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Posted on 08/28/2005 8:10:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I believe an ERC.
Praying that nothing happens to the SupereDome roof.
You got it, your secret is safe.
I've already explained in a previous post that evacuating a city the size of New Orleans is not a simple thing that the mayor does everytime that a hurricane is in the gulf. The track record for hurricane landing zone predictions is not very good. Just look at the hurricanes last year.
bookmark
Thanks very much for the kind words, Paula. I'm much obliged.
He was battling cancer.
I still am. I am due for three tests in nuclear medicine this week. Indications are that the cancer has likely returned.
Prime...we're thinking of you!!!
Many thanks and God bless.
Ok, let's not get out of hand here . . . when Andrew's northern eyewall rolled over my house, I watched my cars through the kitchen window (only one not shuttered, was protected by overhang of second floor) as sustained winds of 150 mph with gusts of 200 blew through my parking lot. No cars moved; even my old slab sided '89 Jetta barely shook on her springs.
Tornados, yes, and that accounts for some heavy things moved, but debris that travels far is usually large light structures like aluminum or wood sidings, etc. Small, heavier things, like roof tiles (and yes, they can be ripped off), the 3-story apt complex across the way lost much of their roofs, and every windshield and window of every car in their parking lot was shattered, not to mention dents in the bodywork. However, we didn't get a single one in our lot, right next door. My Jetta had scratched paint and glass from the shingles of our roof, but no other damage and no car was moved an inch.
I will say this though; you know you're in trouble when the lightning is GREEN! (comes from having so much rain in the air, I think)
that may be true,,warran madden on the weather channel just mentioned decaying on the west side too
Thank you for bringing some logic and reason to this thread.
The feed is back up and reliable at WWL Ch 4
And is it heading up to Foley?????? have been on this thread so long tonight, that my ISP kicked me off and I had to reconncet. I was going to bed, but then read your post about Orange Beach. Now I will have to stay up longer.
Thank you - my sentiments too.
Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 25a
midnight CDT Mon Aug 29 2005
...Potentially catastrophic category five Hurricane Katrina
continues to approach the northern Gulf Coast...
...Sustained hurricane-force winds nearing the southeastern
Louisiana coast...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida
border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from
west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida
eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City
Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At midnight CDT...0500z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was
located near latitude 27.9 north...longitude 89.5 west or about
90 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River
and about 150 miles south-southeast of New Orleans Louisiana.
Katrina is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph...and a
turn to the north is expected over the next 12 to 24 hours. On the
forecast track the center of the hurricane will be very near the
northern Gulf Coast Monday morning. However...conditions are
already deteriorating along portions of the central and
northeastern Gulf Coast...and will continue to worsen through the
night.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 160 mph with higher gusts.
Katrina is a category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Some fluctuations in strength are likely prior to landfall...and
Katrina is expected to make landfall at either category four or
five intensity. Winds affecting the upper floors of high-rise
buildings will be significantly stronger than those near ground
level.
Katrina remains a very large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 230 miles. A wind gust to 98 mph was
recently reported from Southwest Pass Louisiana.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 908 mb...26.81 inches.
An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is currently
investigating Katrina.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 28 feet...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall. Some levees in the greater New Orleans area
could be overtopped. Significant storm surge flooding will occur
elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf
Coast and the Tennessee Valley. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches
are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes
region Tuesday and Wednesday.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible this evening over southeastern
Louisiana...southern Mississippi...southern Alabama...and over the
Florida Panhandle tonight.
Repeating the midnight CDT position...27.9 N... 89.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 908 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 am CDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Stewart
Michelle Malkin being a hypercritical knee-jerk backseat harpy? Gee, I've never seen her like that before...< / sarc >
If the winds remain at 140 - 160 m.p.h., I wouldn't want to be in just about any structure in the NO area.
The report on FoxNews right now pegs sustained winds at 160 m.p.h. Earlier gusts were reported as high as 190 when the sustained were also about 160.
This does not look good at all. There seems to be an attitude from people that they are tired of evacuating. A number of people are staying in the area. I think that could turn out to be a fatal mistake for far too many.
Thanks for the update, janetjanet998. I'm going to sign off now and crawl into bed and watch the Live news reports. It's only 9:12 p.m. here in Alaska, so it must be 1:12 a.m. in NO. Prayers for all, chena :)
It is a disgrace and I remain angry at the incompetence which is obvious, if you ask me.
I just saw a car drive by on it.
Hey! You guys quit whispering behind our backs....
NeverGore ;^)
I'm just keeping a few Airmen up to date! Mainly calling in the middle of the night to my daughter saying "get to your saferoom NOW!" and such...
She then phones the rest of her folks.
Eglin does a great job of keeping track of their people. Her Sargeant called right after I did to give the same warning. My daughter (Airman) and her husband (Senior Airman) spent the next half hour hiding in the bathtub. I'm just glad I have the info available. And they appreciate you all, too. You'd be amazed at how many of our guys and gals at Eglin lurk here at Free Republic!! Not to mention a few brass :)
You all are great. Thank you for helping us all look out for those we love!
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