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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
The Atlantic is 86 at least as far north as Ocean City, MD... as of yesterday afternoon. That's pretty danged "hot" for this far north.
"Is it just me or was this not really on many people's news radar until about a day ago or even today? Maybe I wasn't paying close attention but I had no inkling something this huge was on the way. . ."
Sometimes these storms are just depressions and then develop very rapidly as they near land. I think that's what happened this time. Forecasters weren't even sure Katrina would reach hurricane strength before making Florida landfall.
As I recall, there was a strong storm a few years ago that popped up quickly just off the Florida coast giving little time for preparation, but did major damage. It may have been Andrew.
The unpredictability of hurricanes, as well as their tendency to chart their own path as they overpower everything around them, is what makes them so fascinating.
Another Besty? Maybe worst, very very bad news, NO is one of the worst places a big storm can go.
I guess I should have said satellite imagery loop, sorry.
uh oh--somebody is getting punchy...
Good nite... :)
Yeah, that pic's a good LOL break -- so why was I just checking Google for five feline pix? Good night all -- I'm obsessed...
And there's a whole archive of pics for those that want to imagine what it might look like after the storm (these are from 1965)
http://www.st-bernard.la.us/emprep/betsy/betsy.htm
you mean RIC? How would it come in with much stronger winds during the ERC?
I am being told now the guy that said that , went on to say Cat4 will bring more water making it worse than a Cat 5.
If you think of our media as "bonehead" you are losing the fight. They are not boneheads, for the most part, but they actually are "domestic enemies" of the US, and deliberate TRAITORS. Ann Coulter has it right.
Well, keep in mind that the petro chemical plants are spread out over nearly 100 miles from Baton Rouge to southeast of NO, and it is unlikely that the storm will run up the river. It also would have to hit somewhere within about a 50-70 radius to create the catastrophic flooding case filling the NO bowl. Most of the plants also are within levees creating a bowl, but few of them have the convergence of problems that make NO so vulnerable. There is a big difference between damage and destruction, and most of these plants could probably be down for just weeks, rather than months for the city. It is amazing what a critical industry can do to get capacity back up. A city is far more complicated.
But your point of a worst case having national implications is well taken. Would be a much bigger evaporation of wealth and disruption than 9/11.
Models are predicting waves to nearly 60 feet high near the Louisiana Coast as the hurricane hits.
Most parts of Houston are roughly about 50 feet above sea level (Houston Heights being the highest part of Houston).
Houston is helped slightly by the fact that it's about 40-50 miles away from the coast (which usually takes 30-40 mph off of a hurricane's bite, having gone through Alicia (1983) I can attest to that), though the flatness of the terrain often causes flooding problems (Allison 2001).
I don't think he has any other option for those who are elderly, disabled, homeless, without vehicles and resources but to bus them to the safest place in town.
These are all weather gurus too, right? OMG! I've been following this most of the day and I haven't heard anything yet that bodes well for New Orleans in this. In fact, it's getting scarier.
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