Posted on 10/17/2004 9:06:04 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
Edited on 10/17/2004 9:35:17 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
FROM DRUDGE:
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Choice for President
Likely Registered
Voters Voters
Bush 52% 49%
Kerry 44 46
Nader 1 1
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
FOR RELEASE: Sunday, October 17 at noon
Interviews with 1,013 adult Americans, including 788 likely voters and 942 registered voters, conducted by telephone on October 14-16, 2004
Although Americans think John Kerry did the best job in the debates, that has not translated into an increase in his popularity, which in turn means that he appears to have lost a little ground to Bush. Among registered voters, a 48%-48% tie is now a 49%-46% edge for Bush -- not much of a difference and, with the sampling error, not a significant change. The Gallup likely voter model, which identified those respondents who are most likely to cast a ballot, is magnifying those shifts, with a 49%-48% advantage for Kerry turning into a 52%-44% lead for Bush. What's going on?
For one thing, the charge that Kerry is too liberal, which Bush emphasized mostly in the third and last debate on Wednesday night, seems to be sticking. Nearly half say Kerry's political views are too liberal. (Four in ten say Bush is too conservative.) But didn't Kerry win the debate? Yes, as with the first two debates, the public thinks Kerry did the better job on Wednesday night. But as Al Gore learned in 2000, winning a debate on points does not necessarily translate into votes or make a candidate more popular. As in 2000, Bush's favorable ratings -- Americans view of him as a person -- went up after a debate that he lost. Kerry's favorable rating has remained flat. Republicans seem more enthusiastic about the election, and thus more likely to vote, as reflected in the Gallup likely voter model.
Bush may have energized his base in the final debate at the expense of not appealing to a wider audience -- but he managed to do so in a way that made him more popular than Kerry.
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Likely Voters'
Choice for President
Now Oct. 9-10
Bush 52% 48%
Kerry 44 49
Nader 1 1
Sampling error: +/-4% pts
QUESTION: Now, suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo as independent candidates. Would you vote for Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats,Bush and Cheney, the Republicans, or Nader and Camejo, the independent candidates?
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Favorable Ratings
Now Oct. 9-10
Bush 55% 51%
Kerry 52 52
Sampling error: +/-3% pts
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Opinion of George W. Bush
Now Oct. 9-10
Favorable 55% 51%
Unfavorable 44 46
Sampling error: +/-3% pts
QUESTION: Next, we'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. George W. Bush B. John Kerry
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Kerry's Political Views
Too liberal 47%
About right 38
Too conservative 9
Sampling error: +/-3% pts
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL
October 14-16
Bush's Political Views
Too liberal 14%
About right 41
Too conservative 40
end
I think it would be more accurate to say "has the big Liz"
I wonder if the pollsters have decided they've given Kerry plenty of time to garner enough votes to match their inflated polls, and so they must now regretfully begin reporting reality, in the interest of keeping their reputations?
considering the news coming out of cincinnati (rampant DNC vote fraud) that isn't exactly a good thing.
My pleasure ;-)
Wrong Wrong Wrong
If Bush wins FL and WI; Ohio and PA are meaningless.
FL is all that matters.
HA HA HA HA HA HAAAAA!
You better put some raisins on that!
On second thought, skip the raisins and go straight for the gin!
Immediately following the release of this poll to the public, several members of the staff at CNN were found dead in their offices having apparently been overcome with grief at the prospect of another Bush Presidency.
heh ;-)
On a serious note, I want to see the internals. However, this 8-point lead would seem to validate the junky-looking 6-point lead in Newsweek yesterday.
Good news! I want Gallup to call me, so I can tell them they need to start exit polling the early voters. I cast my vote for Bush/Cheney yesterday. :o)
I think I will vote early also. In case I happen to croak.
How did you make out in Philly? Did any of the dead come out and say they were voting for Kerry? Wish you guys would have knocked on my door!
Where's the link????????????????????
has any one here actually been polled?
Not by much, tho ;-)
"That too. His plan will end poverty, hunger, AIDS, global warming, stop those hurricanes, stop the Mount St. Helens eruption, give everyone a free college education, SS, PLUS he'll bring world peace and he's cutting taxes for the middle class on top of that Why aren't you voting for him!!! :-)"
Cause he is a F&%*#g Elitist, Socialist, cowardly, do nothing POS. Sums it up?
DO NOT BUY INTO THIS POLL. If we found it hard to believe that Kerry made a 8 point gain after the first debate we should question how Bush made a 5 point gain in this one while Kerry lost 4 points.
hahahahaha!
Which will make our win all the more sweet. Especially as we pick up seats in both the House and Senate.
Im voting tommorow
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