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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
My question is: If this turns into the disaster it looks like it might... will that be enough to get Aruba off the airwaves?
"If this hits this year then the state and city officials ought to be hanged for failing to improve the levee system."
Those systems are a false sense of security against the ravages of Mother Nature and a waste of money in an already poor state. Evacuation is always the best solution.
From Accuweather.com 11:35 PM EDT: CATEGORY 5 POSSIBLE!!
" We feel more confident that Katrina is beginning to make the Great Arc the north that will cause the powerful hurricane to take aim on the north-central Gulf coast. After reviewing water vapor loops over the Gulf of Mexico, we continue to see evidence that an upper ridge of high pressure to the north of Katrina is weakening and that this trend will continue.
Katrina remains a Category 3 hurricane but it is continuing to strengthen as it's central pressure falls. Hurricane hunter aircraft report that the eye is closed but still somewhat ragged. The hurricane should track across a deep and warm layer of water over the central Gulf; and with little to no upper-level wind shear across the entire Gulf, intensification will occur. Katrina should become a Category 4 hurricane Sunday and could even reach Category 5 intensity before Monday morning.
The track of and the second landfall for Katrina depends on a continued weakening of an upper ridge of high pressure over the Southeast, a digging upper level trough of low pressure over the Midwest, and a building ridge of high pressure east of Florida. we feel that these 3 factors will combine to steer Katrina on a more west-northwest track Saturday night followed by a northwest track Sunday and then a north track Sunday night and Monday. The most recent computer models show a consensus track over southeast Louisiana. Our latest thinking is that Katrina will make landfall near noon Monday over extreme southeastern Louisiana. Conditions will begin to deteriorate later Sunday, well in advance of the storm, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching the coast Sunday afternoon and hurricane-force winds reaching the coast Monday morning. The winds will be strong enough to down not only trees and power lines but also bring down structures and make missiles out of unsecured objects. As the storm nears the coast Monday, a devastating storm surge will be pushed into the lower Mississippi Delta as the powerful southeasterly winds pile water into the area. The storm will also bring flooding rains well inland, and the risk for tornadoes north and east of the path of the center. "
Not really. The land was built only for location.
The location hasn't been real key in the age of airplanes and long haul trucking. It's still important but a feifdom of thieves find themselves without suckers eventually.
Thanks for the update(s)..this is becoming mind-boggling.
The mayor of NO is even more incompetent than the governor. He says he is having someone research his power to order an evacuation, even though it has been ordered in every other parish around. He is hiding behind legalisms. In dire emegencies, one doesn't consult lawyers. He worries about the ill not being given a hospital bed and the tourists having their hotels shut down. He hasn't figured out that fleets of buses should have been ordered into NO to pick folks out, and trains sent in for folks to get into cattle cars to move north. He wrings his hands knowing that NO is likely to be a death zone, and under water, with nothing alive except in third story buildings and above, assuming they survive the winds. A tragedy is in the making, a great tragedy, unless mother nature does something unexpected.
NEW PRESSURE REPORT: 936 mb (Wx Channel)
Glad to know I'm not the only one.
I pray that holds true. When you combine hurricane force winds with battering 20-foot waves filled with floating debris, it makes for a destructive combination.
You're absolutely right. It's almost midnight, EDT, and I have had CNN or Fox news on all evening.....nothing on Katrina. I did see them mention, around 6 oclock, that many vacationers in New Orleans were foreigners and didn't understand that a hurricane was forecast for New Orleans. They didn't understand the need to evacuate. How sad!
I hear you - try living on the DelMarVa Peninnsula.........
Weather channel just reported a 3 millibar drop in pressure since the 11 pm warning. And 34 foot high wave heights in Northeast quadrant near the center.It's still intensifying. IF the NO mayor waits till morning. Pray for the souls that remain or are simply to late to get out.
What??? They haven't figured this out before now??
Idiots.
You'll pry that story out of Greta's cold, dead hands.
Why? Is that what the Grim Reaper looks like?
:-p
Last time they let "refugees" into the Dome they ransacked it and looted it.
If the city got washed away at least I can hope that the rats who stay to loot get washed away also.
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