To: RWR8189
Funny how Kerry seems to "gain" all the time---yet is always behind.
17 posted on
10/14/2004 4:23:54 PM PDT by
LS
To: LS
Final National Presidential Poll Results, 1936-2000 National Council on Public Polls - Error Measure 2000-Preliminary
|
Gore |
Bush |
Nader |
Un- decided |
Other |
Gore- Bush |
Margin Error Poll - Elect |
Candidate Error |
Election Result |
48% |
48% |
3% |
|
1% |
0% |
|
|
Zogby |
48% |
46% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1.0% |
CBS |
45% |
44% |
4% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
0.5% |
Harris (Phone) |
47% |
47% |
5% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0.0% |
Gallup/CNN/USA Today |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
Pew Research |
47% |
49% |
4% |
0% |
0% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
IBD/CSM/Tipp |
46% |
48% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
ICR/Politics Now |
44% |
46% |
7% |
1% |
2% |
-2% |
2% |
1.0% |
NBC/WSJ |
44% |
47% |
3% |
4% |
2% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
ABC/WashPost |
45% |
48% |
3% |
3% |
1% |
-3% |
3% |
1.5% |
Battleground |
45% |
50% |
4% |
0% |
1% |
-5% |
5% |
2.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
Avg. Error |
2.2% |
1.1% |
Alternative Methods |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Harris Interactive |
47% |
47% |
4% |
0% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0.0% |
Rasmussen |
49% |
40% |
4% |
|
9% |
9% |
4.5% |
|
THIRD PARTY ERROR |
|
---------------------Allocate Undecided*----------------------- |
Gore |
Bush |
Nader |
Other |
Nader Error |
|
48% |
46% |
5.0% |
1% |
2% |
100% |
47% |
46% |
4.0% |
2% |
1% |
100% |
47% |
47% |
5.0% |
1% |
2% |
100% |
46% |
48% |
4.0% |
2% |
1% |
100% |
47% |
49% |
4.0% |
0% |
1% |
100% |
46% |
48% |
4.0% |
2% |
1% |
100% |
44% |
46% |
7.0% |
2% |
4% |
100% |
46% |
49% |
3.0% |
2% |
0% |
100% |
46% |
49% |
3.0% |
1% |
0% |
100% |
45% |
50% |
|
19 posted on
10/14/2004 4:26:14 PM PDT by
Rome2000
(The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
To: LS
Funny how Kerry seems to "gain" all the time---yet is always behind.Good point. His "surge" should have him about 8 points up.
25 posted on
10/14/2004 5:10:50 PM PDT by
Homer_J_Simpson
(Ho, Ho, Ho Chi Minh/Loves John Kerry so vote him in!)
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