Posted on 06/06/2005 9:27:29 AM PDT by CHARLITE
Ronald Reagan's defense secretary, Caspar Weinberger, credited with engineering the demise of the Soviet Union, once predicted – because of illegal immigration and social unrest south of the border – the U.S. would be at war with Mexico by 2003.
As the U.S. becomes increasingly concerned about just those issues – and one more, the growing power and violence of the drug cartels operating in and around the border – some U.S. intelligence and military analysts are dusting off Weinberger's "Operation Aztec" battle plan for review.
Weinberger's scenario outlined a rapid three-pronged military invasion designed to control domestic Mexican unrest and stem the influx of millions of immigrants.
Likewise, in a 1994 Pentagon briefing paper dealing with "deployment of U.S. troops in Mexico as a result of widespread economic and social chaos," Donald E. Schultz, a professor of national security at the U.S. Army's War College around the same time wrote: "A hostile government could put U.S. investments in Mexico in danger, jeopardize access to oil, produce a flood of political refugees and economic migrants to the north."
Meanwhile, Mexican President Vicente Fox is indeed concerned about his country's internal security. A few days ago, he summoned to Sinaloa a meeting with top-level officials to discuss various issues of Mexican national security.
The meeting was described by observers as a "top-level group to define Mexican security actions." The president guided his group of experts to draft within the next 90 days, a structure and mechanism proposal on several critical security issues. He instructed the team to prepare strategies to combat illegal arms build-ups, to fight small time drug traders and to find ways to reduce drug addiction prevalence and money laundering. According to the presidential spokesman Ruben Aguilar, Fox instructed his top-level group to divide the upcoming 90 days into 30-, 60- and 90-day time spans.
Oddly, however, the border with the U.S. was a very low priority for Fox and his advisers. They were concerned more with their own southern borders with Belize and Guatemala, where Mexico faces its own illegal immigration crisis.
It seems unavoidable that the U.S.-Mexico border is going to be the big issue in the 2006 mid-term elections in the U.S., whether or not it is a major issue for Mexican politicians vying for political office next year:
The Zetas, a group of U.S.-trained commandos who turned from drug interdiction to drug cartel protection, have killed hundreds along the border since January, raising concerns even from the U.S. Justice Department, which seldom likes to acknowledge any problems with Mexico.
The illegal immigration wave continues unabated with no plans in sight from the Bush administration. Members of Congress from both parties are currently planning to introduce bills in the coming weeks to militarize the border.
While the Zetas are concerned with cross-border drug-running operations, other criminal gangs, some just as deadly, run the people smuggling operations. And there are growing concerns in Washington about the ability of terrorist groups to buy their way into the U.S. through these contacts.
Illegal immigration in the U.S. far outpaces legal immigration, causing economic and cultural problems, as well as security issues. Experts on Mexican security and crime say Fox, preparing for the 2006 presidential campaign, is definitely worried about deteriorating relations with the U.S., particularly with U.S. border-states.
Fox is facing a big political challenge from the growing power and popularity of Mexico City's mayor, Anres Manuel Lopez Obrador, nicknamed AMLO. On May 24, Obrador came out with a remarkable show of force, bringing into the streets 1.2 million non-violent demonstrators to protest attempts by the president to curb his candidacy through judicial acrobatics. The demonstration's dimension, the way it reverberated across the country, and the apparent re-organizing of indigenous and left-wing guerrilla fighters and guerrilla sympathizers, sent shockwaves throughout the Mexican oligarchy.
More than 40 Percent of Mexicans live below the poverty line. Although Mexican officials tend to brag only 3.2 percent of the population is unemployed, CIA experts explain that more than 25 percent of those labeled as working are in reality, and according to any western standards, severely under employed. When these data are added to many other ailments in the country's socio-political reality it is no wonder the mass's discontent, unrest and instability is about to burst.
Security experts claim a variety of groups and organizations plan to play an active role in the coming election campaign, hoping to bring down the Fox administration as well as the present military and police establishments. These include the:
Aboriginal Zapatista National Liberation Army, EZLN, which in the 90s waged war on the state, and then negotiated a cease-fire with Fox's predecessor.
The Popular Liberation Army, EPR, based mainly in the Guerreo State.
