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Locked on 08/28/2005 8:10:53 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Good to hear of this, and may you have a safe journey. When you have time, do send us an update.
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
you got me there. I don't know the answer to that.
While I am sure there is part of the reserve in the area, I would think Texas is a more logical choice.....
But doesn't that put New Orleans in the upper right quadrant (worst part for winds)?
The girl on WDSU just said the mayor didn't declare a mandatory evacuation till after noon because they didn't have a place for the people who couldn't evacuate so they had to open the dome , origonally it was to be a special needs shelter but is now open to all.
Grump that I am, and always have been, I would say none.
Perhaps England or Oz will shame Canada, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
That's a good question.....
Really, it's unknown. I'd like to say otherwise, but nobody knows, unless the designer is still alive and will post to FR.
However, I think the chances are pretty good that the SuperDome will survive more or less intact. It was a monumental-class structure designed in the Cold War/Civil Defense era. Despite all the disclaimers about it not being intended as a shelter, I would not be surprised if the architects didn't have that exact usage in mind as a secondary or tertiary usage. I'm really not at all worried about the structure standing up to the winds.
What I *am* worried about is the prospect of a nearby tall building falling on it (possible, unlikely) or floodwaters undermining the foundation (possible, I don't know how likely this is an issue).
As for it being a deathtrap - if you're stuck in NO and can't get out, the SuperDome is by far the strongest building in NO. It's the best shot people have, IMHO.
Yup. That Superdome situation gives me the heevie-geevies.
Maybe Hillary could work some more of her magic with cattle futures... ;-)
They are, after all, fellow DEMS in the Big Easy.
RE: Laurie's outfit--I'm with you--YUK!
I'm worried about Shep and all the other reporters out there; I thought they were sending Geraldo? Him I wouldn't mind seeing washed away, but Shep, I like. What are these reporters thinking? There's gonna be no way out for them either . . .
JUst talked to a friend of mine in the Oil business. He said definately fill up tonight no matter where you are. His prediction is that gas will be up .30-.50 a gallon by Tomrrow night.
I'm home.
thanks.
I was only a contractor. I didn't have to walk the streets like the real Heroes do every day.
Did your son arrive safely this afternoon? Everything secured ?
for flooding from the lake yes, but that eastern eye wall is going to be like Andrew moving through Homestead.
Sooo....you watch the Communist News Nyetwork.
Good God! Fox sucks! Massive death toll? Screw that! How is Amber Frye doing NOW!
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