Posted on 10/14/2004 3:21:20 PM PDT by RWR8189
Here are Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages of 5 key battleground states:
Florida, Bush 47%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain, and the eighth day in a row that Kerry has either picked up points, or kept pace and a 5 point gain in a week)
Ohio, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and the closest he's been in 10 days)
Michigan, Kerry 48%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and 2 points in 2 days)
Minnesota, Kerry 48%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and matches his largest lead here in at least 10 days)
Pennsylvania, Kerry 47%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday)
ping
I'd love to see the internal polls that the campaigns are working to.
Its a 7 day rolling average.
One news story could turn this election. Hope our October surprise is better than their October surprise.
2 point win in Ohio. I'll take it.
Me too. I did see from an Ohio semi-insider that W's lead is bigger justified as thus: the media polls use historical turnout numbers, the campaigns use updated models with knowledge of registrations and their own GOTV efforts. 2004 will have a GOP GOTV effort never before seen for the GOP. Remember 2002? The Senate/House results were because of that effort. Hence, history meant nothing. This year is said to be much better. Lastly, look to where the $$ and candidates are going--W and Cheney in blue states, including NJ. In light of the vote fraud effort, this is going to be one helluva ride....
But there will be 3% fraud for Kerry.
The Kerry comment on Cheney's daughter has been playing pretty heavily today with Kerry issuing a sort of clarification. This issue will probably take him off his game for several days and some commentators are saying some pretty harsh things about him. It's a momentum killer for at least the next few days. Edward's wife weighing in with her own foot in mouth hasn't helped the Kerry campaign. Swift boat adds coming on now and the documentary on Kerry coming next week will add to his pain.
Love the image. Can you try it in Purple? Maybe outline it and close a box around the "OF". Give it that purple heart look.
This is all decent news, except for Florida. Why does Kerry appear to have the "MO" there? I don't understand, I thought Florida was moving towards US.
One thing that is also in all Rasmussen polls is that the President Job approval is over 50% in every single battleground and that most have him at 53%. In addition, their consumer and investor numbers are all good for an incumbent.
They've been playing the Cheney's daughter story on ABC radio's top of the hour updates since this morning.
Funny how Kerry seems to "gain" all the time---yet is always behind.
Most of this voter fraud stuff is another scare tactic to depress GOP turnout. The people pushing this are the negative posters, doing it to make a Kerry win seem inevitable, polls be damned. There will be some fraud. But there always is. I'll be tickled to see a consensus 2 point lead in Ohio and Florida on election day morn.
There are lot of negative trolls on FR now. They have one goal: depress voter turnout. Just like the MSM. Don't let them get to you.
Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000 National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure
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I'd walk through gunplay and shell fire to vote.
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