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Posted on 09/15/2004 2:15:58 PM PDT by dwills
Bush Makes Slight Gains on Some Measures But Suffers Among Persuadable Voters, Annenberg Data Show
George W. Bush made slight gains from the Republican National Convention on two important comparisons with John Kerry among the general public. But his standing among persuadable voters may be worse now than it was in August, the University of Pennsylvania’s National Annenberg Election Survey shows.
...
There were indications in the data that Bush had received a short-term “bounce” from the convention, but on some measures it was dissipating last week. For example, approval of his handling of the presidency was in the mid-fifties when the latest polling began, but then declined.
Another Bush decline may have been more directly tied to news events. From September 3 through 6, the first four days of interviewing, 52 percent of respondents said they believed he had fulfilled his obligation to the Texas Air National Guard. But in the six days of polling that began September 7, when CBS News reported on documents it said showed his commanding officer believed he had shirked his duties, just 46 percent said they felt Bush had met his obligation. Belief among Republicans dropped from 82 to 75 percent; among independents the decline was from 47 to 40 percent. Only 23 percent of Democrats believed Bush in each period.
Among all 2,385 registered voters, Kerry’s standing slipped slightly, compared to the weeks before the Republican convention. In August, after the Democatic convention, 45 percent had a favorable opinion of him while 36 percent had an unfavorable opinion. In the September polling, 43 percent were favorable and 41 percent unfavorable.
But among the persuadables, who make up about 16 percent of all registered voters, opinion of Kerry actually improved. In August, 36 percent of persuadables had a favorable opinion and 26 percent an unfavorable one. In the latest polling, 43 percent were favorable and 25 percent unfavorable.
When the same question was asked about Bush, the changes were not statistically significant. In August, 50 percent had a favorable view and 40 percent an unfavorable view. In the September polling, 52 percent were favorable and 38 percent unfavorable.
There was no statistically significant change in the rating of Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism, a central theme of the Republican convention. He maintained a strong, 55 percent approve, 41 percent disapprove rating in the Sept. 3-12 polling. In the August 9-29 polling, 53 percent had approved and 44 percent disapproved.
But there was an increase in the percentage who agreed with his view that the war in Iraq had reduced the risk of terrorism. In the entire sample, that went from 29 percent to 36 percent, although 53 percent still disagreed, down from 59 percent in August.
Among all respondents, there was no real change on the economy. Bush’s own rating for handling the economy was basically unchanged among all respondents. In the latest polling, 46 percent approved and 52 percent disapproved. In August, 45 percent approved and 51 percent disapproved.
Nor was there any change in how the economy is perceived. In September, as in August, 27 percent said the national economy was excellent or good, while 73 percent said it was only fair or poor.
But among persuadable voters, the percent saying it was excellent or good declined from 19 percent to 13 percent. And the percentage disapproving of Bush’s handling of the economy increased from 54 to 63 percent.
Not buying it. "Slight" gains? I wouldn't call the post-convention bounce slight. It's hugh.
And the President "suffers", no less. But it's Annenberg, which if memory serves has connections to PBS. :)
headline could of read more people trust bush on terror then in august but that would be fair and they dont want that
ciao
w2004
bttt
Persuadable Voters..I think that's where GWB got his convention bounce after the pollsters told us there would
be no bounce because almost everyone's mind was already made up.
Since Dan tried reaching the undecided by fraud.
This article tells me Fn's bleeding has not yet stopped. If it truly had, they would have had much stronger evidence available than this.
That is not what the polls and focus groups conducted by Karl Rove show.
That's a new one to me, too.
What this story doesn't tell you is how many of the "persuadable" voters have now moved into the "committed to Bush" column.
In other words, if there was a big move among the persuadables to Bush, ironically it would be reported as "the [remaining] persuadables favor Kerry."
BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!
I suggest that these guys go on the FR and read the posts just above and just below this one.
frenchie is sooooooo over!
Bush Suffers Among "Persuadable" Voters - should read Bush Suffers Among "sheeple" Voters
since nuance entered the campaign tactic lexicon.
The DNC plan was to show a huge bush bound (hence oversamplning of republicans after the convention) and then using Operation fortunate Son, show the "momentum" was with kerry. (Gasp Memos! Gasp the Secretary who typed them! Gasp new commercials!)
HOWEVER, since their internal polling is showing an actual SHIFT and not a bounce, (and Operation Fortunate Son blowing up in their faces ala Butterfinger Cleland) the DNC is reduced to finding a trend in any nuance they can claim.
Remember they lead guy was a DUKAKIS -IhaveA20POINT LEAD- STAFFER!
When losing among known categories, invent new ones!
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