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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical
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To: Monti Cello

You can't be serious? Are you kidding us? Shame on you. Let's hope thousands don't die.


1,181 posted on 08/28/2005 4:55:56 PM PDT by RDTF
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To: NautiNurse
Prayers for Romulus, Askel 5, and others from New Orleans and Louisiana

Prayers for the Victims of Hurricane Katrina

Catholic Caucus: Virgin of Prompt Succor - Hurricanes and Dangers

Hurricane Prayer Thread

How about a Prayer for the Kat Hurricane folks Drstevej former freeper

1,182 posted on 08/28/2005 4:55:56 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Howlin
Not to get anyones hopes, but latest vortex shows a hole in the SW corner of the eyewall and also that the eye is contracting. This could mean that an Eyewall replacement is beginnning.

However it could also mean that she is repositioning her eye and may come back with w vengeance in a few hours.

The same thing happened last night and caused a drop from 145 to 135 followed by the Rapid Intensity cycle we saw that brought her to 175 this morning.

Pretty intence discussion going on over on the weather forums. This could be good news, a complete collapse could mean cat 4 at landfall, but it could also mean a quick regen and intensification at landfall.

Either way it looks like the endgame scenario has begun and we should have an idea of what is happening in the next few hours.

1,183 posted on 08/28/2005 4:55:56 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: don-o
I logged on and saw that Katrina had blow up big in the middle of the night; and the authorities fiddle farted around half a day.

...the scary part is the forecasters were saying early SATURDAY it was going to head north in the gulf and was going to grow because of the 90 degree water....so they knew ..either early saturday or late friday..

Doogle
1,184 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:07 PM PDT by Doogle (8th AF...4077thTFW....408MMS....Ubon Thailand "69"..Night Line Delivery ..AMMO)
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To: HighWheeler
.. just storin' up a couple suck-up points for the day to come when i really chew on somebody ;-)
1,185 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:07 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: don-o
Second tornado warning for Alabama -

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
651 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 651 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES SOUTH OF
PALMETTO BEACH...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
FORT MORGAN BY 705 PM CDT
EAST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND FORT GAINES BY 710 PM CDT
DAUPHIN ISLAND AND SAND ISLAND BY 715 PM CDT

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...ABANDON VEHICLES AND
MOBILE HOMES AND SEEK A REINFORCED SHELTER. MOVE TO THE LOWEST FLOOR
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR CLOSET. COVER YOUR BODY WITH BLANKETS OR PILLOWS.

IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3012 8781 3028 8782 3043 8825 3027 8836

$$

1,186 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:13 PM PDT by steveegg (Real torture is taking a ride with Sen Ted "Swimmer" Kennedy in a 1968 Oldsmobile off a short bridge)
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To: onyx

I was wrong; he bugged out.

Posted by gulfcoast6 to Dog
On General/Chat 08/28/2005 6:25:51 PM EDT · 177 of 195

Am gonna get out of dodge very shortly, this is no thing to play with.


1,187 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:16 PM PDT by Howlin (She's here!)
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To: Northern Yankee

They are bringing in MRE's... for that many people and several days and no power it's the only thing they could do.


1,188 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:16 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: homemom
Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 24a

Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on August 28, 2005

 
...Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Katrina now moving
north-northwestward toward the northern Gulf Coast...

 
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast
from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida
border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.
Preparations to protect life and property should be completed this
evening.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from
west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida
eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City
Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.

 

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 27.2 north... longitude 89.1 west or about 130 miles
south of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

 
Katrina is moving toward the north-northwest near 11 mph...and a
turn to the north is expected over the next 24 hours. On this track
the center of the hurricane will be near the northern Gulf Coast
early Monday. However...conditions are already beginning to
deteriorate along portions of the central and northeastern Gulf
Coast...and will continue to worsen through the night.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...with higher gusts.
Katrina is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely
prior to landfall...and Katrina is expected to make landfall at
category four or five intensity. Winds affecting the upper floors
of high-rise buildings will be significantly stronger than those
near ground level.

 
Katrina is a large hurricane.  Hurricane force winds extend outward
up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds
extend outward up to 230 miles.  Sustained tropical storm force
winds are already occurring over the southeast Louisiana coast.  

 
A NOAA hurricane hunter plane reported a minimum central pressure of
904 mb...26.69 inches.

 
Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide
levels...locally as high as 28 feet...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.  Some levees in the greater New Orleans area
could be overtopped.  Significant storm surge flooding will occur
elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.

 
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of
15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf
Coast and the Tennessee Valley.  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches
are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes
region Tuesday and Wednesday.

 
Isolated tornadoes will be possible this evening over southern
portions of Louisiana...Mississippi...and Alabama...and over the
Florida Panhandle.

 
Repeating the 7 PM CDT position...27.2 N... 89.1 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds...160
mph. Minimum central pressure... 904 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 10 PM CDT.

 
Forecaster Franklin

1,189 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:30 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: TXBSAFH

I know, I have read the stories.


1,190 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:31 PM PDT by U S Army EOD (WHEN JANE FONDA STARTS HER TOUR, LET ME KNOW WHERE SHE IS)
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To: don-o

ONe of the anchors on wdsu said the mayor didn't call for
evacuation because there wasn't any place for those who couldn't evacuate, that's why they opened the super dome,
it was origonally to be a special needs shelter, once that
was set up they could declare the evacuation.

Kind of slipshod.


1,191 posted on 08/28/2005 4:56:42 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: NautiNurse
Another "Vortex" report:

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/2326Z
B. 27 DEG 07 MIN N
   89 DEG 10 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2261 M
D. N/A
E. N/A
F. 243 DEG 137 KT
G. 146 DEG 16 NM
H. 904 MB
I. 14 C/ 3046 M
J. 23 C/ 3057 M
K. 09 C/ NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C28
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 34
   MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z
   EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION

1,192 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:03 PM PDT by snowsislander
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To: commish

It's 160 mph now.


1,193 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:03 PM PDT by Howlin (She's here!)
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To: don-o

Sheps words are wise tonight, Have a plan, have a GO bag. Always plan what you would do if.......and stick to that plan.


1,194 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:10 PM PDT by WestCoastGal (Thank you JR for pulling this limping team across the finish in 9th place)
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To: Txsleuth

She was on KXAS Ch 5 in Dallas 1997-1999ish


1,195 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:10 PM PDT by nhoward14
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To: Arizona Carolyn

Dan Rather has arrived and is reporting from atop the Superdome.


1,196 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:22 PM PDT by battlegearboat
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To: mabelkitty

You would think that a major network like FoxNews would have more video to show their viewers than the endless loop of the same old scenes they've been showing all day. I think I saw that guy taking down the American flag about 52 times so far. Ditto for the overweight guys nailing plywood over their storefronts (that are evidently going to be under 20 feet of water by dawn). And that endless queue of people outside the Superdome.


1,197 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:33 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (Mid-life crisis in progress...)
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To: mabelkitty

ok thanks, must be somethin' squirrely on my end...


1,198 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:36 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: kx9088

Low pressure on the leward side causes lift.


1,199 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:45 PM PDT by U S Army EOD (WHEN JANE FONDA STARTS HER TOUR, LET ME KNOW WHERE SHE IS)
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To: commish
Pretty intence discussion going on over on the weather forums.

From my very limited knowledge: (peeks at Google between reading this thread and enjoying Fox and Weather Channel babes) I thought eyewall replacement happened when the eye was about 10 miles across...

Links, please?

1,200 posted on 08/28/2005 4:57:49 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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