Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Dog]

Jim Cantore is on TWC...he seems very gloomy.

[Sally'sConcerns]

If I remeber right, the frame on that building in FW was twisted and it ultimately had to be torn down.

Nope, the one you're thinking of was in Lubbock.

[steveegg]

TWC just said that the eye is 38 miles in diameter.

The eye appears to be due south of the mouth of the Mississippi. Even if Katrina made an immediate turn north, New Orleans is going to get the left side of the eyewall.

[jdm]

"carolyn I like Shep but I'm not so sure he likes women. Just a hunch."

LOL. He is a bit of a pretty boy, isn't he?

[IndyTiger]

Latest radar as of 1630 still shows NW movement...hasn't taken the northward turn yet. On the WC, Cantore amazed by the number of people still on the roads...says they are reacting too late.

[SauronOfMordor]

Bastardi saying his prediction is 30 miles east of New Orleans for landfall. So if the choice is 30 miles to the east with 100MPH winds with the flooding from the lake, or a dead on hit, which is better?

Slightly east would be worse than a center-hit, as it will push in lots more water. But from the size of it, it's like asking "do you want the grenade to go off in your lap, or just to the right of your chair?"

Either way, I'm not sure if we have enough body bags

[RightWhale]

the factors which normally steer hurricanes will not be as effective with this storm

The storm is not a physical object like a billiard ball. It is only air at a lower pressure than surrounding air. Air does not carry much momentum, but flows according to the pressures upon it. That is, the hurricane could stop in its tracks and yet keep whirling while the inner and outer pressures are equalized.

[Dog]

Turn on the TWC..

[abb]

Biloxi. He's really concerned about the late start in evacuating. He's at the Miss Coast Coliseum.

[CDHart]

That's a scary scenario!

Carolyn

[Lijahsbubbe]

I hope so too, although he's not one of my favorite people on Fox. He thinks he's God's gift to women.

He's fun to watch though. Part of that is because he's so overbearing. He has more style and timing than most. But maybe in this case, bad timing.

[Monti Cello]

I really like Shep. Hope he has a fast exit outta there.

You mean to the afterlife?

[maggief]

Jim Cantore reporting from Biloxi, TWC.

We're reacting a few hours too late. :(

[steveegg]

The big question is 'Where's Jim Cantore?'

Biloxi, and he's no longer on the beach. He's headed into the Biloxi Coliseum as the storm gets closer.

[andyandval]

Guy on fox saying this is the second coming of Atlantis. Chemical contamination of water inundating NO for at least 90 days.

This guy is making it sound pretty bad.

[jonsie]

I remember. I was born in Biloxi and I had relatives in Gulfport at the time. I was visiting my great grandmother and great grandfather as well as my grandmother in Collins Miss. in July of 1969. We watched the landing on the moon. My great grandparents who were born in the 1890's were in awe. I was 17 at the time and thought how wonderful I felt that they were able to see a man land on the moon. (I look back on that day and realize that maybe that had a lot to do with why I became a science teacher). I left there for home in N.C. on a bus in Aug. of 1969. I had been down to Gulfport where my Aunts lived. It was a beautiful area. Shortly after I arrived home Camille hit. My Aunts who lived in Gulfport, 4 streets back from the beach were hit hard. Most of the houses in the first 2 rows were destroyed. I visited again in 1971 and they had tales of fools who would not leave, hurricane parties. People did not take it seriously. I hope the gulf shore folks take this one seriously and move to higher ground.

[ElisabethInCincy]

Ive read so much is it the worst case scenario for New orleans to be on the left of the eye wall ?

[shield]

What chances it'll even be left standing with winds as high as their predicting?

[eastforker]

Talking about refuge camps now on FNC.

[hole_n_one]

Fox can't get him outta there?

He wouldn't leave now even if it was simply a matter of clicking his ruby red slippers 3 times and saying I wish I was home to get him out of there.

He's thinking Pulitzer.