This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
Locked on 08/28/2005 9:46:32 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Locked - New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1472323/posts |
Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Damn. I was stationed in New Orleans for two years and we got brushed by a couple of hurricanes, but nothing like this. We had massive flooding just getting sideswiped by one; I can't imagine the damage a direct hit would do.
I still have friends there. I hope they have sense enough to get out of town.
3-4 days ago the next path was looking at me.........I'm more concerned about it now than I was then. And I'm totally in the clear now.
I almost spit soda on that one.
LOL
For the record, the guy who read the riot act to the mayor was Max Mayfield, of the National Weather Center. He made it clear that those that remain, are very likely to die, in his gentle drawl. He said that this the storm he had feared for 35 years, and now it has come. He said he laid it out to mayor so he could sleep at night for the rest of his sojourn on this mortal coil. This is veritable Shakespeare, with the mayor as Hamlet.
Idiot. He is a complete idiot, and has been created as such by a nation in fear of law and lawsuits. We fear expressing ourselves, doing anything at all because we fear being caught in a trap by a lawyer. I remember a South Park episode where the lawsuits brought by Cartman escalated to Everyone vs. Everyone, and it was exactly the predictament that now leads us to stand mouths agape while idiots in NO get ready to have Hurricane party's, the mayor won't budge in fear of lawsuits, and death moves forward to flush out the Big Easy.
getting lower all the time......... and all that warmer water to cross in the next 36 hours
And there are probably more people in NO now that do not remember that than there are.
Same here..
When you combine hurricane force winds with battering 20-foot waves filled with floating debris, it makes for a destructive combination.
Sure does.....I don't think I would ride out a cat. 4/5 there. (I'd be heading towards East TX)
I will admit to riding out a couple smaller ones in the Morgan City/Houma area.....in my 'younger days'.....
wunderground.com has a great Tropical Storm page. It shows this thing heading to a large area of very warm water. 90 degrees. That's high octane hurricane fuel.
HOWEVER - that being said, the land will tend to slow wind somewhat, so in this case the right side of the storm (east) will have faster winds. But at these speeds, who's gonna quibble?
Hurricane Camille- 17 August, 1969
WINDS: 190 mph (sustained- gusts over 220)
PRESSURE: 909 Mb./26.84 inches.
STORM - SURGE: 22 - 25 feet above Mean Tide.
http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanecamille.htm
Just posting this link again- it's worth clicking if you've never read the story of Camille.
Thank God he's consulting with his lawyers...
Oh my--but better now then this time tomorrow. Plenty of women go into labor during hurricanes. In fact, a good number of term pregnancies spend the storm in the hospital due to the high odds for labor.
...>> read the riot act to the mayor was Max Mayfield, of the National Weather Center. He made it clear that those that remain, are very likely to die, in his gentle drawl. He said that this the storm he had feared for 35 years, and now it has come. He said he laid it out to mayor so he could sleep at night for the rest of his sojourn on this mortal coil. This is veritable Shakespeare, with the mayor as Hamlet.<<
Did you hear him say that??? Oh Man I've got chills.
I have a friend who works for the owner of one of the downtown high-rise bldgs and they do not want even tenants in them during a storm. The trend in thinking the last few yrs is that higher buildings take higher winds than lower ones, and that means more damage and liability to anyone within. Best thing to do is get out of town.
I know your question was not directed at me, however I remember the fleeing animals being mentioned on WWL radio a few hours ago. I think it was a caller and not a reporter who mentioned it. I have been monitoring 870 kHz since WWL became audible after sunset and shortly after I began monitoring WWL, I heard someone mention the animals.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.