Posted on 07/02/2004 10:09:42 AM PDT by republicanwizard
New SC Poll Shows DeMint Leading
First post run-off poll has DeMint at 50%; Presidential race will be a drag on Tenenbaum
(The following is an excerpted press release from the National Republican Senatorial Committee this morning)
Washington, D.C. – Congressman Jim DeMint’s strong and impressive victory in last Tuesday’s Republican run-off in South Carolina has him well positioned as the general election heads into high gear. A poll conducted this week shows him holding a firm lead over Democratic challenger Inez Tenenbaum – 50% to 43%.
...The poll shows that DeMint’s name ID equals that of Tenenbaum’s, while overall his image among South Carolina voters is more favorable. Of the voters who have already formed opinions of both candidates, DeMint’s lead increases to 13 points – 52% to 39%.
Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies (POS), the pollster who conducted the survey wrote that, “Jim DeMint has used a strong run-off victory as a springboard to vault past Inez Tenenbaum and into the lead in the South Carolina Senate race.”
Even more troubling for Tenenbaum and Democrats, both in South Carolina and nationally, is the drag that Democratic presidential nominee, John Kerry, will be on her campaign in the rock solid Republican state. South Carolina voters have a more unfavorable than favorable opinion of Kerry, with 40% favorable to 45% unfavorable. In sharp contrast, President Bush carries a hefty 61% favorable to 36% unfavorable.
In a head-to-head match-up, South Carolinians are solidly backing President Bush over Kerry – 55% to 40%....
The question is, can we? Is it possible for Vitter to get 51% in Nov?
Of what in particular?
I so wish Blackwell was Governor right now. I'd feel a lot better. The Tafts have never been noted for their political intelligence, from W. H. firing Pinchot, to R. Taft questioning the legitimacy of the Nuremberg proceedings.
What is the Republican organization like out there? I ask because we have a strong GOP organization here, but it doesn't seem to help our Presidential candidates.
The Presidential race. Don't tell me Gregg has a race on his hands. ;)
It's Demint's race to lose. If he stays on the issues, hooks President Bush's coattails, and doesn't make any major screwups, he'll win.
Tenenbaum is the most popular Democrat in the state and one of only two (out of nine) Rats elected to SC's constitutional offices in 2002. She's a bought-and-paid-for NEA educrat shill, whose only solution to educational problems is to raise taxes and throw more money at them.
}:-)4
Well, it will certainly be a needed boost in the Senate.
The last redoubt of Democracy in the South is Arkansas. Should all go well, Southern Democrats will be whooped this November like they haven't been since the days of Sherman.
I think we'll take all four -- FL/GA/SC/NC.
I'm with you. I think Burr will pull through in NC, and though an Isakson win in GA would make me, eh, lukewarm.
IL and CO are looking sketchy, and we don't know who our nominees will be;
Unless we get a superstar off the bench in IL, it's not going to happen. And I remain firmly convinced that despite Schaffer's conservatism and principle, he would lose. Coors wouldn't do too much better either. Only way Schaffer will win is if Bush has big coattails.
LA is its own bizarre world.
Agree 110%. I'm not even prepared to look at that race until the inevitable runoff.
Coburn will probably go all the way in OK, and Lisa hang on in AK.
Agree. Coburn is a great candidate and Lisa will benefit from BIG coattails in Alaska.
Which leaves us hoping for Thune, Nethercutt, probably Russ Darrow, and Bill Jones.
If Thune is willing to actually fight this time, he can win. Nethercutt COULD make a good race. Darrow & Jones need to do a better job convincing me that they can win.
"Democracy" was what the Democratic Party was called from the 1830's through the 1850's, for historical note. I'm writing an antebellum political history at present and tend to lapse in that language.
I hope Coors isn't running in Colorado the ads he runs in Pennsylvania. However, the latest polls has Salazar up by seven over Coors, so we're doing fine there.
That's a big change if I ever saw one. The Democrats went from getting 98.5% in the Presidential race to being run out of just about every statewide office and driven to the ranks of the [dis]loyal opposition.
Is this a nonpartisan poll?
The Democrats were disloyal in the 1860s, and they are disloyal today. I loathe the party, even more than I loathe any individual Democrat.
Not quite, but it's well regarded.
So what are Bush's chances in your state?
I also think he can win the runoff quite easily if Bush is re-elected and we expand our majority in the Senate. He can simply say Louisiana cannot afford two senators from the najority party. Since most people in this state have their hand out, that argument will make sense to them.
If Bush loses, however, there is virtually no way Vitter can win the run off.
Yeah, but it didn't seem to work in December of 2002. Never overestimate the intelligence of voters in LA or AR.
Pennsylvania continues to be too close for comfort. The good news is that Santorum is micromanaging this one for Bush. I have confidence in Santorum's ability to handle this one.
"What is the Republican organization like out there? I ask because we have a strong GOP organization here, but it doesn't seem to help our Presidential candidates."
In a word, dominating. The only "fly in the oinment" in my view is the political infighting among Republicans. But thats more in the state legislature, which is GOP controlled. Householder, the GOP state majority leader is typical of the circumstances that invariably come from one party domination. His own arrogance is causing problems.
But this is all "in state". On the national level, its becoming more clear with each passing day Ohio will support Bush come fall.
It kinda appears to me that Schaffer will be the nominee in that seat, but Salazar would probably win right now since Schaffer has no money and no profile. Now please note, I am NOT shilling for Coors. I just wish we had some better candidates on the bench.
I have faith in your opinion. Thanks, and may all go well for us in the fall.
Slight edge for Kerry. It's Iraq, Iraq, Iraq. If Iraq improves, he could be okay, but right now, too many voters here think that Bush deliberately misled the people to make his case for war in Iraq, and that it wasn't worth the blood and treasure and that he hasn't handled the issue as a whole well. Take away Iraq and Bush scores NH easily.
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