There is definitely some heavy weather, but no solid eye development yet. Some nice animated microwave images back on posts #144 & 146.
Posted on 08/24/2005 6:20:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The twelfth tropical storm of the 2005 hurricane season is named Katrina. The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
TD 12 Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Looks like there is no need to ping my Texas cane list for this one. I am beginning to think Texas (north of Victoria) will never see another hurricane.
This thing is headed right for us via the back door.
There is definitely some heavy weather, but no solid eye development yet. Some nice animated microwave images back on posts #144 & 146.
I need the rain. I just don't want those problems in the mountains again.
The local radio station had Joe Bastardi from Accuweather on this morning. Every time he mentioned the word "Katrina" the DJ would interrupt him with a sound byte of "Walking on Sunshine".
The FNC forecast a little while ago made the case of a back door arrival even stronger than th forecast path howlin put up a few posts back.............
LOL- great photo, thanks:)
It's pretty odd up here in Central Florida right now- I guess we're getting some feeder bands...bright sunshine...and it is POURING rain...
"This thing is headed right for us via the back door."
Well, it's almost here through my front door. Just packed the hanger, and managed to get more in then I thought. Now we'll see what comes. Need to get to the liquor store on the way home and should be past out before it knocks out the power. Well one can hope.
Wow,this is a fast one.
BTW that's an old pic of my cat, she's a fatso now.
...Katrina gradually strengthening as it moves slowly westward across the Florida Straits toward Southeast Florida...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Southeast Florida coast from Vero Beach southward to Florida City...including Lake Okeechobee. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Grand Bahama Island...Bimini...and the Berry Islands in the northwest Bahamas. The warning has been discontinued for the remainder of the northwest Bahamas.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the east-central Florida coast from north of Vero Beach northward to Titusville ...Including all of Merritt Island...and for the middle and upper Florida Keys from the west end of the Seven Mile Bridge northward to south of Florida City. A tropical storm watch is also in effect for the Florida West Coast from Florida City to Englewood...including Florida Bay. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Katrina was located near latitude 26.2 north... longitude 79.3 west or about 55 miles... 85 km... east of Fort Lauderdale Florida.
Katrina is moving toward the west near 6 mph... 9 km/hr. This general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next 24 hours. On this track... the center should be near or over the Southeast Florida coast later tonight or early Friday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible today and tonight... and Katrina could become a category one hurricane before the center reaches the southeastern coast of Florida.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles ...110 km from the center. An automated observing station at Settlement Point on Grand Bahama Island recently reported sustained winds of 33 mph.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb...29.44 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels... along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Florida. Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels... along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be also expected in areas of onshore winds in the Bahamas. Storm surge values will gradually decrease in the Bahamas later today.
Due to its slow forward speed...Katrina is expected to produce a significant heavy rainfall event over the northwest Bahamas...and South Florida. Total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible.
Isolated tornadoes are possible over southern Florida and the Florida Keys.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...26.2 N... 79.3 W. Movement toward...west near 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure... 997 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1 PM EDT and 3 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Stewart
We should be so lucky! I am at my office on the Dade-Broward line. We are still open and working. When someone asked what time we are going home, they say "we'll see". Then here is the kicker, they said we should all be here tomorrow, it's just rain!
Now alot of essential people will be here (it's media after all), but they are planning to make all the non-essential people come in too. Got to keep all those MTV promotions going after all.
Some days I think I work with idiots and other days I have it confirmed for me.
Working in media will do that for you :)
I am in Central Florida too. Winds 16 mph and gusts to 25 right now per the Weather Channel. Clouds out there moving at a faster clip than usual.
OK, I did the math, the 20:00 hours landfall is in the ballpark for the eye.
Maybe not this one...but last night Bastardi had the next one coming our way.
Next one? There is no next one that I can see. Only two topical systems active right now.
I hope he's wrong on all 3 of those counts!
It's comin'... I believe he was referring to the last system that came off of Africa ... it's in the Atlantic as we speak/post...
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