Commando Jaramillista Moreense de 23 Mayo, also known as the CJM23M. An illusive group which so far surfaced mainly through leaflets, press releases and threats against the state. More groups mentioned in the May-June 2001 publication of the U.S. Army Combined Arms Center Military Review are:
The People's Revolutionary Army, EPR,
The Revolutionary Army of Insurgent Peoples. ERPI,
The People's Revolutionary Armed Forces, FARP,
The Villist Revolutionary Army of the People, VRAP, and
The Clandestine Revolutionary Army of the Poor, CRAP. Defense Intelligence Agency analysts have recently added accumulating information on jihadi groups establishing shop in Mexico City and other urban centers. An FBI wanted list for drug cartel bosses placed Ramon Eduardo Arellano-Felix at the top, describing him as extremely violent and probably with extensive narco-terror connection, setting him next to terrorist Osama bin Laden on the FBI 10 most wanted list. This by itself illuminates the appalling scope of the problem.
The Sinaloa meeting deliberately avoided dealing with so-called "mega-problems" and instead focused more on relatively petty local crimes. This is an indication the Fox administration is planning to use the infamous traditional Mexican political solution of joining forces with drug cartels despite its malignant ripple affect on the Mexican and even U.S. societies.
The Mexican and the U.S. administrations, each government for reasons of its own, are doing their utmost to dodge issues around the border-crossing epidemic from Mexico to the U.S. As politicians in Washington are trying to avoid coping with public opinion or evade voicing support to such initiatives as the Minuteman Project and the Yuma Patriots, these very issues do not escape the eyes of the Department of Homeland Security and immigration authorities.
The above data when added to the overall, possibly shaky, political situation in Mexico, and with Fox's open disregard for mutual border respect, the U.S. is faced with a dangerously looming confrontation with her supposedly friendly neighbor in the south.
Yes, the OAS speech laid things out pretty starkly. Every Freeper should listen to it or find a transcript. It's clear GWB's attitudes are formed mostly by his "good intentions" and south-of-the-border in-laws and not the law.
Say what you will about the EU, but at least the Eurocrats allowed the people to vote on their sovereignty and future. It seems pretty clear to me American citizens will not be allowed a similar vote on the illegal dissolution of our own borders. The borders in Korea and Iraq seem far more important to the elitists and this administration than our own.
I'm very glad that he was our President on 9/11 but he's gone downhill since then.
If you find the transcript, could you ping me, please? I'll keep looking.
It is best when fox hunting to have a hand full of rocks to throw in the opposite direction you want the fox to run. Now that the fox is running in the open much easier to have an open shot.
already here. see my Zimmerman Telegram post above.
For at least 2 decades before the Zimmerman Telegram, an "infrastructure" for such a scenario had been put in place in Northern Mexico by having many many Germans relocate there. Rommel went there to learn desert warfare from Pancho Villa.
Interesting. Thanks.
The Mexican War of 1846 to 1848 was a lopsided American victory ON MOST ASPECTS. Zach Taylor's and Winfield Scott's armies thrashed the Ejercito Permanente everyplace from Contreras to Churubusco to Chapultepec. The Mexicans turned to guerilla action, and when the US Army (regulars and volunteers) weren't able to handle the guerillas (no special warfare skills in those days), Los Diablos Tejanos....the Texas Rangers....were brought in to pacify the rear areas, which they did extremely well.
Generally since 1848 relations with Mexico have been strained in one way or another. In the decades following the Mexican War, Mexico became a haven for cattle thieves, bank and train robbers and criminals of various other stripes....both Mexicans who struck into the US (such as Augustine Chacon), and Americans who stole from both sides (the Clantons, as an example). Although we have an extradition treaty with Mexico, the Mexican government fails to abide by it. We've had to deal with drug runners, coyotes who smuggle illegals, terrorists and other assorted scum coming up from Mexico. In 1916, one of their frequent governmental instabilities spilled over into Columbus, NM when Pancho Villa raided the US border. It's not improbable for something similar to happen again.
What Mexico fails to realize is this: The US was brutally attacked on 9/11/01, and the American people won't stand for it again, even if our elected officials are acting like a bunch of clueless baboons. If Mexico acts in an overtly hostile manner (unlikely), even the Wuss-in-Chief from Midland will have to act against his bueno amigo, Senor Presidente Fox. As it is, Mexico is acting in a hostile manner that is not as violently overt, and the Midland Mouse is just standing there and taking it as though nothing were happening.
