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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
http://www.loopllc.com/f1.cfm?n=1
(Louisiana Offshore Oil Port) was organized in 1972 as a Delaware corporation and converted to a limited liability company in 1996. Ashland Inc., Marathon Ashland Pipe Line LLC, Murphy Oil Corporation, and Shell Oil Company are LOOP's owners.
The port facility is located in the Gulf of Mexico, eighteen miles south of Grand Isle, Louisiana, in 110 feet of water. LOOP is the only port in the U.S. capable of offloading deep draft tankers known as Ultra Large Crude Carriers (ULCC) and Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC). Along with offloading crude from VLCC’s, LOOP also offloads smaller tankers.
The port consists of three single-point mooring buoys used for the offloading of crude tankers and a marine terminal consisting of a two-level pumping platform and a three-level control platform. The onshore oil storage facility, twenty-five miles inland (the “Clovelly facility”), is connected to the port complex by a 48-inch diameter pipeline. It provides interim storage for crude oil before it is delivered via connecting pipelines to refineries on the Gulf Coast and in the Midwest.
The oil is stored in eight underground caverns leached out of a naturally occurring salt dome. The caverns are capable of storing approximately 48 million barrels of crude oil (a barrel of oil is equal to 42 U.S. gallons). In 1996, one cavern was dedicated to the MARS stream coming in from the deepwater Gulf of Mexico. The MARS crude oil system uses the same distribution system used by the foreign barrels.
Four pipelines connect the onshore storage facility to refineries in Louisiana and along the Gulf Coast. LOOP also operates the 53-mile, 48-inch LOCAP pipeline that connects LOOP to CAPLINE at St. James, Louisiana. CAPLINE is a 40-inch pipeline that transports crude oil to several Midwest refineries.
LOOP is connected to over 50 percent of the U.S. refinery capacity and has offloaded over 6 billion barrels of foreign crude oil since it's inception.
this is eye beginning to look like Isabel..which kept that huge eye for almost 42 hours....
The flooding will be the killer. Don't you think the building itself would hold?
You need roofs that transform into boats!
I wish you the very best!!!!!!!!! Sincerely!!!!!
Sigh, howlin this is so surreal to watch all unfold
There was some posts about that up-thread. I think there are winds right now that are a risk to the dome. But that assumes the eyewall is a direct hit and there is no weakening.
the SPR is going to have to be opened after this comes through.
I'm just hoping it comes in a bit further east than forecast. I think of all the cities on the NGOM, NO is the worst scenario. Anywhere it goes, it will be bad... but, we really could see NO nearly wiped out with the current track.
One example: http://www.iris.washington.edu/about/ENO/iows/9_2004b.htm
"Hurricanes can easily be recorded by seismographs, and before the days of satellite images, seismographs were sometimes used to track the storms. Ocean waves generated by the hurricane cause the most shaking, but shaking trees and buildings also contribute to the seismic waves. 24 hours of ground movement is plotted in the figure (each line is 2 hours long) and a gradual decrease in the amplitude over the course of the day is seen. This time period corresponds to the time when the winds from Hurricane Ivan dropped from 135 to less than 50 miles per hour. The signals shown on the plot are referred to by seismologists as microseismic noise and are always visible to some degree on global seismographs. The amplitude varies depending on the weather and the distance a seismic station is from the coast."
Yeah, my daughter and I were watching the show for a homeschooling science credit. They actually interviewed the woman, and she looked like she'd been living in a deep cell in hell. I felt so sorry for the woman, dear God, what a thing to live with!!!
Per Fox, the outer reaches of Katrina will be hitting land within the hour. Hurricane force winds to be felt tomorrow at least 150 miles inland. Fox is moving their satellite truck from the French Quarter to the Superdome.
I think that's why he did it, and they still didn't comprehend. Unbelievable.
It appears to be going a bit further to the west of N.O.
on this particular one.
But then...... I thought this earlier, just from looking at the
different loops.
I'm glad we don't have to pick and choose who gets it. This is incoming misery for someone.
I am forwarding this on to FOX NEWS. Maybe if they can confirm the story, they will announce it on the air and someone will respond and save these people before it is too late.
It is looking very much like an annular hurricane now. Quite rare, Isabel was also annular. They typically hold strength for 2-3 days at peak.
Good to hear. It was odd that on the published plan (the maps on the websites) contraflow didn't start on I-10 east until the I-59 interchange in Slidell, since there are 2 other parallel highways (US11 and US90) that inbound traffic could utilize.
Latest from WWL----eye will pass along east side of Orleans Parish (County), so counter-clockwise winds will push water from Lake Pontchartrain into (over????) the levee. If there is a breach, Nawlins floods.
Just prior to Betsy making landfall in 1965 the Army Corps of Engineers blew the levee that protected the Eastern part of New Orleans and Chalmette from the waters of the Mississippi River Gulf Outlet. They were trying to protect the city proper from major flooding. It worked. Yes, there was flooding within the city but not nearly as bad as it would have been.
Large areas of the Eastern part of New Orleans and Chalmette were flooded, especially those homes close to the Gulf Outlet but "downtown" was spared, for the most part. The levee actually would have acted like a funnel to direct the waters to the city. Blowing the levee alleviated more flooding and spread the water out over a greater area.
The Mississippi River Gulf Outlet is NOT the Mississippi River. It is a channel that was dug from New Orleans straight to the Gulf.....not like the snake that is the river. The river is a 112 mile snaking nightmare for navigators. The Gulf Outlet is only 76 miles and a straight shot. Good for shipping but also disastrous when dealing with a hurricane.
( I put "downtown" in quotes because in New Orleans "downtown" is called "uptown." If you say "downtown" in New Orleans then they'll look at you like you are insane. "Downtown" is the "shabby" part of town. ) :-)
Ok, for us notherners, what is the "stadium effect"?
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