Poll: Kerry loses ground after being
dissed by Marines
Posted on 08/01/2004 4:28:28 PM PDT by demlosers
Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) -- They say there's no sure thing in politics. However, a party's presidential candidate is supposed to receive a bounce in the polls after the national convention. Yet, a new national poll shows Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry losing ground to President Bush.
A Gallup poll sponsored by USA Today and CNN reveals that the Democratic convention failed to give John Kerry the temporary bump in the polls he expected. The survey showed Kerry and John Edwards behind President Bush and Dick Cheney 50 to 46 percent among likely voters.
A similar poll taken just before the convention had Kerry in the lead 47 to 46 percent.
The poll did find voters' perceptions of Kerry on key leadership and election issues improving and it was within the poll's 4-point margin of error. However, it is the first Gallup poll since 1972 showing a presidential candidate losing popular support in the wake of his political convention.
"Clearly there is no convention bounce for Kerry," Gallup said in a statement accompanying the results.
Among registered voters, Kerry holds a 50 to 47 percent advantage, but polls of likely voters are normally better predictors of the outcome.
If independent candidate Ralph Nader is included in the vote tally, Bush continues to lead Kerry by four points among likely voters. Among registered voters, with Nader in the race, Bush and Kerry tie at 47 percent apiece.
A survey taken by Newsweek seemed to confirm the lack of a convention bounce.
Taken Thursday and Friday, the poll found Kerry and Edwards with a 49 to 42 percent lead over the president. That puts Kerry only four percentage points higher than he was in a pre-convention poll Newsweek conducted weeks ago and is the smallest convention bounce ever measured by a Newsweek poll.
Gallup representatives told USA Today that they plan to lengthen the survey through Sunday to determine why Kerry lost ground during the convention.
According to Gallup, "an analysis of convention bounces since 1950 shows that on average, among registered voters, the Democratic candidate received approximately a seven-point increase in support following the convention."
After Democratic conventions, the Republican candidate normally loses about five percentage points, Gallup said.
The article is confusing. The 47/47 toss up is for likely voters, while the 50/47 with Ralph is with registered voters.
Without Ralph, likely voters are 50/46 for Bush. So Ralph leaving adds 3 points to Bush's total and 1 point to Kerry's.
The Kerry people are doing everything they can to alienate and demonize the Naderites. If I were a Nader supporter, and Kerry sued to keep him off my ballot, I'd vote Bush out of spite.
Doesn't his poll have his job approval?
After last week's Democratic Circus, I've come to my own conclusion -
Bush's platform: 9/11 and Islamic Terrorism
Kerry's platform: Vietnam and war protests
Poll: Kerry loses ground after being
dissed by Marines
He lost more ground when he messed with my Marines in Scranton, Pennsylvania.
Yessir, putting Michael Moore up in the Presidential box next to Jimmy Carter. That was a good idea.
Bumper sticker design -
Kerry: Scarrier Than Y2K
at http://www.conservativeimage.com/kerry.jpg
How do you upload a picture onto a FR post?
I just hope Bush talks more about himself and his plan than talking about Kerry at the Republican Convention.
I'm not sure if Kerry has jumped the shark yet but certainly this week was the beginning of a vigorous crawl over the critter.
Cast your baloons in November !
Looks like Kerry is peaking 3 months too early.
The ABB(anybody but Bush)slogan has hit a speed bump.
Kerry is worse than death.
I have talk to two republican friends who are upset with Bush about the bugdet and other stuff who had plan staying home on nov but are now planning to vote for him. Two worlds.
RON REGAN
Putting him up there might have backfired. That way republicnas are more motivated to vote.
Dems bank on the Machiavellian belief that people are stupid and can be lead around by the nose. Now that they don't have totally domination over the news people get, they're having a much rougher time pulling the wool over the sheep.
Where does CNN have the President's Job Approval?
perfect...
LOL, you have a wicked imagination! :) We'll never know, I suppose. The press won't admit it if another poll is even worse.
The arm-in-arm thing with the Johns, that does seem unusual. I don't recall any other team ever doing that. But it is understandable. Kerry doesn't trust Edwards on his own. Edwards loves to talk, considers himself real good at it, and has virtually no experience in what he'd be flapping his gums about. So he belongs under Kerry's wing; best position from which to slap a hand over his mouth. The last thing Kerry wants right now is for Edwards' inexperience to make headlines.
I saw that on Chris Wallace today. I was watching from a distance and didn't hear what they were saying, but my gaydar was going off like crazy. It kinda made me feel creepy.
When are the dems going to learn to just pick a real man for the job instead of pussies like Gore and Kerry and try to dress them up? They just end up making them look more like girly men. Maybe that appeals to their demographic, but it certainly doesn't win them elections.
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