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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/28/2005 8:10:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: amscray; bugoutnow; getoutadodge; getoutoftown; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; katrinaandthewaves; lordprotectnoandla; nawlins; neworleans; tropical; walkingonsunshine; weather
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To: pax_et_bonum

THEY'RE LATE. lol


981 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:03 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: bonfire

Thanks....prayers for your family, also. I can't figure out if Slidell is better off with an east or west landfall.


982 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:07 PM PDT by Jrabbit
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To: Chevy Sales; Prime Choice
prime choice was flat priceless..what a great great running commentary he provided

Does anybody know how prime is doing? He was SO expert! He was battling cancer.

Prime...we're thinking of you!!!

983 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:18 PM PDT by paulat
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To: Tiger Smack

At the beginning of the thread, there are links to live feeds. I'm watching the ABC one.


984 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:21 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: MplsSteve

I just know that I wouldn't want to have my family in a vehicle during this storm, or any hurricane.


985 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:33 PM PDT by pax_et_bonum
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To: Mr.Atos
and there is a very real possibility of building collapse during this storm... ESPECIALLY highrises. Catastrophic building failure is a very real possiblity.

Holy chit!

986 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:33 PM PDT by JustaCowgirl (The left thinks the Cm in Chief should step aside and let Cindy Sheehan make foreign policy for us.)
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To: Chena
I'd lay my toaster on it's side and ...

Shezam ! That's brilliant !


bachelor cuisine bookmark

987 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:36 PM PDT by tomkat (sincere as all gitout)
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To: Howlin
He didn't think he had the AUTHORITY to evacuate his city? Well, who did?

The Almighty Karl Rove?

I'm sure he'll get the blame, anyway. It's SOP.

988 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:40 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude Adjustments Offered Here Free of Charge)
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To: al baby

"Does anyone know how to make cinnamon toast?"


LOL, funny you wrote that! I was sitting here craving something sweet and finally thought, I know, I'll make cinnamon toast. Make toast, spread with lots of butter, sprinkle with sugar and cinnamon.


989 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:45 PM PDT by pies
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To: DoughtyOne

I would have zero confidence in this Mayor. When he couldn't make up his mind last night to order an evacuation, I couldn't believe it.

I would have evacuated without his order though as soon as I saw what was happening.

Hyatt Hotel is bringing in people to the ballroom.


990 posted on 08/28/2005 10:00:59 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (AOII Mom -- Allen in 2008)
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To: bonfire

I'll continue following until 3:00 am.


991 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:09 PM PDT by mjtobias (There is nothing new under the sun.)
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To: Sidebar Moderator

It's ok, I'll let it slide


992 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:10 PM PDT by Admin Moderator
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To: jeffers

appears based on the faster movement earlier...10 a.m. seems a bit late maybe, but I really have not sat down and done the calculations on distance etc.


993 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:18 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: Jrabbit

"I have family that live in Slidell. North shore...they evacuated but any chance they will have homes not
under water?"

NW corner of the Slidell City limits show to be at +27 feet.

NE corner, 30 feet. That's above the upper limit of the forecast isolated surges.

SW and SE corners show 13 feet. That's cutting it pretty fine. How much foundation sticks out of the ground?

Lots of variables, but I can't see any obvious funneling effects in that area. The big freeways might even act as levees, if they don't wash out.


994 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:21 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: spycatcher

That, too. Ppeople should go to jail for that.


995 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:27 PM PDT by Miss Marple (Lord, please look after Mozart Lover's son and keep him strong.)
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To: Howlin

"We can make this a good experience,"


She should go down in history for that remark. She's not just a moron.....she's a party to murder.


996 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:32 PM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: piasa

That "lack of authority" thing will come as HUGE news to every mayor along the East Coast, won't it?


997 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:33 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: janetjanet998
Japan is a little worried:


998 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:36 PM PDT by Revel
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To: jeffers

Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 25a

midnight CDT Mon Aug 29 2005


...Potentially catastrophic category five Hurricane Katrina
continues to approach the northern Gulf Coast...
...Sustained hurricane-force winds nearing the southeastern
Louisiana coast...


a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida
border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.


A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from
west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana.


A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida
eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City
Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At midnight CDT...0500z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was
located near latitude 27.9 north...longitude 89.5 west or about
90 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River
and about 150 miles south-southeast of New Orleans Louisiana.


Katrina is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph...and a
turn to the north is expected over the next 12 to 24 hours. On the
forecast track the center of the hurricane will be very near the
northern Gulf Coast Monday morning. However...conditions are
already deteriorating along portions of the central and
northeastern Gulf Coast...and will continue to worsen through the
night.


Maximum sustained winds remain near 160 mph with higher gusts.
Katrina is a category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Some fluctuations in strength are likely prior to landfall...and
Katrina is expected to make landfall at either category four or
five intensity. Winds affecting the upper floors of high-rise
buildings will be significantly stronger than those near ground
level.


Katrina remains a very large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 230 miles. A wind gust to 98 mph was
recently reported from Southwest Pass Louisiana.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 908 mb...26.81 inches.
An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating Katrina.


Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 28 feet...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall. Some levees in the greater New Orleans area
could be overtopped. Significant storm surge flooding will occur
elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.


Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf
Coast and the Tennessee Valley. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches
are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes
region Tuesday and Wednesday.


Isolated tornadoes will be possible this evening over southeastern
Louisiana...southern Mississippi...southern Alabama...and over the
Florida Panhandle tonight.


Repeating the midnight CDT position...27.9 N... 89.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 908 mb.


An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 am CDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 4 am CDT.


Forecaster Stewart


999 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:41 PM PDT by Interesting Times (ABCNNBCBS -- yesterday's news.)
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To: Sidebar Moderator

I know, ain't that somethin'?! Shall I wear the "dunce" hat tonight? ;)


1,000 posted on 08/28/2005 10:01:45 PM PDT by Chena (I'm not young enough to know everything)
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