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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: oceanview

The latest models look very bad. A direct hit by a Cat 4/5 on New Orleans would be the biggest natural disaster this country has ever seen on many levels.

1) Immeasurable loss of life. Everyone who doesn't leave the "bowl" will either drown and those that don't will be stranded for days in contaminated water. Worst case Projections call for 50,000-250,000 deaths.

2) A huge chunk of the crude oil the United States consumes (I read 30%) is off the Louisiana coast. A nasty Cat 5 will cause $4.00 gas.


541 posted on 08/26/2005 5:23:04 PM PDT by lauriehelds
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To: lauriehelds

no one was talking about New Orleans until these latest models came in.


542 posted on 08/26/2005 5:27:36 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: silentknight
Anyone using this or any other hurricane thread for important information is prob asking for trouble.

Not if live in Montana! 8-)

543 posted on 08/26/2005 5:32:27 PM PDT by Tarheel ( Murphy's law #21--Internet flame wars are started by two cats who did not like their supper.)
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To: Tarheel
Mumble mumble--

Not if you live in Montana! 8-)

544 posted on 08/26/2005 5:33:53 PM PDT by Tarheel ( Murphy's law #21--Internet flame wars are started by two cats who did not like their supper.)
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To: Tarheel

Bump!


545 posted on 08/26/2005 5:38:57 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: TheLion

Larry Cosgrove Comments on Katrina

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=47228


546 posted on 08/26/2005 5:41:50 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: silentknight
"Let's be careful with this storm, OK? This could be a huge mess for Atlanta GA and Charlotte NC metros, and might even be a tornado producer along its east flanks in parts of the Piedmont and Atlantic Coastal Plain."

From your link....not a fun scenario!

547 posted on 08/26/2005 5:47:13 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: lauriehelds
Oil will go up next week. They are already starting to evacuate the oil platforms way off the Gulf Coast, and they will be all emptied out this week-end. Slow down in production in other words. That is without any actual damage.

Anybody wanting to wait til Monday to gas up, could probably save a buck or two by doing it now.

548 posted on 08/26/2005 5:48:22 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: All

Just dropped daughter off at Florida State Univ. Can anyone tell me the distance from Tallahassee to the Gulf of Mexico?

And has anyone ever been in Tallahassee when a Major Hurricane has hit?

Thanks!


549 posted on 08/26/2005 5:48:47 PM PDT by jeeperz
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To: silentknight; SheLion

Tomorrow is where the going gets really tough. If they stick with a forecast with New Orleans in sight, NO needs 72 hours evac lead time.


550 posted on 08/26/2005 5:50:14 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Twas a mess last year. They have cleaned up some of the problems.

The 1-10 was a parking lot from New Orleans to Baton Rouge.

For some reason, nobody cut across LA-30 from Gonzales to Baton Rouge so I was still able to go to work, but I think it was taking 12 hours to go the 70 or so miles from NO to Baton Rouge.


551 posted on 08/26/2005 5:54:37 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: NautiNurse

NO...heads up...WOW...


552 posted on 08/26/2005 5:55:29 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: jeeperz

Tallahassee is ~20 miles from the coast.


553 posted on 08/26/2005 5:59:34 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Ellesu

I don't think Katrina will be throwing Mardi Gras beads!


554 posted on 08/26/2005 6:00:00 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: dogbyte12
They have cleaned up some of the problems.

That's good to hear.

555 posted on 08/26/2005 6:00:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: aBootes
I will continue to watch from the safety of central Maryland. Wishing you, however, all the best!

I'm also watching from central Maryland, coincidentally. =P
556 posted on 08/26/2005 6:05:50 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: NautiNurse

Someone needs to explain why the politicians in New Orleans issued statements about not worrying or leaving the city. That city is probably the most vulnerable to a hurricane in our nation.

557 posted on 08/26/2005 6:07:03 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: lauriehelds

"The latest models look very bad. A direct hit by a Cat 4/5 on New Orleans would be the biggest natural disaster this country has ever seen on many levels.

1) Immeasurable loss of life. Everyone who doesn't leave the "bowl" will either drown and those that don't will be stranded for days in contaminated water. Worst case Projections call for 50,000-250,000 deaths."

.......Folks, this is NOT hyperbole. The saddest fact, many will not leave N.O. for a host of reasons.


558 posted on 08/26/2005 6:09:02 PM PDT by Prolifeconservative (If there is another terrorist attack, the womb is a very unsafe place to hide.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks - 20 miles - now something else for me to worry about.


559 posted on 08/26/2005 6:09:44 PM PDT by jeeperz
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To: Dog Gone

I'm not defending them understand, but after all the heat they caught last year, they're prolly scared to pull the trigger too soon.


560 posted on 08/26/2005 6:09:53 PM PDT by abb (Because News Reporting is too important to be left to the Journalists.)
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