The time is long since past to militarize the border, and begin rounding up and shipping out illegals. This is NOT anti-Hispanic, nor is it anti-immigrant. Hispanics who came here legally are just as offended as native born Americans at the way the border is being violated. The Hispanics I know who came legally view the illegals as pests and criminals who are ruining a country that the legals want to make a home in. But, I guess in the eyes of the left a legal isn't sufficiently Hispanic to count.....
If the federal government won't do something about the border, it does fall to the people to pick up the slack. The Texas legislators who are angry at the Minutemen are all traitors, and should be unelected next time around. When a cowpuncher has to strap on a pistol again so he can defend himself against dope smugglers and illegals just to check fence....that's when the border is in chaos, and needs to be secured.
This time around, when you vote, make sure the politicians put their money where their mouths are. If they fail to act, or act improperly, organize a recall and SEND THEM HOME! This country is far too precious to be left in the care of people who can't spot a threat when it's right under their noses!
Have to believe the narco trafficers would give more of a scrum.
The narcotrafficantes have a more serious purpose, and accordingly, use more draconian measures both to enforce discipline and instill loyalty, if only the sort of loyalty that can be bought and sold.
Remember that many of the senior officers of the underpaid Mexican Army are deditos [little fingers] in the pay of the cartels, and that by keeping their troops drunk, well-fed and out of the way at certain key times, are rendering aservice for their masters.
While you were watching that display of something less than Mexican military prowness, I wonder what was going on elsewhere....
They know well that we were also attacked on 3/9/1916. And what followed.
"We have Nicaragua, soon we will have El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Costa Rica, and Mexico. One day, tomorrow or five years or fifteen years from now, we're going to take 5 to 10 million Mexicans and they are going into Dallas, into El Paso, into Houston, into New Mexico, into San Diego, and each one will have embedded in his mind the idea of killing ten Americans."--Thomas Borge, Nicaragua Interior Minister as quoted in the Washington Times, March 27, 1985
I like the comparison about the imported cows...makes sense.
Why is it the Feds have a mandatory 10 for armed robbery but not even a mandatory 5 for illegal immigration?
I did mention the Villa Raid against Columbus, NM. Thanks for the link and the additional info.....great source!
Bush and company are working the old frog in the pot of cold water trick. Let reality take its course, illegals flooding the country, then after twenty million arrive, say, golly it's too late to send them back. Here's a better idea -- let's improve the standard of living for the entire western hemisphere. You liked one Europe? You'll love one happy hemisphere. Same deal. Free trade, free travel, capitalism and hopefully democracy the rising tide that lifts all boats. Bush hinted at this in a speech this morning. The speech was a two-by-four to the head. He mentioned many 'immigrants' from Mexico and Central America living and working happily in the US. He said this twice in case lamebrains weren't paying attention. 'Illegals' wasn't mentioned.
Holy moly HR!!!! Sheeeeeeeeese! Thanks very much for the link... This is just amazing..
~bookmark~
I heard it. He is violating his oath. I would support impeachment.
Nobody wants to be racist, but the law is the law. Newt Gingrich on Rush two weeks ago, came up with a practical, workable solution. This has to be done. We send them back with a promise they can enter the US legally with a green card and thumbprint so we can track them...and they have to have a job. We'd work out equitable back and forth stuff, how many times a year they could go home, etc.. They'd have to learn English and abide by our laws. If they broke the law, they'd be deported. No fooling around. Borders secured professionally, immediately, including sea coasts. Terrorism being the other side of this problem.
WHEN in the Course of human Events,
it becomes necessary for one People to dissolve the Political Bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the Powers of the Earth, the separate and equal Station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent Respect to the Opinions of Mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the Separation. WE hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness -- That to secure these Rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just Powers from the Consent of the Governed, that whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these Ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its Foundation on such Principles, and organizing its Powers in such Form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient Causes; and accordingly all Experience hath shewn, that Mankind are more disposed to suffer, while Evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the Forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long Train of Abuses and Usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object, evinces a Design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their Right, it is their Duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future Security. Such has been the patient Sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the Necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The History of the present King of Great- Britain is a History of repeated Injuries and Usurpations, all having in direct Object the Establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid World . . . They have taxed us far more than the colonialist were taxed. Sure we have representatation. But so many nincompoop socialist keep voting the same losers in and they keep enacting more, and worse tax laws.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1416716/posts?page=63#63
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