Posted on 11/10/2005 1:22:46 PM PST by qam1
America should prepare for a big fat war between the generations. Its going to be ugly.
On one side is the baby boom generation, which retires and claims a ton of government benefits. On the other are younger workers, forced to fund those benefits plus pay the bills their elders left them.
When the war comes, the Federal Reserve chairman will have to be a general. That person will likely be Bush nominee Ben Bernanke. The question is, for which side will he fight?
Outgoing Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan tried to represent both sides. He supported the Bush tax cuts.
This gave comfort to todays taxpayers, who chose not to charge themselves for the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the new Medicare drug benefit and the quarter-billion-dollar bridge to nowhere.
Last spring, Greenspan did service for the other side. I fear that we may have already committed more physical resources to the baby boom generation in its retirement years than our economy has the capacity to deliver, he said.
One solution would be to ramp-up means-testing for Medicare, the health insurance plan for the elderly. Greenspan would reconfigure the program to be relatively generous to the poor and stingy to the rich.
The political reality is that the baby boom generation expects to see the nice government handouts its retired parents enjoyed, and then some. Younger workers expect to be taxed at todays lower rates. One group will be very disappointed or perhaps both groups because there is no way the Candyland economics of today can go on.
The whole alarming future is nicely mapped out in a book, The Coming Generational Storm, by Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff and Scott Burns, a personal-finance columnist at The Dallas Morning News.
Kotlikoff and Burns clearly sympathize with younger Americans and Americans not yet born, who will be paying both our bills and their own. Does it feel better, the authors write, if those unknown victims of our rapacity are someone elses children and the children of those children and the children of those children of those children?
Sounds like war to me. Kotlikoff and Burns try to be meticulously nonpartisan, but I wont. Though the irresponsible policymaking spanned decades, todays mad deficits rush us closer to disaster. Democrats are not shy about pushing for retiree benefits, but at least they consider raising taxes to pay for them. Not the current crowd, whose spend-and-borrow strategy is the 1919 Versailles Treaty of this-century America: an unstable setup that guarantees future conflict.
The scam is that the tax cuts are not really wiping the nations slate clean of tax obligations. When spending exceeds tax revenues, the difference must be borrowed. That debt does not disappear. It gets paid for, with interest, by someones taxes. So the Bush cuts simply move the taxes from one generation of shoulders to another.
Bernanke would certainly come to the Fed job with good credentials. Head of the presidents Council of Economic Advisers, he formerly chaired the Princeton economics department. Bernanke seems OK, but other candidates were more upfront about deficits.
One was Martin Feldstein, President Ronald Reagans top economic adviser. Feldstein drew flak for criticizing the Reagan deficits. The Bush White House wouldnt want to hear that kind of thing. Anyway, theres no need to worry about making ends meet when you can use the next generations credit card.
Another Republican contender for the Fed job was Larry Lindsey. He was fired as a Bush adviser in 2002, after predicting that the war in Iraq would cost up to $200 billion, a figure already passed. Lindsey did not understand: One simply does not talk price in the Bush administration.
Given the presidents tendency to give top jobs to those closest, we can give thanks that he did not nominate his banker brother. Neil Bush played a major role in the Silverado Savings & Loan fiasco of the 1980s, which cost taxpayers $1 billion.
Or perhaps the president was doing the big-brotherly thing in protecting Neil from a job sure to be filled with strife.
The person who heads the Fed in the next decade will be trying to steer the nation through the perfect economic storm. Good luck to the new chairman, and to all the generations.
True, if the parents that time could have afforded more than, perhaps my sister and I could have arrived in school in a more appropriate manner.
None of that is a surprise to me, and I've repeatedly said that there are some boomers who did do the right thing. I've also noted that there were more who did not. None of what you said contradicts that. I know the general history of the Vietnam war. How does this change the behavior of boomers who fled overseas and turned universities into enemy strongholds, those who created the perpetual anti-war movement and still staff it to this day in farcical attempts to replay that war? And then we have the John Kerrys and Al Gores who did go to Vietnam and still ended up traitors to the nation afterwards.
I was late to the party. My first computer was a Heathkit H-8. I built it from parts. It still works today. I did wire-wrap my first bit-mapped graphics board and wrote all the driver software for HDOS to make it run.
Many children went hungry, they lived on Potatoes potato soup Potato everything so they would feel full
No welfare or Social Security back then, Many people dirt poor.
Me too. :-)
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Let's see, the Tet Offensive, after which 'greatest generation' icon Walter Cronkite announced that the war was lost, took place in February 1968. At that time the oldest boomer was 22. By the time the 'greatest generation' abandoned Viet Nam the oldest boomer was 27. The tens of thousands of boomers killed in VN (avg age - 19) died in a war started, mis-managed and then abandonded by 'greatest generation' leaders elected by 'greatest generation' voters. You have opinions but they are not supported by the calendar or the facts.
If you have the answers, maybe you should go to some of the VA hospitals and tell the Vietnam Vets why they were drafted into that war..
WOW!
It seems the author is correct. There is a war between the generations, at least mentally.
And sadder still we are all freepers. You would think we would be all on the same side.
Sigh.
I agree with you on that...I think all people on welfare should be guaranteed a job and have to work in some of these hurricaine stricken areas..if they won't no more welfare..
The country was divided because Young Men were being DRAFTED and had no idea why they were fighting a War far from HOME in the Jungles of Vietnam...
You think it's bad here, just give France another 20 years, when almost all the old pensioners will be white French and most of the taxpayers will be North African muslims.
I hear ya. :-)
Many were introduced to excessive drinking and recreational drug abuse and those types had lots of stalled lives when they came back.
Whoohoo! I still not only have my S-100, but I still have an H-8/H-9. :-) Mine still works as well. However, the floppy drives need to be realigned. (CP/M rocks! LOL)
I've worked full time since 1976 and NEVER worked 9-5. The tuna fleet work typically consumed my time from 7 AM to 9 PM M-F and some weekends as necessary. My initial work at PacBell was engineering. A nice 7:50 AM to 4:20 PM M-F job that left me time to teach school T/Th from 6:30 PM to 10 PM. When I moved to the computer side of the house, 7 AM to 7 PM was a normal schedule...no overtime pay...straight salary.
My dad spent YEARS at sea. Not exactly 9-5 office work.
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