Posted on 10/31/2004 6:34:39 PM PST by RWR8189
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(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
I agree. Kerry won't make it over the top! The Rats' behavior today shows that they're nervous.
Well there were 12 male members of my family in the Poconos this weekend for a party for my Uncle. We're all voting Bush as are, I might add, all the wives and children of age.
Its not one poll, its the majority of the polls showing the race within MoE, its the fact that they can only steal it if its close.
They are acting like Gallup is Holy Writ.
Not if your support was weak to start with and all polls suggest Kerry voters are less committed then Bush's.
I just think people don't want the overconfidence from 2000. We loved the polls back then, and 4 million evangelicals sat home and didn't vote. I am actually happier with ties in the latest polls. These fake polls will just encourage people that their vote counts.
I agree, but that is the part I don't get. I have to cast my vote in NY - where I know Bush will lose. Yet I, and my family, and the republicans I know here will be going out and voting.
there seem to be some freepers who see a slight lead, even a tie, as so depressing that I worry that their next post is going to be "why bother". they ought to live in NY like I do. what should I be saying?
Bookmark and note to self to check this for accuracy after election.
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Yes...that is apparent.
It is not 49/49
Probably shouldn't say in public. DUmmies read this board.
I live in CA. I'd be willing to call some folks in PA if that's what the GOP needs. Can you provide a link?
You know Gallup probably better than anyone, so let me ask you the following question: how good is their track record in state by state polling? If Gallup says that Bush now leads nationally by only two points among LVs, I can accept that (although I think that the actualy lead is probably closer to three points). But I am not so sure about their state by state polling, especially when compared with the Mason Dixon polls. I would appreciate your thoughts. TIA.
The Polls are in 'bed' with the MSM and are greatly underestimating the Bush vote.
Forget the daily tracking polls: Fox Bush +5 last Thurs or Friday, Newsweek Bush +6 this weekend, Mason-Dixon (state polls) good news for Bush yesterady, Bush has 15pt. lead in early voting, Karl Rove said yesterday that Kerry has to win all the mid-westeran states to win.
Republicans 33%
Democrats 39%
Independents 28%
I am going to try to run dvwjr's more accurate program.
thanks for the input...if I need help I'll be sure to Freep mail you first...
Sorry, spelling atrocious tonight.
You're right about the election being a series of state elections. But look at the internals posted above. In the white states (tossup), Bush's approval ratings dropped like a stone and 52% of the voters are Kerry's there.
Now, that hurts if you put a lot of stock into this poll. I don't. It includes some states that aren't close (WA, for example).
I totally agree...AND look at the part where Bush is BARELY up in the South (6 pts??). No way he's ot up by at least 15-16 pts in the South. The men and South internals are messed up...gotta be high school football on Friday and college on Saturday, lol.
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