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Live Thread - Hurricane Katrina, Part IV (Update: Now a Category 5 )
NOAA - NHC ^ | 27 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:


WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; tropical; weather
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To: All
The people at the Eastern US Weather Forum are going batty. Their latest thread is simply titled "Holy $$$$"
521 posted on 08/27/2005 11:02:35 PM PDT by saquin
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To: Strategerist

The Atlantic is 86 at least as far north as Ocean City, MD... as of yesterday afternoon. That's pretty danged "hot" for this far north.


522 posted on 08/27/2005 11:02:40 PM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: M. Espinola
Pic of the day after Betsy in 1965 pancake
523 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:27 PM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: saquin

"Is it just me or was this not really on many people's news radar until about a day ago or even today? Maybe I wasn't paying close attention but I had no inkling something this huge was on the way. . ."

Sometimes these storms are just depressions and then develop very rapidly as they near land. I think that's what happened this time. Forecasters weren't even sure Katrina would reach hurricane strength before making Florida landfall.

As I recall, there was a strong storm a few years ago that popped up quickly just off the Florida coast giving little time for preparation, but did major damage. It may have been Andrew.

The unpredictability of hurricanes, as well as their tendency to chart their own path as they overpower everything around them, is what makes them so fascinating.


524 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:29 PM PDT by Jedidah
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To: Sprite518

Another Besty? Maybe worst, very very bad news, NO is one of the worst places a big storm can go.


525 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:33 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: silentknight
Didn't forget about your animal reference question--here is a reference to the source
526 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: simon says what

I guess I should have said satellite imagery loop, sorry.


527 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:52 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Flux Capacitor

uh oh--somebody is getting punchy...


528 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: fatima

Good nite... :)


529 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:56 PM PDT by PennsylvaniaMom (I used to take the highroad, but the altitude gave me nose bleeds....)
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To: Heatseeker

Yeah, that pic's a good LOL break -- so why was I just checking Google for five feline pix? Good night all -- I'm obsessed...


530 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:56 PM PDT by alancarp (When does it cease to be "Freedom of the Press" and become outright SEDITION?)
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To: M. Espinola

And there's a whole archive of pics for those that want to imagine what it might look like after the storm (these are from 1965)

http://www.st-bernard.la.us/emprep/betsy/betsy.htm


531 posted on 08/27/2005 11:05:15 PM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: nwctwx

you mean RIC? How would it come in with much stronger winds during the ERC?


532 posted on 08/27/2005 11:05:37 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: Pyro7480
These people don't seem to be listening. I have been watching different street cams all night. What is going on there?

TropicalIsle Webcam
533 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:01 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the occupation media.)
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To: AntiGuv; oceanview

I am being told now the guy that said that , went on to say Cat4 will bring more water making it worse than a Cat 5.


534 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:25 PM PDT by JUMPIN JEHOSPOHAT
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To: spycatcher
"Here's the thing about the bonehead media."

If you think of our media as "bonehead" you are losing the fight. They are not boneheads, for the most part, but they actually are "domestic enemies" of the US, and deliberate TRAITORS. Ann Coulter has it right.

535 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:25 PM PDT by de Buillion (Perspective: 1880 dead Heroes in 3 yr vs. 3589 abortions EVERY DAY , 1999, USA.)
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To: de Buillion

Well, keep in mind that the petro chemical plants are spread out over nearly 100 miles from Baton Rouge to southeast of NO, and it is unlikely that the storm will run up the river. It also would have to hit somewhere within about a 50-70 radius to create the catastrophic flooding case filling the NO bowl. Most of the plants also are within levees creating a bowl, but few of them have the convergence of problems that make NO so vulnerable. There is a big difference between damage and destruction, and most of these plants could probably be down for just weeks, rather than months for the city. It is amazing what a critical industry can do to get capacity back up. A city is far more complicated.

But your point of a worst case having national implications is well taken. Would be a much bigger evaporation of wealth and disruption than 9/11.


536 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:34 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: PA Engineer

Models are predicting waves to nearly 60 feet high near the Louisiana Coast as the hurricane hits.


537 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:59 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: Sally'sConcerns

Most parts of Houston are roughly about 50 feet above sea level (Houston Heights being the highest part of Houston).

Houston is helped slightly by the fact that it's about 40-50 miles away from the coast (which usually takes 30-40 mph off of a hurricane's bite, having gone through Alicia (1983) I can attest to that), though the flatness of the terrain often causes flooding problems (Allison 2001).


538 posted on 08/27/2005 11:07:03 PM PDT by Sam Spade
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To: shanscom

I don't think he has any other option for those who are elderly, disabled, homeless, without vehicles and resources but to bus them to the safest place in town.


539 posted on 08/27/2005 11:07:55 PM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: saquin
Their latest thread is simply titled "Holy $$$$"

These are all weather gurus too, right? OMG! I've been following this most of the day and I haven't heard anything yet that bodes well for New Orleans in this. In fact, it's getting scarier.

540 posted on 08/27/2005 11:08:17 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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