This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
Locked on 08/28/2005 9:46:32 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Locked - New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1472323/posts |
Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
The whole legal thing is BS, but even if it were not, the law is not a suicide pact. That is an overriding clause, that any judge would apply. That statement comes right from SCOTUS.
Whatever their reasoning, I defer to their wishes.
Thank you for posting that info--very good.
Andrew in 1992 was upgraded to a Cat 5 based on a review after the hit on Homestead, FL. Hugo was a 5 as well (1985). Don't know when the scale became widely used.
What's the picture of?
Hugo was 4. Not 5.
Only 3 fives made landfall. 1935 Keys, Camille, Andrew.
This is becoming more and more a nightmare scenario. Though it's not as plausible as a Gulf Coast hit, I keep on thinking about the nuclear power plants along the Chesapeake Bay and Delaware River/Bay, and what would happen if a Cat. 5 hurricane came up those bodys of water. I understand why they are located where they are, but still, when you have the possibility of something like this happening at least once a century....
OK. I didn't know that. Thanks.
Prayers for the folks in Louisiana.
Find an infrared satellite image and look at it. It's unbelieveabe. It reminds me of Ivan. Almost the size of FL.
I think the networks will start to wake up tomorrow evening, but it will take awhile.
How does it compare to Andrew that hit South Florida?
The Saffir-Simpson scale was invented in the early 1970's.
Andrew was a cat 5, had it not taken out the meauring equipment at the NHC - I think it was a cat 5.
I'm not certain, but believe that there are various spillway outlets along the river to address some of that kind of flooding (or at least the downstream flow of floodwaters.) North of Baton Rouge they Army Corp of Engineers has had diversions facilities for years to channel excess into the Atchafalaya River (roughly a 20 mile wide swamp that would now probably be the Mississippi River if not for intervention.) IIRC there is similar between Baton Rouge and NO, but could be wrong about that.
-Dan
The structure of this thing and the sea surface temps make me think that Cat 5 is the best bet, esp if it slows right near the La. shore where the water is super hot.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.