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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
National Hurricane Center: 18-25 foot storm surge plus 10-15 foot waves, and 160mph winds.
New Orleans is six feet below sea level, which means everything up to 30-40 feet above the street could be underwater if there is a direct hit. Winds will add to the damage. While it covered far more shoreline, the tsunami last year did not hit that hard.
I heard 18-21 ft. surge.
21 ft that is the height of a two story building.
Well katrina looks like the one we have all been waiting -- DREADING -- for. She is a monster. 160 MPH and still deepening. The Eye is still 30 Miles wide and will do nothing but shrink and intensify.
She has perfect conditions in front of her. No shear, 90 MPH water, and due to all the rain in the SE a nice soupy atmosphere with very little dry air.
I fear this storm people. Central Pressure is 908 MB. Camille was 905 when she hit, Andrew was 922. Think about that.
If you live anywhere from souther LA to Pensacola -- GET OUT NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I suspect the reporters are arriving in droves, and planning to be plucked from a rooftop post storm by a chopper.
He's saying noon Monday for the worst of it.
Any idea on how often a Cat 5 "blows itself out"?
Any reporter staying there is out of their mind.
Andrew was a very compact storm--this one is a monster.
I'm checking in from Ft Lauderdale, I just got my Internet access back. Most still have no electricity here.
Glad you checked in. You and Sam Cree were the two that were still missing. I'm sure Sam Cree is just waiting for his power to come back on.
Most Cat 5 can't sustain that status for more than 24 hours. However--Isabel had some of these same characteristics as Katrina--particularly in size, and stuck with Cat 5 longer.
Yes, the reporters are foolish if they stay. There is no way that they can be on the air when this storm hits. They should start getting out very soon.
"More often than not, my german shepherd headed for the bathtub also. Invariably, it was a thunderstorm headed our way. With their hearing, he knew it long before I did."
Yep, yep, yep.
This storm has been steadily moving west/nw. I f she does not make a decidedly strong turn to the north Texans had better watch out. At the begining of last week she was predicted to go into the Florida panhandle or even the west Florida coast then moved west lanfall ever so slightly. The forecasters refused to discuss the possibility that this storm could travel further west. No wonder so many people ignore the forcasters.
This guy must be dumber than the rocks in my yard. Does he think that all the mayors on the coast have been acting illegally all these years when they have ordered evacuations?
There is some dry air pushing down toward the system. We can hope Katrina swallows a whole lot of it before landfall.
"...not to forget to put on their pants."
You'd be surprised. My elderly parents live in Metairie and left early this morning. Although they're in their early 80s and get around better than I do evacuating is always almost overwhelming to them. I can see them and others like them forgetting a seemingly mundane thing as a map.
If I recall tornados were part of Andrew.
Yesterday our local tv stations were reporting that almost all hotels/motels in La. were booked. I spent hours on the phone trying to locate rooms for relatives and there was nothing available in Lake Charles, Alexandria, Natchitoches, Shreveport, Ruston, etc. Many hotels I called in Beaumont, TX were booked.
Meanwhile, the mayor had a charter flight to evac his family from N.O.
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