Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000
National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure
2000-Preliminary
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
Nader |
Un- decided |
Other |
Gore- Bush |
Margin Error |
Candidate |
|
Election Result |
48% |
48% |
3% |
|
1% |
0% |
|
|
|
Zogby |
48% |
46% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1.0% |
|
CBS |
45% |
44% |
4% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
0.5% |
|
Harris (Phone) |
47% |
47% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0.0% |
|
Gallup/CNN/USA Today |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
|
Pew Research |
47% |
49% |
4% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
|
IBD/CSM/Tipp |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
|
ICR/Politics Now |
44% |
46% |
7% |
1% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
|
NBC/WSJ |
44% |
47% |
3% |
4% |
2% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
|
ABC/WashPost |
45% |
48% |
3% |
3% |
1% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
|
Battleground |
45% |
50% |
4% |
0% |
1% |
-5% |
5% |
2.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Avg. Error |
|
2.2% |
1.1% |
Thanks- good clarification.
That 2000 table is interesting. The Undecideds were more and they broke 3-1 for Gore. I expect the undecided break to be at least 50-50 the year.