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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/28/2005 8:10:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: amscray; bugoutnow; getoutadodge; getoutoftown; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; katrinaandthewaves; lordprotectnoandla; nawlins; neworleans; tropical; walkingonsunshine; weather
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To: Ronzo

It's not looking good.


1,701 posted on 08/28/2005 11:58:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: All
L.A. officials are already demanding, in written form, for Bush tour the devastation!
1,702 posted on 08/28/2005 11:59:35 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Cindy Sheehan: "All You Are Saying Is Give APPEASEMENT A Chance!")
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To: John Jamieson
Your welcome.
1,703 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:09 AM PDT by spunkets
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To: newzjunkey
Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 25b

Statement as of 2:00 am CDT on August 29, 2005

 
...Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Katrina beginning to turn
   northward toward southeastern Louisiana and the northern Gulf
   Coast...
...Sustained hurricane-force winds occurring along the 
   southeastern Louisiana coast...

 
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida
border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from
west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida
eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City
Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.

 

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 2 am CDT...0700z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was
located near latitude 28.2 north...longitude 89.6 west or about
70 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River
and about 130 miles south-southeast of New Orleans Louisiana.

 
Katrina is now moving toward the north near 12 mph. This motion is
forecast to continue today with a gradual increase in forward
speed.  A turn toward the north-northeast is expected later tonight
and on Tuesday. On the forecast track the center of the hurricane
will be very near the northern Gulf Coast later this morning.
However... conditions are gradually deteriorating along portions of
the central and northeastern Gulf Coast...and will continue to
worsen throughout the day.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph with higher gusts.
Katrina is now a strong category four hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely
prior to landfall...but Katrina is expected to make landfall as
either a category four or possibly a category five hurricane. 
Winds affecting the upper floors of high-rise buildings will be
significantly stronger than those near ground level.

 
Katrina remains a very large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 230 miles. During the past hour...a wind
gust to 83 mph was reported from a University of southern
Mississippi buoy located just east of the Chandeleur Islands...a
gust to 75 mph was reported at Grand Isle Louisiana...and a wind
gust to 60 mph was reported in New Orleans.

 
The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force
Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was  910 mb...26.87 inches.

 
Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 28 feet...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.  Some levees in the greater New Orleans area
could be overtopped.  Significant storm surge flooding will occur
elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.
NOAA buoy 42040 located about 50 miles east of the mouth of the
Mississippi River recently reported waves heights of at least 40
feet.

 
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf
Coast and the Tennessee Valley.  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches
are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes
region Tuesday and Wednesday.

 
The tornado threat ahead of Katrina is increasing and scattered
tornadoes will be possible today over southeastern Louisiana...
southern Mississippi...southern Alabama...and over the Florida
Panhandle tonight.

 
Repeating the 2 am CDT position...28.2 N... 89.6 W.  Movement
toward...north near 12 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...155 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 910 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center 
at 4 am CDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

1,704 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:16 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: stlnative

good. Very happy to hear that. I cant imagine folks managed to bring food with them.


1,705 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:26 AM PDT by warsaw44
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To: NautiNurse; All
Click New Orleans NOAA Weather Radio

Click Baton Rouge Radio (Live Coverage)

Click how to listen and/or watch Hurricanecity & WABN - (Live Coverage)

1,706 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:29 AM PDT by Gucho
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To: Tall_Texan

I think you are right which means NO will get the brunt of the east winds of the hurricane which would be devastating.


1,707 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:32 AM PDT by PhiKapMom (AOII Mom -- Allen in 2008)
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To: NautiNurse

Door Number One, Monty.


1,708 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:34 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: newzjunkey
L.A. officials are already demanding, in written form, for Bush tour the devastation!

Are you kidding?

1,709 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:37 AM PDT by Peach (South Carolina is praying for our Gulf coast citizens.)
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To: pax_et_bonum
I'll be right back... do you mind waiting?

Wait for you?

Eternity is a long time, but I would wait.

1,710 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:40 AM PDT by Flyer (Home from Crawford (Houston))
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To: JeffAtlanta

I guess you are unable to think it through at all, so I'll note the obvious. In BR, you only have to shelter them inside for the day before and duration of the storm. 2 days. After that they can be moved to temporary tent cities. I take it that you are unaware that such ARE planned for some of the expected refugees that won't be able to return to their homes(or perhaps just remaining land) in New Orleans for weeks if the storm surge fills the bowl. Was discussed earlier this evening.

But hell, that's all a bit difficult and inconvenient, and I'm sure you'll now gripe that they don't have adequate mental relief and color TV's, so just let 'em drown.


1,711 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:53 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: kinghorse
You can get 5mp shots from the surface of Mars but when you want storm coverage it's zip until it's over.

Because it is technically less challenging to get pictures from (calm weather) Mars. There are lots of cameras running, and the issue is one of "realtime" communication.

1,712 posted on 08/29/2005 12:00:58 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: PhiKapMom

Yep. It was the snakes that did it.


1,713 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:09 AM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: All

Down to 155 MPH now. Cat 4.


1,714 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:13 AM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: NautiNurse

155 MPH @ 2 a.m.; slight weakening.

Storm surge 18-22 feet.


1,715 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:24 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: PAR35

Ft. Polk is 40 miles west of Alexandria. They would have to establsih a tent city there to hold the people.


1,716 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:28 AM PDT by RobbyS ( CHIRHO)
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To: onyx; BurbankKarl

Good God - can you imagine Norry doing this program?
Art is doing a fine job tonight.


1,717 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:31 AM PDT by warsaw44
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To: NautiNurse

Top of the range Category 4.

New advisory - 155 mph.
910 mb


1,718 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:33 AM PDT by Peach (South Carolina is praying for our Gulf coast citizens.)
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To: newzjunkey

From a web blog

I just received this email from user Adam Henderson: "My friend is stuck on I-10 and has just called me saying there is a 12 car pile up. His CB is buzzing with news that a 18 wheeler is involved." At this stage, it might be best not to try to evacuate. Being stuck in a traffic jam on I-10 when the winds start blowing 130 mph is probably more dangerous than riding out the storm in the Superdome.



1,719 posted on 08/29/2005 12:01:55 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: Termite_Commander

I think it will strenthen again before landfall.


1,720 posted on 08/29/2005 12:02:00 AM PDT by Howlin
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