Posted on 11/01/2004 9:19:13 PM PST by JingoJim
I am against this kind of media speculation about elections in which voting has not completed. While I am excited about watching Kerry make an concession speech acknowledging that he will never reach his life's goal, I would be very upset if this kind of speculation were being made about a Republican candidate.
Yes, but I wish they would keep their results private till after the polls close. Also, just because predictions about early voting have been made does not negate the necessity of getting those who have not voted to the polls today. Results like this could make some people complacent.
Those vote numbers on Ohio Sec. of State seem funny: no large margin for either guy anywhere; vote counts such as Bush 10,000 and Kerry 10,000; a county or more where write-ins have more than both Bush and Kerry; etc. I'm guessing that they're just running some tests, figuring nobody is paying attention at 3 a.m.
..... Texas like other states with early voting has had phenomenal turnout this year. We had 30% of the registered voters turn out! .....Yep! Some local areas had as high as > 41% turnout!
I already cast my vote for Dubya !!
Early voting begins in Texas today 10-18-2004
BUSY polling place this morning!Here is an interesting site that tracks Early Voting in Texas.
Bush is up in OH by a razor-thin margin. Time to crank up the state's GOTV drive today.
Mornin'! See post #85 .....
How do you get this? This is not what the link says.
% George W. Bush 50 John Kerry 44 Ralph Nader 1
Michael Badnarik 1 Other * Not sure/Refused 4
It would be nice if the poster included the information on the link he provided. Which, BTW, was not to Harris but to the PR news wire. Although I think Bush will win the link had mixed numbers.
My state (Arizona) may not pay for the return of the ballot without postage but my county does. My wife and I didn't have to pay for a stamp for our mail in ballots.
Looks like the final numbers will have Bush up by six. That's an excellent sign!
I been saying Bush 50 to Kerry 45, or Bush 51 to Kerry 46, for a while now. Nice to see it supported in a poll!
A good sign so far... 50-44 with 4 percent refusing to answer?
That's a 51-47 race assuming that the undecideds do 3-1 for Kerry. Good news - it confirms the earlier CBS/New York Times results.
If you will examine the table in the link provided, it shows zero margin of error for Harris. There is no better standard.
Amen!
Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000
National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure
2000-Preliminary
|
Gore |
Bush |
Nader |
Un- decided |
Other |
Gore- Bush |
Margin Error |
Candidate |
Election Result |
48% |
48% |
3% |
|
1% |
0% |
|
|
Zogby |
48% |
46% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1.0% |
CBS |
45% |
44% |
4% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
0.5% |
Harris (Phone) |
47% |
47% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0.0% |
Gallup/CNN/USA Today |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
Pew Research |
47% |
49% |
4% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
IBD/CSM/Tipp |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
ICR/Politics Now |
44% |
46% |
7% |
1% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
NBC/WSJ |
44% |
47% |
3% |
4% |
2% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
ABC/WashPost |
45% |
48% |
3% |
3% |
1% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
Battleground |
45% |
50% |
4% |
0% |
1% |
-5% |
5% |
2.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
Avg. Error |
|
2.2% |
1.1% |
I agree, he's a loser, but not to worry. I'd bet that most of those votes come from blood red states.
Those guys are wacky, but they (most of em anyway) aren't suicidal.
Thanks- good clarification.
Just saw Ed Goeas on CNBC. He said that movement was toward Bush in the "target" states. FWIW.
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