), but it will be tight.
Posted on 10/18/2004 3:30:53 PM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
| President, PA |
10/18/2004
|
| Kerry (D) |
51%
|
| Bush (R) |
45%
|
| Other/Undecided |
4%
|
| Data Collected |
10/15/04 - 10/17/04
|
| Geography |
State of Pennsylvania
|
| Sample Population |
619 Likely Voters
|
| Margin of Error |
4.0%
|
| Client |
WCAU-TV Philadelphia
|
|
WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
|
|
|
KDKA-TV Pittsburgh
|
| U.S. Senate, PA |
10/18/2004
|
| Specter(R) |
48%
|
| Hoeffel (D) |
41%
|
| Clymer (C) |
6%
|
| Other/Undecided |
5%
|
| Data Collected |
10/15/04 - 10/17/04
|
| Geography |
State of Pennsylvania
|
| Sample Population |
608 Likely Voters
|
| Margin of Error |
4.1%
|
| Client |
WCAU-TV Philadelphia
|
|
WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
|
|
|
KDKA-TV Pittsburgh
|
I'm thinking PA is out of reach for W. However, New Jersey is in play. Weird.
I'll believe it when I see it. President Bush will be in Hershey Thursday.
He's wasting his time in PA. Look at the 1980 and 1984 presidential elections -- Reagan won NJ by a FAR greater margin than its neighbor.
Client WCAU-TV Philadelphia
WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
KDKA-TV Pittsburgh
All Dem strongholds.
After looking at all four or five of these SURVEY USA polls, I'm convinced they are about 3 points off reality in Kerry's favor. There is no way NC is close. No way.
Philly and, to a lesser extent, Pittsburgh, kill the GOP in PA.
), but it will be tight.
Is everyone forgetting that state polls trail national polls by a week? We are gaining ground in all the national polls practically. State polls will follow in a few days.
Home of the Liberty Bell going for Kerry... sad.
Another weekend poll. I bet these guys do it on purpose.
Exactly. The center part of the state from Johnstown to Altoona to State College to Harrisburg will vote for Bush. The Catholic and Evangelical vote will be strong for Bush in these areas. The question is will it be strong enough to take the fraud in Philly. Early returns election night will be from the Philly and Pittsburgh areas. However, I predict a very heavy turnout in the heart of the state. Question is will it be enough.
No wonder Pittsburgh hurts Republicans. TV 4 in Pittsburgh at 5pm did a report on a "spot check" of voter rolls in Allegheny Co. where P'burgh is located. They found 3000 voters double registered and had no trouble finding people who voted more than once. PA has a computerized list where county registrars can check for persons listed more than once, but they can't make the registrars use it. They interviewed one person who denied voting twice in past 4 elections, but the 2 registrations side by side looked identical except one had her maiden name as middle name, other did not. This is just the same old Dem crap, not anything to do with any new registrations.
These people that admit to voting twice should be tried and convicted of fraud.
This is a bigtime outlier.
The same people who answered the Bush-Cheney question answered Specter-Hoeffel.
Every poll I've seen so far has show Specter with 15-20 point leads, like 55-38, 58-37.. or similar.
No way is Specter only up 7%..
They give away their partisanship in more than one way with this poll.
The fact that they claim the Senate race to be 48-41 is a red flag on this one. They have clearly been oversampled with Democrat voters. There is no way (ask anyone in PA) that the Senate race is going to be close.
This just confirms to me that PA is a dead heat, when adjusted for obvious errors.
the senate numbers were a red flag to me as well. those numbers are farther apart than this poll reports.
I am thinking that if Bush is with 4 or 5 by Nov 1, then he will win out in the end.
If this election is not a landslide then God help us because only a fool would vote for kerry.
How many fools can a nation have and survive??
John
Seems like Kerry improved in every poll that includes Sunday (10-17). Weekend polls always favor Democrats but Sunday seems to be heavily Democrat.
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