Posted on 08/25/2004 7:14:55 PM PDT by RWR8189
Political Wire got an advance look at the new Los Angeles Times poll showing President Bush "moving slightly" ahead of Sen. John Kerry "for the first time this year." Bush had the support of 49% of registered voters, compared to 46% for Kerry.
The newspaper's analysis indicates Kerry "has been nicked by attacks on his service in Vietnam."
The "small shift" from last month's poll "is within the poll's margin of error. But it fits with other findings in the Times Poll showing the electorate edging toward Bush over the past month on a broad range of measures, from support for his handling of Iraq to confidence in his leadership and honesty."
Independent voters split evenly, but Bush's "tentative new advantage" seems to be "his greater success at onsolidating his base. While just 3% of voters who call themselves Republicans say they will vote for Kerry, Bush is drawing 15% just over one-seventh of all Democrats, and fully one-fifth 20% of Democrats who consider themselves moderate or conservative, the poll found."
This is about a lot more than the Swift Vets. Kerry has been losing ground since his convention. Voters don't like him, and they're beginning to conclude that maybe President Bush hasn't been doing such a bad job on Iraq and the economy.
So:
- Kerry/Bush split independents evenly (however LAT defines evenly)
- Kerry gets only 3% of Republican votes
- Bush gets 15% of Democrat votes
And the final result is only 49%-46% for Bush?
I wonder how they weighted Democrats and Republicans in this poll..
The media is not reporting his next sentence in the conversation:
O'Neill: "I was on the Cambodian border."
He clarified this on Hannity the other night!
your hero Pat Buchanan backs up the Swifties 100%
He doesn't appear to have a consistent story. First he said that he was there, then he said that he was only a hundred yards from the border. Then he said he was no farther than 50 miles from the border. He sounds about as inconsistent as Kerry himself.
Is this nation wide or one state...
The newspaper's analysis indicates Kerry "has been nicked by attacks on his service in Vietnam."
"Nicked"??!! LOL!
How much was Kerry up in this poll last time? I thought they had him up by 7 point or so. If that is the case, then this is a massive 10 point swing! Don't worry about the state polls and the current EV count. First most of these public state polls are not even as accurate as the national slime polls. Secondly, as we have seen all year, the state polls "lag" the nationals by about 3 weeks. Expect Bush to pull a significant lead of 5-7 points across most of the polls by mid-sept. It may tighten back again due to the debates. But could go even more Bush if Kerry does pretty bad, which I expect he will do. Bush needs to have some snappy and memorable lines to throw at Kerry. Something like "Mr Kerry, if you can't handle a group of former shipmates, how can you handle OBL?". Something like the famous Reagan or Bensen lines.
All I know is Kerry is one big, whiny baby P----! Now he wants Ashcroft to look into it!?!?! Barbra Streisand! He is doing nothing but slinging mud all around, sticking it to everyone. Typical Democrat loser response. THEY ARE DOING THIS TOO! Yet Kerry, like Mike Dukaka back in '88 when Willie Horton came to light, is crying- literally- foul! What a wimp!
Wait until the POW Documentary comes out.... John Kerry will be on life support
People will share books.....and gooks should be arriving this week in 5-7 days.
If the Swifties drop another bomb in October like what is rumored, it will blow up again.
The books will do enough to keep it going, though it will drop for awhile during the GOP convention unless more dirt keeps being dredged up on these guys, in which case the GOP convention may not get as much coverage as it normally would. I hope the convention gets its coverage.
LOL You nailed it. We are so ready to believe the lying scum when it's something we want to hear.
With you. They've redone the "Hilton."
I think this whole 527 collusion thing is too inside-baseball for the average voter. I mean, Joe Sizpack knows that democrat groups support democrats and republican groups support republicans! Big deal! To the average man on the street, the fact that someone contributed to an outside campaign but also is friends with someone in the Bush campaign is totally meaningless. And the bottom line is, the democrats are wasting all this ammunition about 527 connections and most people either don't get it or don't care.
Stowaways?
Will he get a Purple Heart for it?
Well let's give the man another purple heart, this seems even more serious than the wounds he received in Vietnam!
As to the effectiveness or bump from convention-coverage--I think SWIFTIES DO IT BETTER.
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