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Earth-like planets may be more rare than thought
Nature Magazine ^ | 30 July 2004 | Philip Ball

Posted on 07/30/2004 11:12:50 AM PDT by PatrickHenry

We could be alone in the Universe after all. The discovery during the past decade of over a hundred planets around other stars has encouraged many scientists to think that habitable planets like ours might be common. But a recent study tells them to think again.

Martin Beer of the University of Leicester, UK, and co-workers argue that our Solar System may be highly unusual, compared with the planetary systems of other stars. In a preprint published on Arxiv1 [footnote's link in original article], they point out that the alien planets we have seen so far could have been formed by a completely different process from the one that formed ours. If that is so, says Beer, "there won't necessarily be lots of other Earths up there".

Most of the planets around other stars, known as extrasolar planets, are detected from the wobble that they induce in their own sun's motion. This wobble is caused by the gravitational tug of the planet on the star. Because stars are much bigger than planets, the effect is tiny, and it is only in the past decade that telescopes have been sensitive enough to detect it.

Even then, the wobble is detectable only for giant planets, which are those about as big as Jupiter, the bloated ball of gas in our Solar System. It is not possible at present to detect planets as small as the Earth.

Jupiter is not habitable: it is too cold, and is mostly composed of dense gas. And it is unlikely that extrasolar giant planets would support life either. But astronomers generally assume that if they detect such a planet in a distant solar system, it is likely to be accompanied by other, smaller planets. And maybe some of the smaller planets in these systems are just like Earth.

This is what Beer and colleagues now dispute. They say that the properties of almost all the known extrasolar planets are quite different from those of Jupiter.

Hot Jupiters

There are 110 of these extrasolar planets, at the latest count, and they are all between about a tenth and ten times as massive as Jupiter. Most of them are, however, much closer to their sun than Jupiter is to ours: they are known as 'hot Jupiters'. They also tend to have more elongated orbits than those of Jupiter and the Earth, both of which orbit the Sun on almost circular paths.

Ever since Copernicus displaced the Earth from the centre of the Universe, astronomers have tended to assume that there is nothing special about our place in the cosmos. But apparently our planetary system might not be so normal after all. Is it just chance that makes Jupiter different from other extrasolar planets? Beer and his colleagues suspect not.

They suggest that other planets were not formed by the same kind of process that produced our Solar System, so they might not have smaller, habitable companions.

Different recipes

The planets in our Solar System were put together from small pieces. The cloud of gas and dust that surrounded our newly formed Sun agglomerated into little pebbles, which then collided and stuck together to form rocky boulders and eventually mini-planets, called planetesimals. The coalescence of planetesimals created rocky planets such as Earth and Mars, and the solid cores of giant planets such as Jupiter, which then attracted thick atmospheres of gas.

But that is not the only way to make a solar system. Giant planets can condense directly out of the gaseous material around stars, collapsing under their own gravity. This process, which generates giant planets with a wide range of orbital radii and eccentricities, does not seem capable of producing the rocky planets seen in our own Solar System, which is why it has generally been ignored.

Yet it might account very nicely for the known extrasolar planets. "It wouldn't surprise me if there are two different ways that planetary systems are formed," Beer says. But how can we know if that is the case? "Probably the best way is just to gather more observations," says Beer. Only then can we know how unusual we really are.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: astronomy; cosmology; earth; planets; science; xplanets
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To: RUCKUS INC.

You've obviously never driven a Chevy Nova.


121 posted on 07/30/2004 4:46:00 PM PDT by thoughtomator (End the imperialist moo slime colonization of the West!)
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To: thoughtomator

Beatcha!


122 posted on 07/30/2004 4:47:40 PM PDT by null and void (Freedom is written with blood on the streets, not with ink in congress.)
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To: RUCKUS INC.
The more complex something is, the more random it is?

Yes, that could be said.

123 posted on 07/30/2004 4:47:52 PM PDT by RightWhale (Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and establish property rights)
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To: thoughtomator

OK, replace Chevy Nova with Ferrari. An Ferrari is more random than a Bike?


124 posted on 07/30/2004 4:54:27 PM PDT by RUCKUS INC. ("Wow, what a crapweasel." - Frank_Discussion)
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To: RightWhale

Why do you believe that?


125 posted on 07/30/2004 4:54:59 PM PDT by RUCKUS INC. ("Wow, what a crapweasel." - Frank_Discussion)
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To: null and void

Doh I must have skimmed right by that!


