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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Boss called me and asked me to come in tomorrow and move my truck to higher ground. Kinda chuckled and told him that there's no way I'm going into the city tomorow. Apparently no one else has a key for my vehicle.
Don't go there. Hugo came onshore around Charleston, SC and we had major destruction well north of Charlotte , NC. D/n know what the straight line distance is but we are 200 +/- miles from the nearest NC shore and Charleston w/b farther.
Yeah, except I have to listen to the elevator music on the local forecast every 10 minutes. =P
"New Orleans finally got serious and ordered an evacuation, but far too late. There is no way everyone will be able to get out of the city in time, and they may be forced to take shelter in the Superdome, which is above sea level. If Katrina makes a direct hit on New Orleans as a Category 4 hurricane, the levees protecting the city will be breached, and New Orleans, which is 6 - 10 feet below sea level, will fill with water. On top of this 6 feet of water will come a 15 foot storm surge, and on top of that will be 20 foot waves, so the potential for high loss of life is great. Given the current track and intensity forecast, I'd put the odds of this at about 20%."
That shook me up.
That's typical. The national media doesn't give a crap about the Gulf Coast.
-Dan
Where are you located?
Even the Weather Channel doesn't completely get it! OY VEY!!!
The streaming video links above are awesome.
The official projection track and some of the models have shifted ever so slightly to the east. If I were in Vegas I'd bet that it will eventually shift a bit more east, probably hitting the mouth of the Miss. River and coming in near Gulfport, MS. That would likely be just far enough east to avoid the worst case scenario in New Orleans. Like Georges, but an even closer call this time.
But I am NOT a meteorologist.
Hey, where did you hear about the animals heading to higher ground?
B.M. new thread
I knew this was very serious the minute I saw the map this afternoon, where it is pulling from the pacific and atlantic air masses. It's bigger than big.
I think the mayor said earlier that the Superdome would be open in the AM for any who were unable to evacuate (no transportation, etc.), also that it was handicap accessible.
Said it was also built high & was able to withstand up to 200 MPH winds.
It's like the great SS debate.
Everyone in the city knew this could hapen. We had 3 straight years of claose calls. If this hits this year then the state and city officials ought to be hanged for failing to improve the levee system.
Which of you heard the report about the animals--and what was the source, please?
Just scary. With all our technology, all our hot air and all our genius, nature can come right in and within a day wipe is all away. God's Bulldozer, and start over or move on.
Ping to the new storm thread.
Say hello, you are both the same age and young mothers.
The actual tracks for all the north GOM storms have tracked east of predictions since last year. That's a pretty good reason to expect the shift.
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