Posted on 08/18/2006 8:46:36 AM PDT by presidio9
The gay community in the western world, mauled by the first wave of the AIDS pandemic, now faces a second storm, according to a forecast released at the International AIDS conference.
Since 2001, new cases of HIV in the homosexual population in the United States, Europe, Canada and Australasia have been rising by about 1.9 percent per year, the research by the University of Pittsburgh said.
Without action to correct this trend -- a return to safe sex or an unexpected medical breakthrough -- the infection rate is set to soar as the population ages.
In 2001, HIV affected on average roughly one in 12 gay 20-year-olds in these countries. By the time they are 30, researchers projected, the rate could rise to one in four. And by the time this group reaches 60, 58 percent could be infected.
Ensuing generations are also at threat, said the study, which was a review of papers in published journals.
"Ongoing incidence rates at this level will yield very high HIV prevalence rates within each generation of gay men," University of Pittsburgh researcher Ron Stall said.
Stall was especially alarmed by the explosion in HIV infections among African-American gays.
In this group, the rate of new infections today is four percent among those between 15 and 22 years of age -- but 15 percent among those aged 23-29.
Assuming an average rate of increase of four percent of new infections per year, three-quarters of individuals in the 23-29 group will be HIV-positive when they reach the age of 50.
"It's not a new story, it has been repeated time and again in the literature in the past... an almost unbelievable incidence rate," Stall said.
"African-American men who have sex with men suffer among the highest HIV prevalence rates of any risk group in the world."
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ( CDC) also warned of a daunting rise in the rate of gays contracting HIV in 35 US states.
Ronald Valdiserri, deputy director of the CDC's National Center for HIV, said the surge in infections among gay men could partly be explained by the growing use of methamphetamines, a drug that enhances sexual appetites and can drive users into risky sex.
He also pointed to what he called "AIDS burnout" -- complacency about the risks from AIDS in the era of antiretroviral drugs, which keep HIV to a manageable level but are not a cure and carry major side-effects.
"We have a new generation of gay men who didn't go through the early years, who didn't see neighbourhoods dying," said Valdiserri.
"HIV is still an incurable disease. In the United States five percent (of the budget for HIV) is spent on prevention," he added.
"America is more interested on treating this disease than preventing it. We can't treat our way out of this epidemic, even as a rich country."
I assume the goal of the article is to get more funding for aids research.New cases of HIV/AIDS could pretty much be eliminated overnight if people in high risk groups practiced safe sex(used condoms)and drug addicts used clean needles instead of sharing.So i have to ask,why do homosexuals still insist on having unprotected sex with multiple partners?Why do drug users insist on sharing needles?
and is blamed on conservative Presidents...
Tag worthy...
Is this before the Gates money was added to the pot?
There may be hope for saving Social Security yet!
Who am I kidding? The muzzies will sneak a nuke into DC across the southern border way before the financial trouble really hits.
The last number I heard thrown around is that once infected an HIV person has a 8-10 year max life expectancy.
I doubt any of the original diagnosed patients are alive today.
The other number tossed around is that homosexual men average life expectancy is 40 years old. This would suggest that you will have some lucky individuals who will not get infected and die until they hit their 50's.
I think also there will be fewer homosexuals to be infected, assuming the article is correct, thust the per homosexual infection rate will be higher since there are in the population.
In the early eighties, we met an insurance executive from Providence. He said the insurance industry was scared to death of the effect of AIDS on premiums and risk. There was no actuarial data to base premiums on. I assume that has changed.
Get out while you can, fellows!
I Corinthians 6:9-13
But St. Paul says...
"That's what some of you WERE!"
(See above Scripture ref.)
Because that's just how it is in a Socialist society.
Oh let em have their fun. Surely there'll be a cure soon. {wink wink nudge nudge}
(Almost, anyway.)
Your data, is EXTREMELY flawed - however that's par for the course. Selective choosing of the data to reflect only your own point of view rather than actually looking for the truth.
Also, every homosexual is born of heterosexual parents. As long as heterosexuals keep breeding (which we do with surprising indiscretion or planning), there will be homosexuals.
Eric
Eric
The disease is only about 25 years old.
Not even almost.
I wouldn't get a transfusion except from a family member, I never eat out (no worries about cuts dripping in the salad), I don't work in health care so I won't get a needle stick, and I don't inject drugs and I don't perform sex acts with strangers and I'm monogamously married to someone who has the same habits I do.
I think that about covers it!
I think we are spending too much money in queer deceases (Aids). If they just use ther a-- for what it is, they will have nothing to worry about. HOW ABOUT THAT? :)
so what IS the life expectancy of an hiv infected individual?
If you have evidence to the contrary to show a homosexuals average lifespan is longer than the fourties please DO share.
Even according to the HIH the supermajority of new aids cases are all from homosexuals.
Homosexuality is not caused by birth, the "homosexuals" are caused by recruiting. (see GLSEN, PFLAG, and GSA access to children, see child molesters)
Homosexuals are not "born" of anything. It is a lifstyle centered on a fetish.
Imagine if there was a title ix for diseases!
If every dollar had to be equal "per sick person".
We could callit the Disease Equality Law.
Let them have their fun. Just cut off all research funds and medicaid/medicare funds for their treatment. It is a disease that can be easily prevented... and affects few people besides queers!
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