[TitansAFC]

They give away their partisanship in more than one way with this poll.

The fact that they claim the Senate race to be 48-41 is a red flag on this one. They have clearly been oversampled with Democrat voters. There is no way (ask anyone in PA) that the Senate race is going to be close.

This just confirms to me that PA is a dead heat, when adjusted for obvious errors.

[donnab]

the senate numbers were a red flag to me as well. those numbers are farther apart than this poll reports.

[HostileTerritory]

Unfortunately this reminds me a lot of some of the 2000 races, specifically Michigan and Washington State, two states that match Pennsylvania politically. You have a Republican who isn't the most popular guy in the state, and a no-name Democrat running against him, and we lead like 50-30 for the whole campaign. Then the 'RAT starts to creep up in October with ads and regular partisan block-voting, and come Election Day, they unseat the Pubbie by the narrowest of margins.

I would never, ever bet on Snarlin' Arlen Specter. I'm sorry. No one actually likes him and I felt he was overdue for his numbers to fall to Earth. He's been everything to everyone except for true conservatives and the 'RATs won't buy it in the end. I'd trade him for a good conservative from a real conservative state, like Richard Burr, who's leading Irksome Bowels in North Carolina.

[Soul Seeker]

I agree. I don't like Spectre, but the Republicans decided to keep him in the primaries. Even if Toomey voters were to sit this one out, and I think most won't, the Liberals are lining up behind Spectre.

I don't believe the vote is that close.

[WhistlingPastTheGraveyard]

They have clearly been oversampled with Democrat voters.

A large number of Dems are identifying themselves as Republicans to pollsters. The same way they identify themselves as Republicans when they call talk radio and CSPAN to crucify the President. They're taught to do this at seminars conducted by the DNC -- we know this for a fact.

It's a systematic effort by the Democratic Party. And if you don't think they're out to manipulate polls to influence public perception, go back and look at what McAuliffe called for in his pre-debate e-mail blasts.

This race isn't nearly as close as it's being made out to be.