Courage,
We can't assume anything, but perhaps you can chin up your attitude, because the Bush victory is on its way...
Bush is preferred among those who attach high import to honesty and trustworthiness (50% for Bush vs. 29% for Kerry) and strong leadership (64% Bush vs. 27% Kerry).
Kerry is preferred 70%-18% among those who place high importance on understanding complex issues, and empathy "cares about people like me" (76% Kerry and 17% Bush).
Sums it up just about right.
That, my FRiends, is the ticket. Right there. Bush voters are voting for Bush, for the most part, but Kerry voters can't stand Poodle Boy either, they're simply voting against W.
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JF'nK should pick up his old guitar and pick and sing his new campaign song --
"I Washed My Hands In Muddy Water"
This election is not going to be close.
Bush will gain a bounce (though small) from his convention. Something Kerry never did get. From there Bush will maintain and possibly grow a lead. The Debates Bush will stay on message and Kerry will still be searching for what his message is. When the Debate moderator asks Kerry, "Senator, once you are elected and the campaign is over you theortically have to stop running against George Bush and governing the country. You have yet to tell us how you would do this..." It's over for Kerry.
On election night don't be surprised if Bush has been declared the winner before we know the results in any of the prairie/mountain west states. Unlike 2000 this election could be over by 10 PM central time.
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Remember there are two months left. Also, the US people by and large have a brain shelf life (a tolerance) of stories lasting about three weeks. After that, they get "tired of it". They "want to switch the channel". Kerry knows the American people's sentiment and short attention span. If he concludes he can win on this one, he will hope to let time wear it away and let it die down, like Clinton. Where they can't attack, they will either change the subject or let people's patience erode it for them.
ACCORDINGLY, IMHO, The Swiftboats has the potential for becoming overkill, the biggest damage is done in August/September, kerry is forgiven and forgotten in October, and in November comes up and surpasses Bush. So whatever the Swiftees have under their caps on Kerry and The 'Nam, I'd stretch it out a bit, and save plenty of it for about the final week of OCTOBER.
Thanks for posting, Courage.
This is very encouraging -- counteracts some of the doom and gloom posted elsewhere.
The Swiftees have truth on their side.
Well, COURAGE,
Aren't you going to ask the flamers for an apology? After all, this is an encouraging post.
A few more posts like these, and you'll have your critics silenced.
Way to go.
Here is another group - a very broad group - who have been swayed by the SwiftVets revelations. That 45-45 split will not be seen the next time IBD asks this question. Their entrance into the campaign also affects these groups:
The IBD/TIPP Poll shows that the candidate qualities that matter most to Americans in selecting their president are "honesty and trustworthiness" (23%), "strong leadership" (21%) and "good judgment in crisis" (17%).
These are not transient qualities we're talking about, and the erosion of sKerry is not going to be transient. It is a result of the people finally coming to understand who this guy is in truth. sKerry is toast... and I love the smell of this smoke...
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YESSS!!!