Could the GOP lose 30 seats? I suppose so, if the Dems sweep all 40 or so vulnerable seats in the House (which has about a 98% re-election rate for incumbents).
But I won't mind too much, because if that occurs I'll be sleeping with Anna Kournikova. 
Posted on 07/30/2006 2:06:41 PM PDT by rface
Rush Limbaugh announced on his show that the GOP house internal polling shows a circa 30 seat loss for 2006.
It is hard for me to write much on this subject, as internal polling is secretive and not generaly available to public scrutiny. But there are some thoughts for discussion here.
One, is Rush correct? I don't think Rush makes it up as he goes along. He is human, and can make errors (as can anybody talking solo for 15 hours a week). But I haven't known him to lie outright on a political matter ever. I believe Rush has reported what he has gleaned from a GOP member of congress or a staffer.
Two, is the information correct? Is it a leak, or a misinformation campaign? I guess I don't see much value in leaking incorrect data to Rush exagerating a potential house loss. So I tend to believe the leaker was being accurate.
Three, should Rush have reported this (and should I write about it)? No to the first part. Internal polling is not meant to be leaked or reported. Once millions of Rush listeners have the info, it is already public and so I offer it here for your analysis.
Four, implications? Internal polling isn't the "for public" polling that you get from groups like Zogby, Gallup, Rasmussen, etc. Internal polling is the hard core, scientific, no spin accurate stuff that the candidates and the parties get and is held close to their vests. Only the best of the best work directly for the parties and candidates. My point is that if the information Rush reported is accurate, there are dark times ahead.
Implications go beyond this too. With the recent failure of the GOP by raising the minimum wage and cutting (but enshrining) a major tax, and with no movement on issues like arctic and offshore drilling, the slow pace of federal court appointments, and unreal spending, the GOP is losing the base. Despite our war on terror and a robust economy, Americans see casualty numbers and gas prices.
Having just adjourned for a recess, I see little the house can do other than campaign localy in the near term. If we blow this election we have no one to blame other than ourselves (a moderate to liberal GOP senate and a spend happy house).
"Where have you gone Ronald Reagan, a nation turns it's lonely eyes to you".
Try again, Rummy
Me neither, but raising the minimum wage is a political winner. Most people are for it.
Thank you for at least admitting the truth.
When a voter can't tell the difference between these two parties, then the GOP has absolutely nothing to worry about because there's little it can do to correct such a woefully warped perception.
231 (R)
-16
______
215 (R)
201(D)
+16
_____
217 (D)
Say we win both open seats, that makes it even with Sanders making it a Dem congress.
What am I missing?
Oh fer two, Rummy!
You are right. At least it makes very littl eimpression. The GOP House has become, in attitude at least, what they replaced 12 years ago.
As a 1st generation American Jew and a USAir Force Vet who volunteered to defend your arse sure as hell hope my Fn vote counts more than your salied in with the pilgrams and had black slaves vote.
Could the GOP lose 30 seats? I suppose so, if the Dems sweep all 40 or so vulnerable seats in the House (which has about a 98% re-election rate for incumbents).
But I won't mind too much, because if that occurs I'll be sleeping with Anna Kournikova.
Yes, but they'll gain more than they lose, and at the very least it takes the issue off the table. The current economic expansion is based on higher prices. The price of government is higher, the price for energy, the price for raw materials, and the price for housing. I would prefer sound economic governance, but we're not going to get that from the current crop of Republican leaders. The best they can do is give a minimum wage increase.
When you sober up there, FlyBoy, try posting again. Perhaps I'll comprehend enough to be offended.
So everything has to be cheap?? Since when does housing has to be cheap? Since when has gas to be cheap??
Ask him what his excuse for the red-hot economy was when there was no inflation and, in fact, deflation worries. ;-)
Yeah, but you can give up on that one, LOL.
MM
His head will probaly explode....
Dont hurt yourself.
So, you're depending on complaisantness for gains in 2006?
Sorry. I dont vote for the "R". I vote for the issues and I look at results and obviously these internal polls show that the American people do to and prove you wrong.
You're putting words in my mouth. Good economic policy and restrained government growth makes things affordable. Prices stay stable, salaries go up, and most people enjoy a higher standard of living.
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