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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: RedBloodedAmerican

Be safe my friend and ping me when you are back on line and safe again.

Of all nights to be going out to dinner....dang it all.


1,041 posted on 08/13/2004 1:14:28 PM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: Constitution Day

Looks like, even with Alex hitting while we were there, you and I picked the better weeks to go to the OBX.


1,042 posted on 08/13/2004 1:14:36 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (www.wardsmythe.com)
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To: jayef

Just got off the CELL PHONE with my lady .... she is on Marco Island .... no power but the sky is clearing up. She said it wasn't that bad ....


1,043 posted on 08/13/2004 1:14:40 PM PDT by clamper1797 (This Vietnam Vet is NOT Fonda kerry)
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To: ApesForEvolution

Ain't that the truth. Some other moron standing under a tree commenting on all the limbs on the ground...more balls than brains.


1,044 posted on 08/13/2004 1:14:41 PM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: Damocles

Darwin award nominee doing his live report under a tree..


1,045 posted on 08/13/2004 1:14:46 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Howlin

I saw that posted too: voluntary SC evacs.


1,046 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:00 PM PDT by Petronski (I am become death, destroyer of worlds.)
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To: mykdsmom; Tax-chick
Yep. Liberal hurricane!

FReep Cancelled Due to Hurricane Charley

1,047 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:03 PM PDT by Constitution Day (;^))
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To: samantha

See, if I would live in Florida (and I might for a couple years to get the expeience just despite the horrid humid summers with awful bugs), I would live inland a couple hours from the ocean. It would just be a bit of a drive to get to the beach.


1,048 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:05 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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To: Tiger28
Looks like Tampa might be spared.


1,049 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:05 PM PDT by Hillary's Lovely Legs (Yep, Laura Bush mispronounced my name, but I got over it.)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican

Be well, chief! Catch ya on the other side!


1,050 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:18 PM PDT by mhking
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To: Howlin

Haven't heard that yet - been flipping between Fox, Weather Channel and local news....I'm only about 1/2 mile inland...getting somewhat nervous.


1,051 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:21 PM PDT by 2nd amendment mama (Can The Ban - let the AWB sunset • www.2asisters.org • www.cantheban.net)
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To: gopwinsin04

Who's the idiot doing that?


1,052 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:22 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: clamper1797

Glad to hear your report. I pray that all stay safe and head for higher ground.


1,053 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:37 PM PDT by SuperSonic (R)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Absolutely! You know, I was just thinking about that too.


1,054 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:44 PM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: mhking

I was expecting a scene from 'Twister' there..


1,055 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:45 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Howlin

Hope you're far enough inland you'll be okay. We're going out to dinner at 6:30 and how I wish we hadn't made plans tonight.


1,056 posted on 08/13/2004 1:15:54 PM PDT by Peach (The Clinton's pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: oceanview
I grew up on the north shore, I love Jones beach! This one might come your way. Here is a good model site to keep an eye on things

http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

1,057 posted on 08/13/2004 1:16:22 PM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: Pyro7480

Hey, look at me-im right underneath a tree during a hurricane!


1,058 posted on 08/13/2004 1:16:25 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Damocles
The reporter in Charlotte Harbor better look out when the storm surge moves back in...

Looking at the way the hurricane moving up along the west shore of Charlotte Harbor, that's the absolute *worst* case scenario for forcing an enormous storm surge up the Harbor and flooding the city...

1,059 posted on 08/13/2004 1:16:32 PM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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Local news in Fla: "Very healthy hurricane"


1,060 posted on 08/13/2004 1:16:38 PM PDT by Constitution Day
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