126 posted on 07/30/2004 4:55:27 PM PDT by thoughtomator (End the imperialist moo slime colonization of the West!)
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To: RUCKUS INC.

Depends on the driver... and your perspective!


127 posted on 07/30/2004 4:58:46 PM PDT by thoughtomator (John Kerry reporting for duty - making sure that nobody interferes with Hillary's run in 2008)
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To: RUCKUS INC.

It's not a belief. It had to do with organization and order. Something with more moving parts would have more degrees of freedom. More degrees of freedom implies more possible configurations at any given time which would lend itself to a stochastic approach.


128 posted on 07/30/2004 5:01:20 PM PDT by RightWhale (Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and establish property rights)
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To: RightWhale; Brett66; xrp; gdc314; sionnsar; anymouse; RadioAstronomer; NonZeroSum; jimkress; ...
Here is the thing, I believe in God, however, God did not just create us. He created a vast universe and to say we are alone is pure BS. The same people with same belief also claimed that the Earth was the center of the universe or the Earth is flat. We don't have the technology to find a Earth like planet yet. Once we do have the technology we will find other planets that is like Earth.


129 posted on 07/30/2004 5:52:24 PM PDT by KevinDavis (Let the meek inherit the Earth, the rest of us will explore the stars!)
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To: RightWingAtheist
The simpler an object or system is, the more likely it was designed precisely because it is far easier to do so, and allows for greater precision.

Maybe you and Ken Miller can discuss TTSS…

130 posted on 07/30/2004 5:57:20 PM PDT by Heartlander (How odd it is that anyone should not see that all observation must be for or against some view)
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To: ZULU
There is also the "moon factor" which impacts the earths tilt . . .

Just watched a program on the Science Channel about that this week. One astronomer made the point that without the moon the Earth would wobble/roll over on its "side" by perhaps as much as 30 or 40 degrees or more, and considering that a measly wobble of 1 degree was responsible for the creation of the Sahara Desert and mass migration of ancient humans, there is no way humans could have survived such climatological instability and evolved the way we have. It seems humans owe their existence to the moon and the extremely, EXTREMELY improbable type of collision that created it.

131 posted on 07/30/2004 6:15:43 PM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: TruthInExile
"No need to spend all that research money. All they had to do is read the Bible."

You mean like that part in Joshua where the the folks who wrote the Bible had the sun rotating around the earth?

132 posted on 07/30/2004 6:30:13 PM PDT by muir_redwoods
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To: ECM

I believe it was "privelidged planet", sorry if somebody already told you, i don't feel like looking,.


133 posted on 07/30/2004 6:31:48 PM PDT by Conservomax (There are no solutions, only trade-offs.)
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To: longshadow

Rare placemarker.


134 posted on 07/30/2004 6:32:19 PM PDT by PatrickHenry (Since 28 Oct 1999, #26,303, over 192 threads posted, and somehow never suspended.)
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To: PatrickHenry

There was a fairly good discussion here about 2 months ago:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1138670/posts


135 posted on 07/30/2004 6:35:04 PM PDT by Conservomax (There are no solutions, only trade-offs.)
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To: ECM
what "agenda" are you intimating?

Science threads normally devolve into the two camps.

My initial assumption you were referring to "Rare Earth" was based on your choice of the words "a few years back."

I merely observed after checking your profile, and past posts that you had never posted anything indicating that you were an adherent of either camp.

136 posted on 07/30/2004 8:06:07 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Tourette's syndrome is just a $&#$*!% excuse for poor *%$#** language skills.)
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To: RightWingAtheist

You are correct. A GOOGLE search on "Kolmogorov complexity" gives lots of information. Kolmogorov's version is the easiest to use.


137 posted on 07/30/2004 8:12:56 PM PDT by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: Bikers4Bush
All I know is that if space is infinite then there has to be at least one.

I know for a fact there is at least one earth-like planet.

(in fact, it happens to be in this very solar system)

138 posted on 07/30/2004 8:14:26 PM PDT by xm177e2 (Stalinists, Maoists, Ba'athists, Pacifists: Why are they always on the same side?)
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To: gitmo
Doesn't this last sentence invalidate the premise of the article?

Yes, it does.

139 posted on 07/30/2004 8:16:28 PM PDT by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: ECM


Rare Earth: Why Complex Life Is Uncommon in the Universe
by Peter Ward, Donald Brownlee

This is my current read, already changed my whole outlook on this topic.
140 posted on 07/30/2004 8:35:16 PM PDT by Spirochete
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