Kerry is toast, hold the mayo, hold the Hope. (note the toaster lever is in the shape of a cross.) .... ;)
Posted on 08/02/2004 8:54:08 AM PDT by Nascardude
Monday August 02, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
Today is the first Tracking Poll data based entirely upon interviews conducted after John Kerry's speech at the Democratic National Convention. The results reflect a one-point improvement for the Kerry/Edwards ticket. That's well within the survey margin of error and also reflects a two-point net decline from the poll results immediately prior to Kerry's speech.
One week ago today, the last Tracking Poll before the convention began showed Kerry and Bush tied at 46% each. Just before his speech, Kerry was leading 48% to 45%.
When comparing the convention "bounce" measured by various polling organizations, the timing of the polls must be taken into account. At Rasmussen Reports, we track the race daily while other organizations do so more sporadically.
If we compare the same polling nights as Gallup's pre-and post convention polls, Rasmussen Reports data shows that Kerry had a negative bounce of one-point during that time frame. Our data also shows a slight negative bounce over the time frame measured by Newsweek.
Later today, at 3:00 p.m. Eastern, we will release data showing if ideological perceptions of Kerry and Edwards shifted following the Democratic Convention. Before the festivities in Boston, 41% of voters saw John Kerry as politically moderate and 43% saw him as liberal.
Also at 3:00, we will provide our weekly update on who voters believe is winning the War on Terror. We will also look at who voters believe is a better leader--George Bush or John Kerry.
Beginning tomorrow, and continuing throughout the week, we will release a new wave of Rasmussen Reports state election polls to update our Electoral College projections. Currently, we show Kerry with a modest lead, 227-208. There are 103 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.
Supplemental data is available for
RR Premium Members.
Learn about Premium Membership
Our latest update shows that voters remain evenly divided between Kerry and Bush when it comes to the economy. Bush retains a very modest advantage on the issues of national defense and the War on Terror. Results on both issues are essentially unchanged over the past week and will be updated again next week.
Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters say it is more important to insure that Iraq becomes a peaceful nation enjoying freedom and democracy than to bring home our troops as soon as possible. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 39% take the opposite view and believe that bringing home the troops is a higher priority.
"I'm Bill Clinton and I'm reporting for booty!"
LMAO!
But isn't that what power mulchers are for? (best toothy smile)
and take Dean down with you... you libearl leftist party
I think Kerry had a rather large boost from his speech, but it was countered by Bush's throwing a perfect spiral. If Kerry wants to stay in the race, he's got to sink a hole-in-one or else hit three home runs in a playoff game.
**Just before his speech, Kerry was leading 48% to 45%.
Monday August 02, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%.**
So Kerry is down two points.
Darn, I predicted four or five by the weekend/Monday!
**Just before his speech, Kerry was leading 48% to 45%.
Monday August 02, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%.**
So Kerry is down two points.
Darn, I predicted four or five by the weekend/Monday!
LOL - that is truly witty!
The CBS Poll has Kerry up 49-43. Their July 11-12 poll was Kerry 49-44. In the polling world, CBS is infamous for oversampling Democrats. SOmetimes by 10 points or more. I don't see how The Kerry people can see this as anything but bad news.
Wow, the news just keeps getting better and better. That said, we've got to be careful not to get complacent. What Bush's team really needs is for consistant grass-roots support and for the base to stay highly motivated. As well as things are going, we would do well to remember that even with good numbers, it's not going to be an easy race.
Could you provide more detail? Do you have information suggesting the Post is about to come out with a poll that is very favorable to Kerry?
The Newsweak poll also oversampled Democrats. More generally, there are very few national polls that I now trust. Gallup is still one of them -- they are at the national level what Mason Dixon and a few other independent firms are at the state by state level. I also still trust the poll that AP uses. I used to trust the ABC/Washington Post poll as well, but this year they have started to cook their polls, ususally by oversampling Democrats and Independents at the expense of Republicans. Now one can safely disregard this poll, the CBS/NYT "poll," and the LA Times "poll." As for Zogby, I wouldn't even call what he does as polling.
My first thought was amazement that there are so many people smoking pot. But then I realize it had to be something else:
"But the part that scared me was the ETHER..There is nothing so depraved as a man in the depths of an ether binge".
From the comments regarding Kerry's speech, that sums it up.
Check the ABCNews website "The Note" on politics, I fully expect it to show Kerry + 10 or more and it will become "the poll" that EVERYONE regardless of their affiliation to networks to quote as the bible on the bounce.
Expect Dem talking points of all talk shows tonight to lead their comments referring to this poll only.
The president should call on Kerry to give a televised speech everyday until election day.
"...think of the kid and the dyke and there is a hole in the dyke...."
I believe the word you want is DIKE. (Your post is pretty funny as is, but I suspect the humor wasn't intentional...)
Before the festivities in Boston, 41% of voters saw John Kerry as politically moderate
Um.. what planet do THOSE people live on?
Kerry is toast, hold the mayo, hold the Hope. (note the toaster lever is in the shape of a cross.) .... ;)
It's really hard to sell a pig in a poke, even with the lamestream media doing the marketing.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.