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LIVE THREAD: HURRICANE KATRINA (Cat 1)
NOAA-NHC ^ | 24 August 2005 | NOAA-NHC

Posted on 08/24/2005 6:20:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The twelfth tropical storm of the 2005 hurricane season is named Katrina. The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
TD 12 Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; india; katrina; katy; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: Xenalyte

Looks like there is no need to ping my Texas cane list for this one. I am beginning to think Texas (north of Victoria) will never see another hurricane.


161 posted on 08/25/2005 7:20:43 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Howlin

This thing is headed right for us via the back door.


162 posted on 08/25/2005 7:21:52 AM PDT by Rebelbase ("Run Hillary Run" bumper stickers. Liberals place on rear bumper, conservatives put on front bumper)
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To: Sam Cree
Here an 85Ghz microwave image that allows us to see through the cloud layer to what's going on beneath. It's only 2 hours old:

Image hosted by TinyPic.com

There is definitely some heavy weather, but no solid eye development yet. Some nice animated microwave images back on posts #144 & 146.

163 posted on 08/25/2005 7:21:54 AM PDT by Sax
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To: Rebelbase

I need the rain. I just don't want those problems in the mountains again.


164 posted on 08/25/2005 7:22:54 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: Dominick

The local radio station had Joe Bastardi from Accuweather on this morning. Every time he mentioned the word "Katrina" the DJ would interrupt him with a sound byte of "Walking on Sunshine".


165 posted on 08/25/2005 7:24:13 AM PDT by Rebelbase ("Run Hillary Run" bumper stickers. Liberals place on rear bumper, conservatives put on front bumper)
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To: Rebelbase; Howlin

The FNC forecast a little while ago made the case of a back door arrival even stronger than th forecast path howlin put up a few posts back.............


166 posted on 08/25/2005 7:25:06 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: OXENinFLA

LOL- great photo, thanks:)

It's pretty odd up here in Central Florida right now- I guess we're getting some feeder bands...bright sunshine...and it is POURING rain...


167 posted on 08/25/2005 7:25:59 AM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve)
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To: Rebelbase

"This thing is headed right for us via the back door."

Well, it's almost here through my front door. Just packed the hanger, and managed to get more in then I thought. Now we'll see what comes. Need to get to the liquor store on the way home and should be past out before it knocks out the power. Well one can hope.


168 posted on 08/25/2005 7:28:33 AM PDT by OldSgt. (USMC, Nam Vet, HMM-165)
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To: Howlin

Wow,this is a fast one.


169 posted on 08/25/2005 7:28:34 AM PDT by fatima (Just for our guys and girls,Thank you all the Military .Prayers.)
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To: SE Mom
I just stepped outside here in JAX and it's juat a light rain. Still sunny out but there are quite a few clouds, and it's huuuuuuuuuuumid.


BTW that's an old pic of my cat, she's a fatso now.


170 posted on 08/25/2005 7:39:07 AM PDT by OXENinFLA
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To: OXENinFLA
The 11 Update is out:
Tropical Storm Katrina Advisory Number 8

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 25, 2005

...Katrina gradually strengthening as it moves slowly westward
across the Florida Straits toward Southeast Florida...

 
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Southeast Florida
coast from Vero Beach southward to Florida City...including Lake
Okeechobee. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions
are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Grand Bahama
Island...Bimini...and the Berry Islands in the northwest Bahamas.
The warning has been discontinued for the remainder of the
northwest Bahamas.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the east-central
Florida coast from north of Vero Beach northward to Titusville
...Including all of Merritt Island...and for the middle and upper
Florida Keys from the west end of the Seven Mile Bridge northward to
south of Florida City. A tropical storm watch is also in effect for
the Florida West Coast from Florida City to Englewood...including
Florida Bay. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within
36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Katrina was
located near latitude 26.2 north... longitude 79.3 west or about 
55 miles... 85 km... east of Fort Lauderdale Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the west near  6 mph... 9 km/hr. This
general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward
speed during the next 24 hours.  On this track... the center should
be near or over the Southeast Florida coast later tonight or early
Friday morning.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Additional strengthening is possible today and tonight...
and Katrina could become a category one hurricane before the
center reaches the southeastern coast of Florida.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to  70 miles
...110 km from the center. An automated observing station at
Settlement Point on Grand Bahama Island recently reported sustained
winds of 33 mph. 

 
The estimated minimum central pressure is  997 mb...29.44 inches.

 
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected
near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Florida.
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be also
expected in areas of onshore winds in the Bahamas. Storm surge
values will gradually decrease in the Bahamas later today.

 
Due to its slow forward speed...Katrina is expected to produce a
significant heavy rainfall event over the northwest Bahamas...and
South Florida. Total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over southern Florida and the
Florida Keys.

Repeating the 11 am EDT position...26.2 N... 79.3 W.  Movement
toward...west near  6 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 997 mb.

 
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1 PM EDT and 3 PM EDT followed
by the next complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.

 

Forecaster Stewart

171 posted on 08/25/2005 7:40:42 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: Xenalyte
I'm getting tired of all these big storms that avoid Texas and keep me from missing work. ;)

We should be so lucky! I am at my office on the Dade-Broward line. We are still open and working. When someone asked what time we are going home, they say "we'll see". Then here is the kicker, they said we should all be here tomorrow, it's just rain!

Now alot of essential people will be here (it's media after all), but they are planning to make all the non-essential people come in too. Got to keep all those MTV promotions going after all.

Some days I think I work with idiots and other days I have it confirmed for me.

172 posted on 08/25/2005 7:45:35 AM PDT by twin2
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To: twin2
Some days I think I work with idiots and other days I have it confirmed for me.

Working in media will do that for you :)

173 posted on 08/25/2005 7:50:18 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: SE Mom

I am in Central Florida too. Winds 16 mph and gusts to 25 right now per the Weather Channel. Clouds out there moving at a faster clip than usual.


174 posted on 08/25/2005 7:52:06 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: Howlin

OK, I did the math, the 20:00 hours landfall is in the ballpark for the eye.


175 posted on 08/25/2005 7:54:44 AM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: Sam Cree
There was just some PhD from the NWS(?) on the local Ft Liquordale tv station saying their best model shows it slowing then strengthening and moving slightly south.
176 posted on 08/25/2005 8:16:10 AM PDT by IYAAYAS (Live free or die trying)
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To: jpsb

Maybe not this one...but last night Bastardi had the next one coming our way.


177 posted on 08/25/2005 8:18:25 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: shield

Next one? There is no next one that I can see. Only two topical systems active right now.


178 posted on 08/25/2005 8:22:54 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: IYAAYAS

I hope he's wrong on all 3 of those counts!


179 posted on 08/25/2005 8:26:10 AM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: jpsb

It's comin'... I believe he was referring to the last system that came off of Africa ... it's in the Atlantic as we speak/post...


180 posted on 08/25/2005 8:28:45 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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