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I'm calling it for Bush: Electoral College 320 to 218
JEFFHEAD.COM ^ | Oct 15, 2004 | Jeff Head

Posted on 10/15/2004 11:41:32 AM PDT by Jeff Head

I'm calling it for Bush today, 10/15/2004.

Bush 320 Electoral Votes, Kerry 218 Electoral Votes.



TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2004election; 2004presidentialrace; bushvskerry; electoralcollege; electoralvote; napalminthemorning; predictions; presidentialrace
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To: Jeff Head

Looks good to me... But "W" may get a few more than you show...


441 posted on 10/17/2004 7:19:44 PM PDT by Surge-on
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To: Surge-on
Agreed...I hope he hits 350 or even 400. But for now, I'm making this prediction.

It needs to be strong enough to render any liberal/DNC law suits or challenges mute from the get go.

442 posted on 10/17/2004 7:26:46 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head
It needs to be strong enough to render any liberal/DNC law suits or challenges mute from the get go.

It also needs to be large enough that Bush can claim a mandate without being laughed at. And it needs enough coat tails so he can get things through the Senate. He needs to win all the close Senate races in Bush Country; especially, Daschle must lose! Otherwise we'll see another 4 year stall and Hillary will run claiming Bush never got anything done. If Bush does this the Senate RHINOs and enough weak RAT Senators in Bush states will go along to end the stalemate. The current House, granting DeLay's firm hand in control, is adequate for Bush's needs, but a bigger cushion would be nice there too.

443 posted on 10/17/2004 7:46:15 PM PDT by JohnBovenmyer (I)
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To: TheBigB

Maybe so, but I'd sure like a LOT of gravy this time around.


444 posted on 10/17/2004 8:45:47 PM PDT by SmithL (Vietnam-era Vet: Still fighting Hillary's half-vast left-wing conspiracy)
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To: joanie-f

When it comes to thought process, you remind me of a female Charles Krauthammer, and that's a compliment to both of you. :-)

It's a shame what happened at your church. It's a sign of the times but a bitter pill to swallow anyway.

You're right about the stealing of this election. It's all out. They aren't even trying to hide it except for blaming the republicans for doing the same thing.

I second Jeff's statements about your commitment and eloquence. Thank you for both, Joanie.


445 posted on 10/17/2004 9:07:11 PM PDT by aodell
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To: Patrick1; onyx
PA WAS looking good about a month ago, but I am not skeptical. WI looked like a lock for W but now I'm concerned there too.
446 posted on 10/17/2004 9:23:31 PM PDT by RockinRight (John Kerry is the wrong candidate, for the wrong country, at the wrong time)
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To: Jeff Head

We could still lose from this map OH, OR, IA, WI, and NH and still win with 272.


447 posted on 10/17/2004 9:26:22 PM PDT by MHT
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To: joanie-f
...extremely dejected from about nine hours of door-to-door campaigning in predominantly democrat neighborhoods

No wonder. It was a dangerous mission behind enemy lines ;-)

But looking on the bright side, at least we Americans can still talk about politics even if one side isn't receptive. We haven't progressed to the open-violence stage like rightless societies always do.

America has always been a dangerous place, but the source of the danger was always either nature itself, or the occasional criminal. In the past, we were mostly free to live our lives as we thought best, using our brains and brawn against nature. To protect our ability to do so, we had the the law and the government to protect our individual rights against the criminal class or the mob.

We never had to worry about our neighbors voting on how we must live our lives (at least until the Roosevelt administration anyway.)

That's why there is a growing fear among people these days.

There have always been stupid, violent people among us but, being stupid and violent, they didn't prosper and were no factor in our lives. Even if such people banded together into a mob, our Constitution stood as a barrier between them and the proper living of our lives.

After all, what could they do to us? How could they stop us from doing what we thought best?

In the past they couldn't have, but now...who can tell?

Thanks to television, the government schools, and the government itself bombarding society with the constant drumbeat of democracy... democracy... democracy, people think that they have the "right" to vote on anything they want to.

Your neighbor is too successful? Vote to take away his money.

Your neighbor is too free? Vote to chain him down.

America is a democracy, right? That's what we learned in school.

Well, enough ranting for this morning.

As to your church being robbed, there is a special place in hell for someone who would rob a church. I hope you don't start locking the building because of this.

OTOH, I would think real hard about protecting that valuable sheet music. It was probably some kids who robbed you, and if they come back they might just decide to trash the place.

448 posted on 10/18/2004 3:10:44 AM PDT by snopercod (Edwards is right: There ARE two Americas. One believes individuals have rights and the other doesn't)
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To: MHT

Sure enough...but we can also win NJ, MI, NM, OR (I don't show OR in the Kerry camp here) and MN. We shall see.


