Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

I may have received incomplete info--checking...

[AnAmericanMother]

I can't believe Camille isn't in that list of retired names. It was one of the worst I can remember in my lifetime.

It is retired. And it WAS a bad storm. Friends of mine lost everything they had - nothing was left but a bare lot with some plumbing sticking up. They lived a little way inland just west of Biloxi.

Here's the complete list:

Atlantic Storms Retired Into Hurricane History

Agnes (1972§*): Florida, Northeast U.S.
Alicia (1983*): North Texas
Allen (1980*): Antilles, Mexico, South Texas
Andrew (1992*): Bahamas, South Florida, Louisiana
Anita (1977): Mexico
Audrey (1957§*): Louisiana, North Texas
Betsy (1965§*): Bahamas, Southeast Florida, Southeast Louisiana
Beulah (1967*): Antilles, Mexico, South Texas
Bob (1991*): North Carolina & Northeast U.S.
Camille (1969§*): Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama
Carla (1961§*): Texas
Carmen (1974): Mexico, Central Louisiana
Carol (1954§*): Northeast U.S.
Cesar (1996): Honduras
Celia (1970*): South Texas
Cleo (1964*): Lesser Antilles, Haiti, Cuba, Southeast Florida
Connie (1955§): North Carolina
David (1979): Lesser Antilles, Hispañola, Florida and Eastern U.S.
Diana (1990): Mexico
Diane (1955§*): Mid-Atlantic U.S. & Northeast U.S.
Donna (1960§*): Bahamas, Florida and Eastern U.S.
Dora (1964*): Northeast Florida
Edna (1968)
Elena (1985*): Mississippi, Alabama, Western Florida
Eloise (1975*): Antilles, Northwest Florida, Alabama
Fifi (1974): Yucatan Peninsula, Louisiana
Flora (1963): Haiti, Cuba
Floyd (1999): North Carolina, eastern seaboard
Fran (1996): North Carolina
Frederic (1979*): Alabama and Mississippi
Gilbert (1988): Lesser Antilles, Jamaica, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico
Gloria (1985*): North Carolina, Northeast U.S.
Hattie (1961): Belize, Guatemala
Hazel (1954§*): Antilles, North and South Carolina
Hilda (1964§*): Louisiana
Hortense (1996)
Hugo (1989*): Antilles, South Carolina
Inez (1966): Lesser Antilles, Hispanola, Cuba, Florida Keys, Mexico
Ione (1955*): North Carolina
Janet (1955): Lesser Antilles, Belize, Mexico
Joan (1988): Curacao, Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua (Crossed into the Pacific and became Miriam)
Klaus (1990): Martinique
Lenny (1999): Antilles
Luis (1995)
Marilyn (1995): Bermuda
Mitch (1998): Central America, Nicaragua, Honduras
Opal (1995): Florida Panhandle
Roxanne (1995): Yucatan Peninsula

KEY
§Within the list of top 37 deadliest U.S. hurricanes
* Within the list of the top 31 costliest U.S. hurricanes (in 1990 dollars)
(Measurements only available through 1992 for storms that affected the U.S.)

NOTES: "Carol" was used again to denote a hurricane in the Mid-Atlantic Ocean in 1965. However, because the name does not appear after that time, it is assumed that the name was retired retrospectively for the damages caused by the 1954 storm of the same name.

The (2001) names "Allison", "Iris', and "Michelle" will be proposed for retirement when the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Association-IV meets in the Spring, 2002.

For more information contact National Hurricane Center public affairs at (305) 229-4404 or visit the NHC Web site at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.

[Bahbah]

They are talking about Katrina being a Cat 4 by the time it makes land in Louisiana. I don't see anything that might weaken it. I hope I'm missing something.

[NautiNurse]

Evacuation decision for New Orleans at noon today. Had incomplete info.

[pollyg107]

Your info is always top-notch. I'm afraid my friend is being an ostrich again. She really hates to leave her home, and I think she just doesn't want to contemplate spending the day or night on I-10. I just checked out the weather forecast for New Orleans and the local NOAA forecasters apparently believe they are going to take a direct hit -- predicting 90 mph winds in the afternoon with gusts to 130 mph.

[LA Woman3]

Per WWL ....

Blanco is meeting with OEP and will have a news conference following it.

[mewzilla]

I remember Agnes.

For more on Agnes, click here for one local paper's coverage.

[pollyg107]

I should have mentioned that the N.O. forecast I described is for Monday, not today --

[N. Theknow]

I can't believe Camille isn't in that list of retired names. It was one of the worst I can remember in my lifetime.

I can't believe Hazel didn't make it either.

1954 - Friends of my parents had a beach house at Myrtle Beach, SC. Nothing left of it but a plumbing pipe sticking alone in the air with the bathtub still attached.

Insurance company said they wouldn't pay a claim because it was destroyed by flood waters.

Lucky for them, the husband had his name and address in his shirts. Couple in Conway, SC (15-20 miles away) found one of his shirts in their yard and called him.

Shirt was proof that the hurricane "winds" destroyed the house and not flood waters, so insurance company was forcd to pay the claim.

[NautiNurse]

Thank you--should have verified the info with a second source before posting.

[backhoe]

Until I got on glucosamine and chondroitin a few years ago, my old ACL tear and my old finger FX told me exactly when the weather was going to change.

Interesting enough, both wife and old dog take glucosamine and MSM in liquid form, and it really makes a difference in how easily they move around. Also, changing from "designer drugs" ( the high-priced stuff like celebrex or tramadol ) to regularly-spaced doses of enteric asprin ( or for the dog, baby asprin ) has made a noticable improvement. Do note that dogs metabolize asprin differently and more slowly than humans, so don't just load your mutt up with it before consulting a vet about it.

[AnAmericanMother]

Go and beg your friend some more. Better to be stuck in traffic than floating out into the Gulf.

Send her a link to some Camille or Audrey photos . . . or Lafcadio Hearn's novella Chita - a Memory of Last Island. That was the 1856 hurricane. It wiped Isle Derniere clean.

[N. Theknow]

Oops. Hazel is on the full list. One of the deadliest. Even had 81 people in Toronto, Canada die in floods from its effects.

[AnAmericanMother]

The canine (asleep on her sofa as we speak) is only 4, so she isn't much troubled by aches and pains yet.

But since she's very active, she probably will be as she gets older. All that running around and jumping stuff, and busting brush in search of ducks . . .

[pollyg107]

She was there during Betsy and stayed on the upper floors of the Monteleone Hotel. It was pretty grim -- no power and therefore no a/c, but they had plenty of alcoholic beverages. She also lost friends in Camille, so she knows what she's going to have to do. She's starting to pack and her hubby is getting the boards out ...

[NautiNurse]

Correction: Evacuation orders for New Orleans are being discussed, followed by press conference. Announcement scheduled by noon today.

[alnick]

Louisiana on high alert - Evacuation orders for New Orleans

Where did you hear that? As I write this, the NO channel 6 news is saying no evacuation orders have been issued yet.

[backhoe]

"The canine (asleep on her sofa as we speak) is only 4, so she isn't much troubled by aches and pains yet.

But since she's very active, she probably will be as she gets older. All that running around and jumping stuff, and busting brush in search of ducks . . ."

---

Sounds like a real character- and she probably thinks "you're the nicest dog she ever knew." Ours is twelve ( hard to believe, she was just a little white fuzzball a moment ago ) and can be seen here next to the 10 KW hurricane season generator she "helped" me build last month:

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v117/rollinson/doggen.jpg

[LA Woman3]

Amazing isn't it? Time is a ticking....

[NautiNurse]

The models have shifted east a bit.

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