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Bush seen gaining in key states
Washington Times ^ | 15AUG04 | Donald Lambro

Posted on 08/14/2004 11:22:30 PM PDT by familyop

The presidential contest in the battleground states that likely will decide the election tilted in Sen. John Kerry's favor after the Democratic National Convention, but Republicans say the race is now shifting back toward President Bush.

Public polling by newspapers and other news organizations showed that the Massachusetts senator got a modest 5-point post-convention bounce that strengthened the edge he held in a number of major competitive states, including Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio and New Hampshire — a shift that Bush campaign officials acknowledged in background interviews last week.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2004; battleground; bush; convention; democrat; election; florida; kerry; kerrybounce; lambro; ohio; poll; republican; states; voters; w; wisconsin
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1 posted on 08/14/2004 11:22:31 PM PDT by familyop
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To: familyop

Stop! Stop! You're making me giddy!


2 posted on 08/14/2004 11:25:40 PM PDT by dr_who_2
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To: familyop

I could have sworn I saw stories on TV today that Kerry has surged in Florida and Pennsylvania.

I think I'm going to stop reading all polls, it's making me dizzy (grin). I just pray this story has it right!


3 posted on 08/14/2004 11:29:00 PM PDT by GOPrincess
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To: TonyRo76

from the article:

"No state is more important than Ohio, a state that Mr. Bush won narrowly in 2000 but has been struggling in all year. Mr. Kerry held the edge there for months, but last week a Columbus Dispatch poll showed him trailing the president 47 percent to 44 percent, with 2 percent for Ralph Nader and 7 percent undecided. The poll's margin of error was two percentage points. "


4 posted on 08/14/2004 11:30:56 PM PDT by staytrue
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To: GOPrincess

The media find one poll showing Kerry ahead by one percentage point, and they report "Kerry Surging!"


5 posted on 08/14/2004 11:32:38 PM PDT by My2Cents (http://www.conservativesforbush.com)
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To: familyop

Wisconsin? Iowa? I'm salivating...


6 posted on 08/14/2004 11:33:00 PM PDT by Lexinom
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To: dr_who_2

It's OK to be giddy as long as you still get out there and hustle for voters. Make sure everyone you know is registered and that they'll vote for Bush. Just give them the facts, they'll do the rest.


7 posted on 08/14/2004 11:33:35 PM PDT by McGavin999 (If Kerry can't deal with the "Republican Attack Machine" how is he going to deal with Al Qaeda)
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To: familyop

I hope my nerves are strong enough to make it to Nov. 2.


8 posted on 08/14/2004 11:34:35 PM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson (Ho Ho Ho Chi Minh/Loves John Kerry so vote him in!)
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To: familyop
Bush gaining.. Momentum :-)

U.S. Democratic presidential nominee Senator John Kerry (news - web sites) (D-MA) makes comments to the media on Hurricane Charlie which hit South Florida on August 13, while he visited with people on the beach in Hood River Oregon, August 14, 2004. Kerry was visiting the area to windsurf on the Columbia River before traveling for his vacation in Sun Valley Idaho after completing a two week coast to coast campaign swing in Portland, Oregon on August 13. Lack of wind kept Kerry off the water. REUTERS/Mike Segar US ELECTION


Lack of coming clean about Xmas in Cambodia, 'Nam before and after he "served" there and then testified in front of congress and his wifes support of leftists terroristic domestic and international groups may not be doing much to help either, ya think? ;-)

9 posted on 08/14/2004 11:34:58 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Proud member of the FR Special Ops manuremovers crew .. moving manure&opinion since '96)
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To: familyop
No president has lost re-election when his approval ******s were above 50 percent at this point in the campaign.

That is the key. Good news.

10 posted on 08/14/2004 11:36:22 PM PDT by RockinRight (Liberalism IS the status quo)
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To: staytrue

Ray Fair, the Yale Economist, who based on economic models has accurately predicted the presidential elections has been saying that the President will win by a landslide. Ray Fair is a Democrat.