449 posted on 10/18/2004 5:05:29 AM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head

I think you're wrong about Florida. They have all the dems registered two or three times here by now. The register to vote people were everywhere and I see tons more Kerry signs than any Bush signs. I saw this stupid girl on the corner of an intersection yesterday in Pompano Beach with a Kerry sign all by herself waving to people.


450 posted on 10/18/2004 5:12:18 AM PDT by benice (Be a pollster for Zogby--sign up--he needs the balance.)
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To: benice

We shall see...but I still believe Florida will go Bush.


451 posted on 10/18/2004 5:26:37 AM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: joanie-f

Good post Joanie.

Thanks!


452 posted on 10/18/2004 12:23:23 PM PDT by FBD
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To: Patrick1

Do Amish vote?


453 posted on 10/18/2004 6:16:30 PM PDT by Ludicrous
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To: joanie-f

After much thought, let me say this about that, I'm calling it for God.


454 posted on 10/18/2004 11:11:54 PM PDT by First_Salute (May God save our democratic-republican government, from a government by judiciary.)
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To: joanie-f
There are thieves at the door. They may well steal this election --either outright, or by virtue of painting beautiful, alluring lies that will be believed by those who do not know better.

They are planning to steal this election through a combination of lies, voter fraud, and judicial interference. And they are claiming that 'our side' is perpetrating the same, so that the average voter will believe that the lies and fraud are a wash – when, in reality, the leftists have a corner on the deceit and corruption, and the conservatives commit both only by convenient, unfounded leftist accusation. Yet most voters are incapable of discerning the difference.

This is how this election is being run in 2 paragraphs. We probably won’t know the “results” for weeks and the vote will definitely be skewed left.

455 posted on 10/19/2004 5:25:10 AM PDT by downwithsocialism
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To: benice

I see Bush signs and bumper stickers 15-1 around Orlando. I was in Broward County two weeks ago and saw more Bush stickers than Kerry.

i think the sticker count can be interesting, but is not an indictor on the election. Also it can vary from neighborhood to neighborhood and city to city. There is broad support for Bush among Republicans. There is a smaller, angry group of people who hate Bush. There are a lot of ignorant voters that are left-leaning that will end up voting Kerry becuase they like the 'free' stuff from the Democrats. The difference in the election is going to be strong turnout of the Bush base, and pulling a good percentage of those middle voters by appealing to the belief of limited government and strong national defense. Mostly at this point, on thr gorund, it's GOTV.


456 posted on 10/19/2004 5:35:08 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: ilgipper
At work the switchboard girl is a Kerry supporter...and she knows I am a Bush supporter....so everytime I walk through the lobby...she puts her computer to a wallpaper picture of the Kerrys and the Edwards. (Mrs. Edwards takes up most of the pic.....)
I never say anything to switchboard girl...who amazingly looks like a twin to Mrs. Edwards.....

i think the sticker count can be interesting, but is not an indictor on the election. Also it can vary from neighborhood to neighborhood and city to city. There is broad support for Bush among Republicans. There is a smaller, angry group of people who hate Bush. There are a lot of ignorant voters that are left-leaning that will end up voting Kerry becuase they like the 'free' stuff from the Democrats. The difference in the election is going to be strong turnout of the Bush base, and pulling a good percentage of those middle voters by appealing to the belief of limited government and strong national defense. Mostly at this point, on thr gorund, it's GOTV.

457 posted on 10/19/2004 10:12:09 AM PDT by benice (Be a pollster for Zogby--sign up--he needs the balance.)
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To: 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub

VOTE November 2, 2004 bump!


458 posted on 10/21/2004 10:45:22 PM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: BradyLS

I hope and pray that Bush wins. If not this country is going down the crapper and I am personally going to be crushed. Coming from a 5 generation military family we know how supporting the troops is critical to success in any war and I fear for the lives of our brave men and women if we have that traitor in the White House.


459 posted on 10/21/2004 10:47:47 PM PDT by LTGStonewall
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To: stockpirate

"Unles there is soething inthe future about PA, Bush is pulling troops and money out of PA and reducing ads."

As a proud citizen of PA, I have to say this is true. The Kerry ads on TV here outnumber the Bush adds about 4-1. There are Bush yard signs starting to pop up everywhere though. Yard signs are going about 3-1 to Bush on my drive to work and my work poll is Bush-6, Kerry-1, Undecided-2. Unfortuntely, the national headquarters of my company is in Boston, so were strongly outnumbered company wide.


460 posted on 10/21/2004 10:47:47 PM PDT by IMKDnom
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