafee has been unable to expand his base of support from roughly one third of the likely Republican primary voters. The Lieberman phenomenon, where a partisan base closes ranks around the ‘true partisan’ candidate, seems to be at work in Rhode Island, as it was on the Democratic side in Connecticut. Laffey’s efforts to link Chafee with the extremely unpopular President Bush also appear to be paying off,” said Profughi.
Respondents polled were also asked who they would vote for in the Republican Primary race for Lieutenant Governor between Reginald Centracchio and Kerry King. Nearly half of those surveyed are either undecided or will not vote on this race (51 percent). Among voters, Centracchio has a 2 to 1 lead over King (31 percent to 18 percent).
The survey was conducted at a centralized telephone bank on the RIC campus on Monday, August 28 through Wednesday, August 30, between 5:00 and 9:00 p. m. The sample of 363 voters consisted of persons who identified themselves as likely Republican primary voters. Those interviewed were randomly chosen from most recent updated voting lists provided by the Office of the Secretary of State and were limited to registered Republicans and unaffiliated voters who said they planned to vote in the Republican primary.
The sample was controlled to reflect likely voter contribution by geographic region. Survey design, implementation, and administration were supervised by Profughi, who has nearly 40 years of experience conducting public opinion surveys in Rhode Island. He and members of his supervisory and computer analysis team have conducted more than 1,000 surveys in the state since 1970.
Overall, the current poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.
"Either
a)Find which specific posts I made in support of ousting Cannon in Utah. Or,
b) Stop making false accusations that you lack the factual basis to accurately support."
All you conservatives look alike to staytrue.
Make your point.
What makes you think Chafee would beat the Dem? Have you a poll?
Moonbats are on the left.
You sound like a DUer.
Will you support Laffey in the general? Doesn't sound like you will.
Chafee is a radical liberal.
They are? I thought staytrue was talking about the primary. At least, he/she made it seem that way.
Sorry (not really), but I'm not leaving.
FYI. No surprise to me except that Laffey is gaining strength so early with the unaffiliated.
Well, attacking conservatives in general on a Conservative Forum?
Not a good idea.
The point is that the sentence is very strange and I don't know what to make of it...so in other words, what I said.
Now if we could just get McCain & Specter to step down (or to at least just STFU), that would be so sweet.
Answer: Blackwell has the misfortune of running to succeed ultra-RINO Bob Taft, not only the LEAST popular Governor of Ohio but the LEAST popular Governor in the nation right now (and a disgrace to the Taft family name) Ohio voters are sick of "Republican rule" in the Governor's mansion after Taft, and sadly the Republican candidate running to "succeed" him is running against a mountain of "throw the rascals" out sentiment to remove the "Republicans" from the Governor's mansion.
Republican Jim Ryan faced a simular problem when he was running to succeed ultra RINO criminal scumbag George Ryan in Illinois.
Mike Dewine faces no such anchor around his neck -- he's not running to replace a fellow Republican Senator who's less popular than toxic waste. Rather, Mike Dewine is a likeable if spineless center-right incumbent who is scandal-free.
You're probably shoving the same crap that Alan Keyes campaign is "proof" that "conservatives can't win" in Gore states. Tell you what, let's have one of your brillant RINO candidates run under the SAME circumstances as Keyes. Pluck him out of his state, make him the 11th hour "replacement" candidate after the previous Republican was forced out due to scandal, and make sure his Dem opponent had two monthes of running opponent-free with the national media fawning over him endless with puff pieces and hyping the RAT as a "rising star" nonstop.
Wanna take the bet, wise guy? Maybe we should have California RINO Rosario Marin become the GOP candidate in CT next month. I'm sure she would "win", right?
I, for one conservative, don't want you to leave. On the other hand, I don't think you should call us idiots either. That's what the Rats do to conservatives--they tried to sell the notion that Reagan was an idiot, just as they're trying to sell the notion that President Bush is an idiot. Fortunately, conservatives know better.
The answers would be NO/ NO/ NO. Little Rhodies are their own breed.. just like Brown Eggs. They will NEVER vote R, but they will switch if they feel insecure. HUGE UNION STATE..you haven't a safe job unless you work for the GOV//STATE//UNION.
They are incredibly kind folks who try to do the best that they can. Grew up on the teat.
I think cheering when you win a primary or being a sore loser and sliming a primary winner you don't like is so idiotic, that yes I will call you an idiot if you do that.
Cheering is for winning in the general election.
You never heard the Schwarzenegger supporters cheering when McClintock lost, but you did hear the Tom supporters sliming Arnold.
Those are the people I have no respect for and yes they are idiots.
But they have been voting "R". Liberal "R", but still an "R".
Hewett is of the opinion that it doesn't matter whether a Republican is liberal (RINO) or not....the party with the most members seated is in control. Control means setting the agenda. Control means advancing favorable legislation and blocking unfavorable legislation to the overall objectives. Control of the committees! It doesn't matter a bit if the RINOs get elected or reelected as long as the 'Pubbies stay in control! Imagine the satisfaction of giving Chaffee the boot and then seeing control revert to the RATS and getting to see them take over all the committees like the Judiciary? Can we just imagine the BLIZZARD of gun control laws that would hit the floor? While we revel in the heady decade of control we forget forty years of the misery that we felt as the minority party. Let alone all the bad stuff that we were unable to protect the country from having to endure.
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