), but it will be tight.I'm thinking PA is out of reach for W. However, New Jersey is in play. Weird.
I'll believe it when I see it. President Bush will be in Hershey Thursday.
Client WCAU-TV Philadelphia
WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre
KDKA-TV Pittsburgh
All Dem strongholds.
After looking at all four or five of these SURVEY USA polls, I'm convinced they are about 3 points off reality in Kerry's favor. There is no way NC is close. No way.
), but it will be tight.Home of the Liberty Bell going for Kerry... sad.
Another weekend poll. I bet these guys do it on purpose.
This is a bigtime outlier.
The same people who answered the Bush-Cheney question answered Specter-Hoeffel.
Every poll I've seen so far has show Specter with 15-20 point leads, like 55-38, 58-37.. or similar.
I am thinking that if Bush is with 4 or 5 by Nov 1, then he will win out in the end.
If this election is not a landslide then God help us because only a fool would vote for kerry.
How many fools can a nation have and survive??
John
Seems like Kerry improved in every poll that includes Sunday (10-17). Weekend polls always favor Democrats but Sunday seems to be heavily Democrat.
The SUSA polls released today seem to overstate Democrat support by quite a bit. If Bush is ahead nationally by 2%-8% like most polls show, how can he be down 5% in PA, especially since he was down only 2% in PA when he was tied in national polls? And Specter is only up 48%-41%? He's been deep into the 50s most of the race, making me (and other Toomey supporters) look bad in the process (I thought that Specter might be vulnerable to Hoeffel, although that was before I saw what a bad candidate Hoeffel has been). And if Bush is only up by 5% in Arkansas, why did Kerry pull ads out of the state? And how can Bush only be up 3% in uncontested NC, especially while Burr is up 2%? And Kerry up 1% in FL while Mel Martinez is up 2%?
My guesstimate is that these latest SUSA polls are 4% more Democrat than reality, and thus, recalibrated, Bush is up 3% in FL (with Martinez up by 6%), Kerry up 2% in PA (with Specter up 11%), Bush up 7% in NC (with Burr up 6% and Ballantine down 8% in the gubernatorial race), and Bush up 9% in AR (with Holt down 15% in the Senate race).
DO NOT BELIEVE THIS POLL.
Specter is up by more than seven. There have been yard signs saying "Vote Kerry-Specter" or something like that. No one seems to know what organization made them though.
Poll taken Friday, Saturday, and Sunday?!!! Worthless.
I wish we could find out the real extent of the fraud in Philly. I am just sick that PA went for Gore after I worked my butt off for Bush in 2000. The fraud was the cause.
MoodyBlu
Darn, I hope we win PA. SUSA is notoriously unreliable, so maybe we will.
As a lifetime resident of Pennsylvania, I would like to say the following:
I HATE PHILADELPHIA. I'M SURROUNDED BY RETARDS AND MARXISTS.
SUSA is the common denominator with all these state polls showing a Kerry trend. I don't buy it. I am actually encouraged by it. According to SUSA, Bush is only up by 3 in N.C., and down 6 in PA. To believe this one must also believe Kerry is up the national polls. SUSA is just reeling in another client for another round of polling.
I guess I'm surprised at the possibility that PA could go to the Dems... I don't know the history of voting there, but I know that much of small-town PA are hunters... and CARE about their right to bear arms...
Or maybe I'm just totally offbase with this. Guess I should do some studying.
SurveyUSA is a Democrat-leaning poll. I don't trust those numbers. They don't feel right to me. I'd wait to see what other polls say.