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Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
You can't be serious? Are you kidding us? Shame on you. Let's hope thousands don't die.
Prayers for the Victims of Hurricane Katrina
Catholic Caucus: Virgin of Prompt Succor - Hurricanes and Dangers
How about a Prayer for the Kat Hurricane folks Drstevej former freeper
However it could also mean that she is repositioning her eye and may come back with w vengeance in a few hours.
The same thing happened last night and caused a drop from 145 to 135 followed by the Rapid Intensity cycle we saw that brought her to 175 this morning.
Pretty intence discussion going on over on the weather forums. This could be good news, a complete collapse could mean cat 4 at landfall, but it could also mean a quick regen and intensification at landfall.
Either way it looks like the endgame scenario has begun and we should have an idea of what is happening in the next few hours.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 651 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA * UNTIL 715 PM CDT * AT 651 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES SOUTH OF PALMETTO BEACH...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... FORT MORGAN BY 705 PM CDT EAST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND FORT GAINES BY 710 PM CDT DAUPHIN ISLAND AND SAND ISLAND BY 715 PM CDT IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...ABANDON VEHICLES AND MOBILE HOMES AND SEEK A REINFORCED SHELTER. MOVE TO THE LOWEST FLOOR INTERIOR HALLWAY OR CLOSET. COVER YOUR BODY WITH BLANKETS OR PILLOWS. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. LAT...LON 3012 8781 3028 8782 3043 8825 3027 8836 $$
I was wrong; he bugged out.
Posted by gulfcoast6 to Dog
On General/Chat 08/28/2005 6:25:51 PM EDT · 177 of 195
Am gonna get out of dodge very shortly, this is no thing to play with.
They are bringing in MRE's... for that many people and several days and no power it's the only thing they could do.
...Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Katrina now moving north-northwestward toward the northern Gulf Coast...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. Preparations to protect life and property should be completed this evening.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 27.2 north... longitude 89.1 west or about 130 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the north-northwest near 11 mph...and a turn to the north is expected over the next 24 hours. On this track the center of the hurricane will be near the northern Gulf Coast early Monday. However...conditions are already beginning to deteriorate along portions of the central and northeastern Gulf Coast...and will continue to worsen through the night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely prior to landfall...and Katrina is expected to make landfall at category four or five intensity. Winds affecting the upper floors of high-rise buildings will be significantly stronger than those near ground level.
Katrina is a large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles. Sustained tropical storm force winds are already occurring over the southeast Louisiana coast.
A NOAA hurricane hunter plane reported a minimum central pressure of 904 mb...26.69 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide levels...locally as high as 28 feet...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Some levees in the greater New Orleans area could be overtopped. Significant storm surge flooding will occur elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf Coast and the Tennessee Valley. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes region Tuesday and Wednesday.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible this evening over southern portions of Louisiana...Mississippi...and Alabama...and over the Florida Panhandle.
Repeating the 7 PM CDT position...27.2 N... 89.1 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 904 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 10 PM CDT.
Forecaster Franklin
I know, I have read the stories.
ONe of the anchors on wdsu said the mayor didn't call for
evacuation because there wasn't any place for those who couldn't evacuate, that's why they opened the super dome,
it was origonally to be a special needs shelter, once that
was set up they could declare the evacuation.
Kind of slipshod.
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 28/2326Z B. 27 DEG 07 MIN N 89 DEG 10 MIN W C. 700 MB 2261 M D. N/A E. N/A F. 243 DEG 137 KT G. 146 DEG 16 NM H. 904 MB I. 14 C/ 3046 M J. 23 C/ 3057 M K. 09 C/ NA L. OPEN SW M. C28 N. 12345/7 O. 1/1 NM P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 34 MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION
It's 160 mph now.
Sheps words are wise tonight, Have a plan, have a GO bag. Always plan what you would do if.......and stick to that plan.
She was on KXAS Ch 5 in Dallas 1997-1999ish
Dan Rather has arrived and is reporting from atop the Superdome.
You would think that a major network like FoxNews would have more video to show their viewers than the endless loop of the same old scenes they've been showing all day. I think I saw that guy taking down the American flag about 52 times so far. Ditto for the overweight guys nailing plywood over their storefronts (that are evidently going to be under 20 feet of water by dawn). And that endless queue of people outside the Superdome.
ok thanks, must be somethin' squirrely on my end...
Low pressure on the leward side causes lift.
From my very limited knowledge: (peeks at Google between reading this thread and enjoying Fox and Weather Channel babes) I thought eyewall replacement happened when the eye was about 10 miles across...
Links, please?
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