Posted on 07/29/2004 5:47:46 PM PDT by ohioWfan
President and Mrs. Bush emerged from their Crawford, Texas ranch today (looking rested and ready to go) via Air Force One from Waco to Washington, and will begin a Midwest campaign blitz Friday, including visits to Ohio, Missouri and Michigan in just one day. Today he led a video conferencing meeting with his working group regarding the 9/11 Commission report, and is making plans to implement the changes they deem necessary, some by executive order, possibly as early as next week. The President also issued Executive Orders lifting the sanctions on Iraq due to the ‘removal of the regime of Saddam Hussein and other developments.’
Whitehouse.gov also did us a BIG favor today, by posting a series of Presidential pictures from the past which I will post for your enjoyment!
The Democrat lunacy is almost over and it‘s another good day to be a Bushbot, so enjoy your trip to Sanity Island on the Daily Dose!
LOL! Convention?? I don't know nothin about no convention.....
We need to be mentally prepared for the biased media projections/polling that will transpire beginning late tonight.
Here's what we can expect and here's how we should respond (I posted part of this analysis on last night's DOSE):
. . many have asked me if I think Kerry will experience a post-convention bounce. My answer is an emphatic YES -- the left-leaning news organizations, who hire the pollsters, will 'make it so' (to use a Star Trek turn of phrase).
Prediction: CBSNews/NYTimes and Gallup/USAToday/CNN will take the requisite one night 'flash' polls immediately following Kerry's speech -- these polls will use weighting formulas guaranteed to give Kerry an immediate 8-15 point bounce.
ALL media outlets will then repeat these worthless 'flash' poll results incessantly for at least a week, by which time all of the other pollsters will have conducted their quickie 2-3 day polls. . . and, surprise, surprise, these polls will also find that Kerry has experienced a bounce, probably in the range of 5-8 points.
Should we take these polls seriously? NO! . . . for the reasons stated above and the reasons noted below:
1.) This is shaping up to be a VERY unique election cycle with historical similarities closer to the elections involving Lincoln and Truman than contests involving contemporary incumbents! For this reason, polling benchmarks comparing approval ratings/match-up rankings vis-a-vis specific dates are becoming more and more irrelevant.
2.) Contemporary pollsters/polling methodologies have become increasingly PARTISAN and UNRELIABLE. Why?
PARTISAN:
Contemporary pollsters (virtually all of whom are now affiliated with left-leaning news organizations) are brazenly overweighting their polls to benefit Democrats.
Currently, Democrats benefit from a 'weighted' advantage ranging from +4 (Rasmussen) to +14 (CBSNews/NYTimes).
FYI: It's not surprising that the recent ABCNews/WashingtonPost produced positive data relative to President Bush. WHY? Because INS, the pollster who conducted this poll, FAIRLY weighted the polling sample:
34% Democrat 33% Republican 29% Independents 4% Refused.
UNRELIABLE:
Today's pollsters, including Gallup, are getting response rates WELL BELOW 30% -- unprecedented! [Previously, pollsters have always believed that they needed a response rate ABOVE 50% to produce a representative sample.]
The problems inherent with low response rates are worsened by a.) the prevalent use of 2-3 day 'quickie' polls -- even the left-leaning Pew Research group has indicated that a pollster must poll over 5 days to produce data that's even remotely reliable, and b.) the use of sample/subset sizes well below 1,000 respondents -- producing margins of error that render results virtually meaningless!!
I could go on and on and on!!
BOTTOMLINE:
Yes, this is going to be a tough election. As I've indicated before, the President is running against the ENTIRE media-education-entertainment establishment -- a daunting task!!! TO WIN, HE AND WE MUST WORK HARDER AND SMARTER THAN OUR OPPONENTS -- AND WE MUST IGNORE BIASED POLLING DATA THAT IS BEING PRODUCED PRIMARILY TO MANIPULATE AND DEMORALIZE US (THE PRESIDENT'S BASE)!!!!
A glimpse of Dubya!
You're most welcome, Pippin. Glad you could come! :o)
I can't wait for the debates. Just the mental picture of the hound dog face of Kerry and President Bush with his smiling eyes. Even with his new teeth, Kerry looks like he is in pain when he smiles. NO contest between the two of them.
I really think Kerry is stupid. Anybody else??
I am going to the Republican national convention- remember?
Watch out W! Here I come!
Not only is Kerry stupid, He's uuuuugggggglllllyyyyyy!
They're both a sight for sore eyes.......
I'm gonna watch every minute of it to see if you finally get to meet W ;0)
Everything else is of little importance if you're dead at the hands of terrorists.....
I hope LOTS of people realize that before November.....
"Are you definitely going to the W is for WOMEN kickoff on Monday with sister Doro??"
I will DEFINITELY be there -- we MUST get a photo of the three of us together!!!!!
[I plan to meet you there a half hour before the meeting begins -- does that work for you?!]
And yes, I'd love to read your marketing plan!
Well worth it, OldFriend!
From the way Sean talked about this 'speech' he is going to imply that Bush used and abused the intelligence, that the Iraq war 'wasn't the only thing Bush lied about'....I can NOT ABIDE LIARS!!! AND I HAVEN'T SEEN A JACKASS THAT DOESN'T LIE EVERY TIME THEY OPEN THEIR MOUTH!! I am at the point I wouldn't vote for a jackass for dog catcher. If they don't have a (R) after their name on the ballot, I won't vote for them!
I read on another thread that the NC delegation cast its votes last night for Kucinich. Can anyone confirm that for me? Please let it be true! I haven't watched one second of the convention and I can't find it in my local newspaper.
Pippin, just watch for the paramedics. :)
Kerry doesn't stand a chance!
They cast like 4 votes for him, I think...unless that was another state that I was hearing.
I mean it goes along with a group of Jackasses anyway, LOL!
Paramedics?
As long as they're good looking. :0)
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