Michigan now a dead heat in new poll

PR Newswire ^

[valleygal]

I aaw the very tail end of H&C lat night. A guy who wrote a book about Kerry said awhile back if Kerry is 5-6 points down in October he will win because he is a great "come from behind" finisher.

Then Hannity held up Kerry's "New Soldier" book, lol!

[finallyatexan]

I believe you are right - as I said the unions are not playing as big a role as they use to when I was growing up.

[ride the whirlwind]

I so want GWB to take this state as he has really been fighting for it. Am starting to see an increase in pro-Bush ads on tv....that ought to help.

[Dan from Michigan]

Inside Michigan Politics and conducted by Lansing-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc

I'm not that familiar with Marketing Resource group, but Inside Michigan Politics is Bill Ballenger who is a straight shooter.

And if it's 36-30 weighted dem, that's REALLY bad news.

[Dan from Michigan]

My Detroit surban neighborhood was filled with Gore signs in 2000, this

Where at if I may ask? Downriver, West Wayne, Macomb or Oakland?

[Dan from Michigan]

Gore won Wayne County (Detroit and its environs) by 227,000 votes.

Actually, it was worse. Gore won Wayne by 307,393 and Detroit alone by 266423.

[kabar]

I stand corrected. You are right. I shouldn't do the math in my head.

[PilloryHillary]

"Where at if I may ask? Downriver, West Wayne, Macomb or Oakland?"

Livonia/Wayne County

[Dan from Michigan]

Yes but what is the poll in Macomb County???
A couple of months back, an EPIC(dem lean) poll had Bush with 60% in Macomb and Kerry with 60% in Oakland.

I think both are inflated, but if Bush can break 53% in Macomb(moving to the right) and go even up in Oakland(treading much more liberal dem), he's got it if he can hold Kerry to a somewhat narrow win downriver.

While getting a big West MI, NW MI, Lapeer, Livingston, and the exurban parts of Oakland(Milford, Lyon, Orion, Oxford) and Macomb(Romeo, Shelby) out to the polls.

[Dan from Michigan]

Have the demographics changed in Michigan since 2000?

A little.

Good - Detroit, Flint, Downriver, Westland, Warren, Lansing, Saginaw, Bay City, Marquette, and I think Muskegon are SHRINKING.
Bad - Southfield and Ann Arbor Growing. Oakland treading more left.
Good - Livingston(bad since I'm country, good politicaly), West MI, Traverse County, Lapeer, Macomb(going more right), and North Michigan growing rapidly.

[Dan from Michigan]

I think Texas(Dallas area especially) and Florida (Tampa, Manatee, Lakeland) is becoming Michigan South.....

[Dan from Michigan]

We are in the People's Republic of Livonia

Livonia a People's Republic? Bush and Posthumus both won it.

[dufekin]

Actually, "on our turf" is exactly where the Democrats prefer to play against the terrorists. When last that occurred, we should not forget, three thousand people perished on American soil. In order to expedite the bringing of the war to our turf--whose populous would be disarmed, both civilians and military--Kerry would beseech the Congress to declare wars against various enemies of the United States. France would join us in eventual surrender. Aha, I think I've finally discerned Kerry's no-flip-flop foreign-policy plan. Oh, yeah, and I disagree with it too.

[finallyatexan]

Why did you put Flint in the Good column? This is a city that voted for a Democrat Mayor 2 times that was so bad and corrupt he put the city into a deficit so bad the State had to take over. UofM Flint profs all Dems - Trial lawyers in upscale old city all Dems - overwhelming black population all Dems - 85% of city population union. As far as the burbs - Grand Blanc solid Republican - Burton Dem - Davison Dem - Fenton Rep. - Swartz Creek Dem Flushing 1/2 and 1/2 Mt. Morris Dem Clio Dem

[Dan from Michigan]

Flint's shrinking in population. THAT's good.

[finallyatexan]

Your name rings familiar - do you do alot with Republicans in Flint - Detroit area

[freedumb2003]

Flint's shrinking in population. THAT's good.

Is Mark Farner still there?

[MichelleWSC]

I don't know...would be nice if true but you have to admit most polls show Bush behind in MI.

[Dan from Michigan]

Is Mark Farner still there?

I'm not sure.

[Dan from Michigan]

I'm active mostly in Livingston County and the Lansing area.