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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
If this hits NO, NO will not be anymore.
If they're in Baton Rouge then they're near the river.
Wow.....
"MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE."
A bit of other bad news you might want to consider. While the levees are designed to keep water out, they also act to keep water in when they are breeched and remain intact. Big problem that hasn't been addressed from an enginneering standpoint. The surge can not recede, the pumps are not designed to work 30 feet under water and the debris and various lifeforms and casualties are all trapped in the bowl. What a nightmare.
In the 50's the Navy tried to destroy icebergs by bombing them..failed miserably..
BTW-do you know who is the govenor of that state? Guy (or girl) seems to be a little slow on the uptake.
it seems like it is a fake.
They usually turn north when they get closer to landfall but this one has proved to be unpredictable in the past, so who knows?
The link you posted is not the proper link for that info.
Link here: http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/la/allwarnings.html
Scroll down to the third report.
Don its real man....see post 442..
I don't know about camera crews, but newsmen are like roaches. They always survive. See: Dan Rather.
Granted that's a concern, but not much radition is kicked off a 10 kiloton (Hiroshima size) device passed 10 to 20 miles, and these devices would be detonated high in the upper atmosphere...not on the ground where particulate matter could be kicked up into the atmosphere. An action the govenment under took in the fifties.
Still, my thoughts were the blast wave could disperse the cohesion of a hurricane's spiral, which supposedly gives it its foce as a storm...whether superheating the atmosphere would disperse the storm as well, it was thought...but, probably, it's like throwing pebbles in a lake...nothing but small ripples.
Helpless we are to nature, sux.
Ah, the link has been posted at least twice.
90 Degree water us good for breeding bacteria.
:-(
Wrong, the Superdome has for years been considered a shelter of last resort in emergency plans.
Bastardi on FNC now - he says its coming in just east of NO.
They will all be shut down by the companies where they are deemed to be vunerable to damage. That way they can be back up and running within a reasonable time assuming they don't have major damage. The key is not to have them online when damage could occur and thus cause even greater damage/disruption.
The Jefferson County head honcho had an even better line when asked why he hadn't ordered a mandatory: he doesn't have the staff to drag people from their houses. We've been through a whole lot of mandatories in Florida, and I don't seem to remember any dragging -- a lot of warning and nagging, but no dragging....
No its not...see post 442..
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