11 posted on 08/14/2004 11:36:56 PM PDT by Merry
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To: NormsRevenge

12 posted on 08/14/2004 11:37:21 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hitlery: das Butch von Buchenvald)
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To: familyop
Displays such as these below may help as well.

Rasp Thorne, a theatrical performer, is pictured with an American flag noosed around his neck at an alternative arts block party in the Williamsburg section of Brooklyn in New York August 14, 2004. The block party was held in protest of the Bush administration and the upcoming Republican National Convention in New York at the end of the month. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton


A young boy spins the wheel of characters at an alternative arts block party in the Williamsburg section of Brooklyn in New York, August 14, 2004. The block party was held in protest of the Bush administration and the upcoming Republican National Convention in New York at the end of the month. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

13 posted on 08/14/2004 11:40:30 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Proud member of the FR Special Ops manuremovers crew .. moving manure&opinion since '96)
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To: PhilDragoo

Ya think Kerry turned on, tuned in , and dropped out in the 60s?


14 posted on 08/14/2004 11:42:42 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Proud member of the FR Special Ops manuremovers crew .. moving manure&opinion since '96)
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To: familyop
"Battleground state polling numbers tend to lag somewhat from the national data so that the bounce that Kerry got a week after the convention is now being seen in the state polls. So where the race had the president slightly up in Florida, Kerry is up a few points there and up similarly in other battleground states," a Bush campaign official acknowledged.

So news travels slower in battleground states? I'd say that's as weak an answer as Kerry's one about Cambodia. All Florida polls will be old news now that Charley has cut a swath through the state. And the other polls don't look great at this point but I've said all along this would be the low-water mark and that he would (barring unforseen difficulties) inch his way back into a lead outside the MOE by November.

Keep in mind, though, that the media is always going to portray a tight race because they want the horse race for their own benefit (audience).

15 posted on 08/14/2004 11:44:23 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Let's REALLY Split The Country! (www.righteverytime3.blogspot.com))
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President George W. Bush (news - web sites) holds up a crying baby during a campaign rally in Sioux City, Iowa August 14, 2004. Bush wrapped up a five-day campaign swing with a rally in the battleground state of Iowa on Saturday and scheduled a quick trip to Florida to survey hurricane damage in a state he needs to win in the November election. Photo by Kevin Lamarque/Reuters


16 posted on 08/14/2004 11:45:59 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi .. Proud member of the FR Special Ops manuremovers crew .. moving manure&opinion since '96)
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To: staytrue
I live in Ohio and I really think it's going to vote for Bush. I know a few people who support sKerry, but the majority around here are for Bush.
17 posted on 08/14/2004 11:46:54 PM PDT by bushinohio
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To: staytrue

Sorry PA is much more important.


18 posted on 08/14/2004 11:49:44 PM PDT by fatima (My Granddaughter Karen is Home-WOOHOO We unite with all our troops and send our love-)
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To: familyop

Was on the WWVA (Wheeling WV) web site little bit ago and their presidential poll had Bush 68, Kerry 22, Pioli 8,--
Don't know what happened to the other 2% as they only gave 3 choices...I DO NOT think it only allows you to vote once either--
Before you get too carried away, WWVA is the Rush/Shawn/Truckin Bozo outlet also....


19 posted on 08/14/2004 11:51:53 PM PDT by xrmusn
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To: McGavin999

"It's OK to be giddy as long as you still get out there and hustle for voters. Make sure everyone you know is registered and that they'll vote for Bush. Just give them the facts, they'll do the rest."

Exactly! Kerry is making a lot of promises to whomever has their hand out. As previous postings have suggested, this election will be won "on the ground"...that is, whoever can register the most voters on their side and convince them to vote.

By the way, Arizona has moved into the battleground state territory and the footsoldiers for the left are making the rounds where more than half of the state's population lives (Phoenix, which recently passed Pittsburgh in population)




20 posted on 08/14/2004 11:58:31 PM PDT by Susannah (Kerry has a flexible message--it changes with each campaign stop and audience.)
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