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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
-Dan
This jack*ss is just now consulting with his attorneys???
This is malfeasance of a unbelievable magnitude that he never put this in his contingency plans prior.....
Geeez....most public officials are real morons....
NeverGore :^)
I read that -thank you SE Mom.
Glad I live in the hills in the north. All we get is snow and a rare ice storm. Most of the critters are pretty tame, too.
With the high volume threads, it was suggested to me several months ago to limit the volume of posts to 1000. As well, the links at the top of the thread are updated to reflect the position of the storm.
Friend of mine from NO just emailed me. She said they are expecting 22 ft storm surge, which is high enough to breach the seawall.
She also said: "The mayor was on one of the local stations and says by tomorrow morning he will issue a mandatory evac orders. It'll be a first."
"Where there is Jim, disaster is sure to follow."
Isn't the rule to try to move at right angles to the guy?
It'll be too late.
You raise several good points. New Orleans is not built on bedrock.
Maybe we watch too many disaster movies!
The Twin Towers were supposed to be indestructible.
From one story I just read:
"According to Nagin, if 18 to 20 feet of water came into the city it could be six or seven weeks to restore power and the Superdome and hotels would grow uncomfortable."
This guy is a moron. I bet the dead bodies littering the area would be a nuisance?
Now you know why I live high up enough on the base of a mountain where it's impossible for me to get street floods - unless most of Salt Lake and Ogden is underwater, too!
It becomes more difficult to load after 1000 posts
The LSU guy who did the studies on how much the city could handle before the levee was breached speculated that the eye of a Cat 5 passing within approx. 30 miles of New Orleans would cause the catastrophic flooding. A bit more on the east side, because the rotation of the winds would drive water north and west into Lake Pontchartrain, then more to the southwest into the spillway west of the city, and the west side levee is apparently the weakest link. It also would eventually drive that water south as the wind came from the north, which might also breach the city's north shore levees.
The worst case scenario is an overtopping of the levee where not only the below sea-level bowl the city is in fills up, but storm surge and waves come in on top of that ending up above the roof of some homes. The next worst case scenario is a levee breach where the bowl fills, but not as deep. If the storm is far enough away that the levee holds against storm surge, then there could be flooding and wind damage, but not as totally devastating and nowhere near the loss of life. As long as the levees hold and aren't overtopped, the pumps should continue to work.
Hence the importance of where the eye path ends up, and why if the path shifts further east to Gulfport, it could make a huge difference.
Don't forget that they bury their dead above ground in NO.
The mayor is flying his family out I heard. He must be chartering a plane or something. Commercial flights are cancelled. Those in the airport are stuck. Bush should send in those military cargo planes, but that is just my opinion.
If the storm's not really supposed to come in until Monday morning, they could get a lot of people out on Sunday, especially with all the people that left today.
In such an obvious situation at this, the mission is clear: issue the blessed evac order now, THEN consult the attys. If it's illegal, you go personally and FIND the Controlling Legal Authority and then you WATCH him/her sign the order before you rescind your own. That's the way you're supposed to keep the public safe!
HAH! I laugh at hurricanes.
Dear Lord.........
I mean, for crying out loud - Delaware is run by (corrupt)incompetents, and is not as much of a 'cane target, but even they have better plans than what I have been seeing out of LA today........
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